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Where is Harm’s Way? (Mapping Disaster Risk in the Philippines)

Where is Harm’s Way? (Mapping Disaster Risk in the Philippines). Department of Environment and Natural Resources Manila Observatory 15 March 2005. Can you guess this hazard?. And this one…. Where does the money go?. Disaster Language. Risk = Hazard x Exposure x Vulnerability.

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Where is Harm’s Way? (Mapping Disaster Risk in the Philippines)

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  1. Where is Harm’s Way?(Mapping Disaster Risk in the Philippines) Department of Environment and Natural Resources Manila Observatory 15 March 2005

  2. Can you guess this hazard?

  3. And this one…

  4. Where does the money go?

  5. Disaster Language Risk = Hazard x Exposure x Vulnerability

  6. Risk = H x E x V

  7. Hazards • Natural • Typhoon • Drought (El Nino) • Earthquake (Tremor, Landslide) • Volcano • Tsunami • Anthropogenic • Deforestation • Mining • Climate change (historical, projected)

  8. Hazard:Typhoon Data source: Joint Typhoon Warning Center (1945-2001)

  9. Hazard:Drought(El Nino) Data source: IPCC Data Distribution Centre-Climate Research Unit

  10. Hazard:Earthquake

  11. Hazard:Landslide(E-quake)

  12. Hazard:Volcano

  13. Hazard:Tsunami

  14. Hazard:Deforestation

  15. Hazard:Mining

  16. Hazard: Climate change (historical rain, temperature) Source: IPCC Data Distribution Centre-Climate Research Unit

  17. Hazard:Climate change (projected warming) Source: Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organization

  18. Hazard: Climate change (projected rainfall) Source: Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research

  19. Exposure • Population • Natural habitat • Conservation areas • Groundwater

  20. Exposure (Population) Data source: NSO, (Population in 2000)

  21. Exposure(Natural Habitat)

  22. Exposure (conservation areas)

  23. Exposure (groundwater)

  24. Vulnerability • Human Development Index • Education • Health • Economy • Urban centers • Socio-eco pressures • Transport

  25. Vulnerability (HDI)

  26. Vulnerability (urban centers)

  27. Vulnerability (socio-eco pressure)

  28. Vulnerability (transport)

  29. Risk • Typhoon • Drought (El Nino) • Earthquake (tremor, landslide) • Tsunami • Volcano • Climate Change (temperature, rainfall)

  30. Risk:Typhoon

  31. Risk:Drought(El Nino)

  32. Risk:Earthquake

  33. Risk:Landslide(Earthquake)

  34. Risk:Tsunami

  35. Risk:Volcano

  36. Risk:Climate Change (Temperature)

  37. Risk:Climate Change (Rainfall)

  38. In sum, harm’s way: • Typhoon • Luzon (north, southeast), Visayas (east) • Drought (El Nino) • Mindanao (central, west) • Earthquake (tremor, landslide) + Tsunami • Northwest to southeast diagonal across RP • Volcano • Luzon (west central, south, southeast), Visayas (central, east), Mindanao (central) • Climate Change • Temperature: Mindanao, Visayas (central) • Rainfall: Luzon (central, south, southeast), Visayas (east)

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