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Technology Forecast for Telecommunications and Computing in Transportation/ Distribution Systems

Technology Forecast for Telecommunications and Computing in Transportation/ Distribution Systems. Jim Sluss & Pramode Verma Telecommunications Systems Program School of Electrical & Computer Engineering University of Oklahoma - Tulsa. CELDi. Center for Engineering Logistics & Distribution.

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Technology Forecast for Telecommunications and Computing in Transportation/ Distribution Systems

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  1. Technology Forecast for Telecommunications and Computing in Transportation/Distribution Systems Jim Sluss & Pramode Verma Telecommunications Systems Program School of Electrical & Computer Engineering University of Oklahoma - Tulsa CELDi Center for Engineering Logistics & Distribution

  2. Overview of Telecommunications Wireless Networks & Technologies in the Supply Chain The Telecommunications Interoperability Lab at OU-Tulsa Outline

  3. Customer Segments Business Customers Products Services Consumers Products Services The Industry and Its Composition • Supplier Segments • Service Providers • Business or Residential • Bandwidth Providers • Equipment Providers • Carriers, businesses or consumers • 2002 P. K. Verma

  4. Eroding Market Valuations Reducing number of CLEC’s from 300 in 1999 to 75 in 2001 Coping with the change from an abundance of junk grade money to virtually none Top ten companies have lost $1.346 trillion Sector lost more than $2 trillion Yet to find a pundit who projects less than an 8-10% YOY growth in the telecommunications industry The Telecommunications Industry: A 2002 Perspective • 2002 P. K. Verma

  5. Race to own non-performing assets Investment in the ground will be immediately rewarded Take liquidity for granted Cash will follow an optimistic business plan Junk grade money will have an unlimited supply Signals of Instability (mid-to-late 1990’s) • 2002 P. K. Verma

  6. Majority of traffic served is data, but the majority of revenue is from voice – a clearly non-sustainable situation A 40-year depreciation schedule is not consistent with the Moore’s Law A collision is inevitable Continuing Issues • 2002 P. K. Verma

  7. Driven by industry as a whole Increasing component of T-Com in all industries Demand Strictly elastic with price Supply While labor and capital are somewhat limited, the raw material and technology are not Technology Limitless What drives the Telecom Industry? • 2002 P. K. Verma

  8. Back to basics Execution over vision Performance over Personalization Candidate Sectors for Leading the Turnaround Broadband Access Wireless, especially Mobile Data Security Services What Will Turn the Industry Around? • 2002 P. K. Verma

  9. Far more valued after the 9/11 event Hot topics would include Biometrics Firewalls Security Services Security Management Software Security • 2002 P. K. Verma

  10. Broadband Access Slow but consistent growth One of the few sectors in telecom where demand exceeds supply at this time Wireless The anywhere, anytime, any format expectation Direct beneficiary of technology explosion • 2002 P. K. Verma

  11. “Mobile Business Solutions” Proactive operation at lower cost Faster adoption of efficient practices More effective linkage of people, parts, and processes: human-to-machine, machine-to-item, item-to-human Wireless Networks & Technologies in the Supply Chain

  12. Presence and Visibility Immediacy Location Interest Wireless Network Properties

  13. Materials handling Inventory tracking & management Customer & product info management Replenishment Asset tracking Warehousing Key Activities in a Wireless Supply Chain

  14. RFID – radio frequency identification GPS – global positioning system WAP – wireless application protocol Voice e-mail ESMR – enhanced specialized mobile radio MicroBurst Wireless Key Technologies

  15. Wal-Mart Wireless Supply Chain Tracking & Replenishment Expected Gains • Supply chain visibility • Product availability • Anti-theft detection • Self-checkout Ref: Shankar & O’Driscoll

  16. V. Shankar and T. O’Driscoll, “How Wireless Networks Are Reshaping The Supply Chain,” Supply Chain Management Review, July/August 2002. G. Ferguson, “Have Your Object Call My Objects,” Harvard Business Review, June 2002. Key Reading

  17. The Telecommunications Interoperability Lab

  18. Interoperability is a major need of the TCOM industry, yet there is a notable lack of research in this area. Existing interop labs are usually associated with a single corporation, raising the specter of potential conflict of interest. The OU-Tulsa Interoperability Lab will enhance the value of research to the TCOM industry. TCOM Interop Lab Motivation

  19. Fosters independent and concurrent discovery and development of TCOM systems and sub-systems. Leads to business growth through the discovery of innovative components and through the assurance of integrity without undue risk. Leads to entrepreneurial development, allows for a multivendor, open system approach, enables better visualization of the opportunity space and provides ability to experiment in a minimal risk environment. TCOM Interop Lab Goals

  20. Lab Tour

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