270 likes | 511 Views
THE BIOECONOMIC FEASIBILITY OF CULTURING TRIPLOID CRASSOSTREA ARIAKENSIS IN NORTH CAROLINA. Jonathan H. Grabowski Gulf of Maine Research Institute, Portland, ME 04101. Bioeconomic Model of C. ariakensis Culture Venture. Quantify investment costs Quantify production costs
E N D
THE BIOECONOMIC FEASIBILITY OF CULTURING TRIPLOID CRASSOSTREA ARIAKENSIS IN NORTH CAROLINA Jonathan H. Grabowski Gulf of Maine Research Institute, Portland, ME 04101
Bioeconomic Model of C. ariakensis Culture Venture • Quantify investment costs • Quantify production costs • Estimate cash flow • Calculate the annual enterprise budget
Bioeconomic Model (Continued) (5) Evaluate the sensitivity of profitability during the first five years of operation to variation in the following parameters: • Seed price • Operation size • Market price • Mud-blister infestation • Oyster survivorship
Background Information:C. Ariakensis Culture Venture • 3 acre lease in North Carolina • 500,000 triploid oysters planted per year • 5 year duration (annual crops) • Rack-and-cage grow-out
Growout Phases • Hatchery phase – oyster spawned, eggs fertilized, & larvae reared to ~3 mm shell height (SH) seed • 6-8 weeks duration • Not included in our analyses • Nursery phase – 3 mm (SH) oysters raised to 25 mm (SH) in upwellers or in fine-mesh cages in the field • 6-8 weeks duration • Grow-out phase -25 mm oysters raised to edible sizes (75+ mm SH) • 4-9 months duration (time-length depends on season of initiation and salinity regime)
Culture Scenarios Investigated • Nursery phase • On-site nursery grow-out in the field (3 mm SH) vs. purchase of more costly larger seed (25 mm SH) • Seasonal comparisons • Spring vs. summer vs. fall initiation • Salinity regimes • intermediate (10-25‰) vs. high (>25‰)
Sources of Data and Info Used in Calculations • Growth and survivorship data • Grabowski et al. 2004, Bishop and Peterson 2005a • Palatability data • Grabowski et al. 2003, Bishop and Peterson 2005b • Additional info (i.e., Labor estimates, materials costs, etc.) • Unpublished data (Peterson, Grabowski and Bishop) • Numerous conversations with NC fishermen
Financial Operation (Assumptions) • Market price • Half-shell market = consumed raw or steamed • $0.25 per oyster • Shucked market = processed oysters • $0.063 per oyster
Continued • Capital asset depreciation – straight-line • All costs and expenses were inflated by 3%/yr • Laborers are self-employed and paid $10/hr • maintenance costs: • 2% for rack and cage materials • 10% for skiff, skiff motor, boat trailer, and truck
Continued • Taxes were calculated for a sole proprietorship • Federal and state income & self-employment taxes • Net return to owner: • Total Revenues – (Capital Costs + Production Costs + Taxes) • Percent return on investment: • Total Revenues/ (Capital Costs + Production Costs + Taxes)
Investment Costs for the Most Profitable Scenario: Winter Culture at High Salinity with On-site Nursery Grow-out
Production Costs: Winter Culture, High Salinity, & On-site Nursery
(4) Average Enterprise Budget: Winter Culture,High Salinity, & On-site Nursery
(5) Sensitivity Analyses:Winter Culture,High Salinity, & On-site Nursery
Conclusions • Triploid C. ariakensis culture could be profitable • Need to consider salinity regime and especially seasonal timing of culture operation • Assessment conducted with NC data • Needs to be conducted with info from Chesapeake
Importance of Timing • Only operations initiated in winter were profitable • Annual profits ranged from 33-36% with on-site nursery and 16-18% without • Purchasing larger seed results in more modest return but removes risk of nursery phase mortality • In summer, operations lost b/w 18 and 44%: • High-salinity sites experienced poor survivorship • Mud blistering was very high at intermediate salinities
Additional Concerns & Suggestions • Successful winter culture requires new or expanded oyster markets in May, June, and July • Impacts of large increases in triploid oyster supply on market prices are unclear • Overcoming high mortality & mud blister infestation critical to turning a profit in summer • Further investigation is needed to determine the threshold size at which oysters are no longer susceptible to mortality from Bonamia
Additional Concerns & Suggestions • Alternative solution: developing a triploid native oyster • Currently produced by one grower • Produces a marketable product during the off season (i.e., not watery like diploid C. virginica in the spring and summer) • Increased growth rates would potentially reduce risk of mortality from dermo • Would avoid potential ecosystem risks associated with non-native species introductions
Acknowledgements • Funding Sources: North Carolina Division of Marine Fisheries, NOAA, and the Golden Leaf Foundation. • S. Allen, Jr., J. Braddy, R. Carnegie, R. Graham, M. Hooper, P. Hooper, M. Marshall, D. Newman, D. Schmidt, J. Swartzenberg, H. Summerson, and M. Ulery provided data on labor requirements, seed and market prices, and equipment costs associated with oyster culture.