E N D
1.
Lecture Number 12
November 30, 2009
Dr. Shoshana Loeb
sloeb@udel.edu
3. This class… Presentations
News
WooYoung Ryu
Colin McLafferty
Craig Offutt
Product – Boxee (www.boxee.tv)
WooYoung Ryu
Colin McLafferty
Craig Offutt
Refreshments
Jordan Grosh
4. Industry News from Homework
Air Canada begins customer trials for in flight Internet
Chrome OS and the Microsoft squeeze
16 year old launches Vye music-sharing site, another Napster?
A friend’s tweet could be an ad (2)
How Microsoft blew it with Windows Mobile
Bing tries to buy the news
Verizon says AT&T’s law suit seeks to hide 3G truth
Google’s chrome OS revealed
How do you hide from the Internet?
5. Convergence of Telematics & Mobile Services It is hard to talk about Telematics without also talking about navigation and more recently location aware handsets.
The momentum and convergence in the location-based services, telematics and navigation markets is more exciting than ever.
The recent landmark announcements by Tom Tom on its pending acquisition of Tele Atlas and by Nokia regarding its intention to acquire NAVTEQ have dramatically altered the industry landscape.
Let the LBS games begin
We see all 3 of these domains contributing significantly to the “connected vehicle” experience
After we review the trends we see in the market, we will share how these 3 domains fit into our service delivery vision
It is hard to talk about Telematics without also talking about navigation and more recently location aware handsets.
The momentum and convergence in the location-based services, telematics and navigation markets is more exciting than ever.
The recent landmark announcements by Tom Tom on its pending acquisition of Tele Atlas and by Nokia regarding its intention to acquire NAVTEQ have dramatically altered the industry landscape.
Let the LBS games begin
We see all 3 of these domains contributing significantly to the “connected vehicle” experience
After we review the trends we see in the market, we will share how these 3 domains fit into our service delivery vision
6. Phone Trends Impacting Telematics Internet Access on mobile devices
Open platforms for 3rd party apps
Using customer’s phone as a transport
Search web information by voice
Desktop mapping and navigtaion experiences (on line with Google, Yahoo, MS, MQ) experience will converge with mobile segements Starting with handset, PND and then in-vehicle
Walled garden / tightly guarded to open to 3rd party developers of mobile apss.
Open platform for LBS and mobile application,
With unrestricted access to GPS location info
What impact will iPhone have to vehicle connectivity? (top selling phone on the most popular carrer - 27% of market)
Goodgles open platform Android was annouced yesterday . Motorola/Samsung big names on the handset side and T-Mobile/Sprint (31% mkt share)
forcing OEMs, tier one suppliers, content providers, application developers, service providers and others to step back and rethink their roles and alliances in their respective value chains.
Desktop mapping and navigtaion experiences (on line with Google, Yahoo, MS, MQ) experience will converge with mobile segements Starting with handset, PND and then in-vehicle
Walled garden / tightly guarded to open to 3rd party developers of mobile apss.
Open platform for LBS and mobile application,
With unrestricted access to GPS location info
What impact will iPhone have to vehicle connectivity? (top selling phone on the most popular carrer - 27% of market)
Goodgles open platform Android was annouced yesterday . Motorola/Samsung big names on the handset side and T-Mobile/Sprint (31% mkt share)
forcing OEMs, tier one suppliers, content providers, application developers, service providers and others to step back and rethink their roles and alliances in their respective value chains.
7. Division of Labor
8. Connected-Vehicle Model is Rapidly Morphing Car & Electronic Component Life Cycles diverging
Automobiles - Median life is 9.2 yrs - Design cycle is 3.5 yrs
Components - Median life 2.0 yrs - Development cycle 0.5 yrs
Closed electronic components & software under assault
Open architectures (Android, iPhone 3G, Intel’s MID)
Carried-in devices (PNDs, cell phones, PDAs, mp3 players)
After-market devices for cars proliferate
Mushrooming growth
Advanced capabilities
Have crossed “impulse”purchase thresholds
9. Opportunity: Telecoms and Automotive Convergence
10. .NET Essential Infrastructure is Well Under Way 3G / 4G poised to deliver unprecedented:
Coverage
Bandwidth
Latency
Reliability
5G / 6G to deliverexplosive range& depth of services
Personalization
Immediacy
Anticipation
11. Automotive Telematics and the Connected Car What is available today?
Source: iSuppli (TRG)
12. Inside the car What systems are on board?
Source: iSuppli (TRG)
13. Connectivity Advances - OEMs Worth Noting General Motors
GM has more time and money invested in developing a connected car than any other OEM (i.e. OnStar). As a BU, OnStar is making money for GM (via subscription revenue) and the real gain comes when GM fully realizes the cost-saving benefits of OnStar. OnStar already claims they saved GM $100M by "pinging" the cars each month and collecting diagnostics and fault codes.
Nissan
Nissan is as advanced as GM when it comes to vehicle connectivity although deployment of their most sophisticated approach is limited to Japan. Nissan is the leader when it comes to eco-telematics - they use the connectivity to provide dynamic route guidance in such a way that minimize fuel consumption and emissions.
BMW
BMW is the most advanced OEM in terms of technology overall and are forward thinking in the deployment of connectivity to vehicles. What makes BMW unique is they have developed a telematics protocol that is being licensed to other OEMs. Called NGTP (next generation telematics protocol) this protocol is designed to plug and play content and services.
Fiat
Fiat is very good at recognizing the benefits of connectivity and is a leader in the deployment of telematics solutions. Fiat brought telematics to the masses with their Blue & Me solution developed with Microsoft
14. Connectivity Advances -- Suppliers Worth Noting Continental
Conti acquired Siemens VDO and Motorola's telematics business so they are very well positioned to benefit from car connectivity. Continental is the supplier of Ford, has close ties to Microsoft, and is the leading supplier of embedded communication modules in the world.
Qualcomm
They have the communication IP of course, but they are also in very good position to extend their know how autos. They know telematics well from their commercial activities and they know services and service models well. Lastly, they are doing some very intense research into the space that should pay off for them.
Freescale
Their emphasis on telematics and infotainment is very advanced. Their low cost solutions for infotainment will take off once the connectivity in auto comes down market and reaches critical mass.
Magneti Marelli
Marelli (Fiat Group) has completed lots of development for vehicle connectivity. There experience is rooted in diagnostics and powertrain management, including race cars and the first true telemetry system. Marelli has a tight relationship with Microsoft and the two have jointly developed ”telematics for the masses” with a low cost solution already deployed in Europe (Fiat, Alfa, Lancia). Fiat was the first with Eco telematics (called Eco-Drive)
15. Embedded Solutions vs. Non Embedded OnStar is the leading “embedded” telematics system
OnStar will be standard on every GM auto model by the end of 2008. This opens the door for future services that were not possible as an option. GM is likely to start using remote ECU software updates in a few years, which has significant cost savings potential for GM.
All major OEMs have recognized the potential of telematics and are adding their own telematics systems—first customer telematics and later OEM telematics.
Ford Sync, which is a telematics system that uses a “non-embedded” mobile phone for connectivity (via Bluetooth), is showing very strong sales and is improving Ford’s image among young drivers.
Ford was a laggard in telematics until Sync was introduced. Sync is based on Microsoft’s telematics platform and Ford had an exclusive contract through 2008 in N. America. Hyundai is the second OEM in N. America to use Microsoft-based telematics—probably in 2009
Ford’s Sync advertising has been very successful and Sync-based cars sell faster than non-Sync cars—especially among young drivers that have a connected life-style.
Sync has introduced applications that in N. America were only available on embedded telematics systems such as remote diagnostics and automatic collision notification (ACN).
16. Connected Car -- How it is Done Today
17. Connected Car -- Evolution of Telematics Platform
18. Location Based Services In the car
Source: iSuppli (TRG)
19. Smartphones & Feature Phones Offboard Navigation Service Brands
Networks In Motion
TeleNav
TelMap
Jentro
WayFinder
Onboard Navigation Service Brands
TomTom
Garmin
Apple iPhone
Google T-Mobile GPhone
Nokia Maps & Pedestrian Navigation
20. In-Vehicle Navigation Systems LBS Services
Vehicle Centric
Traffic, Weather, Fuel Prices, Parking Availability (future)
User Centric
Movie Listings, Sports Scores, News, Stocks
LBS Service Providers
Sirius Travel Link / Traffic
XM NavTraffic / NavWeather
Clear Channel Total Traffic Network (CCTTN)
OEMs with LBS Content
Ford, GM, VW, Chrysler, Hyundai, Nissan, Honda, Toyota, BMW, Daimler
OEMs without LBS Content
Subaru, Mitsubishi, Suzuki, Mazda, Jag/LR, Kia
21. In-Vehicle Navigation Systems (cont.) Ford Next Generation Navigation System
HDD-based infotainment system offering Sirius Travel Link
Available on all navi-optional Ford, Lincoln, & Mercury models by MY10
Sirius Travel Link 6-month subscription free with purchase
GM XM NavTraffic Expansion
Expanded XM NavTraffic onto 16 models for MY09
XM NavTraffic offers traffic flow & incident data
XM NavTraffic free 3-month trial subscription with purchase
AcuraLink Services
AcuraLink now available on all 09 Acura models
AcuraLink includes
XM NavTraffic
XM NavWeather
Remote Diagnostics (non-location based)
AcuraLink free subscription for 90 days with purchase
22. V2V2I Trends
23. V2V and V2I Applications
24. CICAS, IVBSS & VII Roadmap
25. V2V and V2I Summary V2X systems are three years or more away from becoming commercial products in the U.S.
The DSRC-IEEE 802.11p technology at 5.9 GHz frequency band is the most likely technology for V2X systems. However, it is possible that Wi-Fi systems using consumer electronics and PC-based products may be used for V2X systems
V2V only systems are likely to appear before V2I systems due to infrastructure funding issues by federal and state governments
V2V mandates that specifies that all autos sold will have V2X as standard equipment have around 50% probability of being passed between 2015 and 2020
GM is likely to be a pioneer in V2V deployment as part of OnStar-based safety systems
V2X system price will be similar to current high-end Wi-Fi PC cards by 2015 or below $100
26. xxx
Final Project Logistics
27. Project Submission The project report is in the form of ppt presentation
Email the projects before the class (no later than 5pm) on December 7th
28. Project Evaluation The project determines 45% of the final grade. The grade for the project will be determined by:
Quality of the project write-up – 15%
Quality of presentation – 15%
Depth of general knowledge related to the project – 15%
Each student and guest will fill out an evaluation form for each project:
On scale from 1-5
Technical quality
External awareness
Quality of presentation
Overall comments and suggestions
29. Project Presentation Evaluation Form x
30. Project time slots 1 person projects 10 minutes
2 persons projects 20 minutes
3 persons projects 25 minutes
31. Presentation Schedule
32. Class Review Highlights
33. Our Three Hats In the class we will be wearing three different hats
Inventors
Entrepreneurs
Investors
34. Sharktank – ABC (Tuesday 9pm)
35. iPhone Application Store
37. What is “Next Generation”? 3G
Web 2.0
Converged (All IP) networks
Mobile computing (not just communication)
“Mobile mindset” – applications not technology
“Experience” - not just phone calls
38. Cellular Technology Evolution The diagram shows the cellular technology evolution. The technologies indicated in colored oval within dashed square box are the focus of this report.
The meaning of the acronyms in focus are as follows:
CDMA: Code Division Multiple Access
EDGE: Enhanced Data Rates for GSM Evolution
EV-DO: Evolution - Data Optimized
GPRS: General Packet Radio System
GSM: Global System for Mobile
HSDPA: High Speed Downlink Packet Access
HSPA: High Speed Packet Access
HSUPA: High Speed Uplink Packet Access
LTE: Long Term Evolution
WCDMA: Wideband Code Division Multiple Access
UMB: Ultra Mobile Broadband
The diagram shows the cellular technology evolution. The technologies indicated in colored oval within dashed square box are the focus of this report.
The meaning of the acronyms in focus are as follows:
CDMA: Code Division Multiple Access
EDGE: Enhanced Data Rates for GSM Evolution
EV-DO: Evolution - Data Optimized
GPRS: General Packet Radio System
GSM: Global System for Mobile
HSDPA: High Speed Downlink Packet Access
HSPA: High Speed Packet Access
HSUPA: High Speed Uplink Packet Access
LTE: Long Term Evolution
WCDMA: Wideband Code Division Multiple Access
UMB: Ultra Mobile Broadband
40. Application to application communication
41. Abstract Device Representation xx
42. Simplified Software Model XXX
43. Two models of the communication application layer
44. Skype vs. Google Voice Google Voice is not a VOIP application the way Skype is.
Skype offers: call to another computer, to landlines or mobile phones, trigger video calls between computer users and send SMS messages. Has 481M users.
Google Voice gives users a phone number that can forward calls to any other number they want, including home, office and mobile numbers.
Google Voice routes incoming calls through to all of these numbers to find the user. Users can also dial out via Google Voice, designating the phone on which they will take the call along with the number they want to dial.
If the user does not pick up, it takes a voice message, which can be transcribed into text automatically and sent to the user via SMS or e-mail.
Users can also listen to messages by logging into the Google Voice Website or clicking a link in the notification e-mail.
Google just added the ability to receive and reply to SMS via email.
Like Skype it lets users initiate low-cost international calls.
45. Mobile Social Network Adds
location
sensors
Enables
richer communication
May give rise to issues around
mobile device choices
end-to-end business model
privacy
46. The iPhone Apps Development SDK = Software Development Kit
API = Application Programming Interface
The iPhone SDK allows developers to:
make applications for the iPhone and iPod Touch
test the applications in an "iPhone simulator"
Loading an application onto the devices is only possible after paying an iPhone Developer Program fee.
Developers are able to set any price above a set minimum for their applications to be distributed through the App Store,
They will receive a 70% share.
Alternately, they may opt to release the application for free and need not pay any costs to release or distribute the application except for the membership fee
47. Stats on the iPhone App Store There are currently 100,000+ applications and 5 Billion downloads since July 2008
Each week Apple receives 8,500 new applications and updates to applications.
The company employs a team of 40 full-time trained reviewers, and each application is independently evaluated by two separate reviewers before getting a green light.
95 percent of iPhone applications are approved within 14 days of being submitted.
Issues that could result in a rejection from its mobile application store: privacy, security vulnerabilities like software bugs, instabilities that might lead to program crashes and the use of unauthorized protocols.
48. News: The battle between Apple/AT&T and Google.. Google Voice is a front end for Google’s free phone-management system. The system allows to:
send free text messages
make 2-cent international calls
much more
Apple mysteriously rejects this useful app, refusing to list it in the App Store.
Also without explanation Apple deletes from the App Store two similar programs called GV Mobile and Voice Central, which have been there for months.
The blogosphere goes nuts. There’s only one possible reason that Apple might delete these apps: because AT&T demanded it.
Why would AT&T care? Because of those free text messages and cheap international calls. If these apps became popular, AT&T’s revenue could take a serious hit.
The Federal Communications Commission, in fact, is now sniffing around, sending letter to Apple, AT&T and Google, clearly wondering if there’s some illegal collusion going on.
AT&T/Apple’s logic does not make sense:
If the object is to prevent you from making cheap international calls, then they would also have to block Skype and all the other apps (already available) that let you do so.
If it is to prevent you from sending free text messages, then they should also block FreeMMS and other apps that already do that.
49. The Intelligent Network (IN)
50. Intelligence at the Edge
51. Telecom service architecture
52. The media industry Mobile device as the fourth screen
53. Communication as a Feature…
54. MVNO Operational Strategy: Transformation to Next Gen
56. What is an Ecosystem Value Chain? A value chain is a chain of activities.
Products/servics pass through all activities of the chain in order
At each activity the product gains some value
57. Software as a Service Business Model Software as a Service (SaaS) is a software distribution model
Applications are hosted by a vendor or service provider
Applications are made available to customers over a network, typically the Internet.
58. Google’s offering
59. Context Aware Services Context is any information about your activity, surroundings, plans, intentions, etc
The shift to “context aware” services has been a shift away from active user input toward leveraging passively collected datasets
60. Context Aware ServicesCustomers become “markets of 1” with highly individual needs and interests
61. The “mash up” (web model)
62. Example Research Project (Telcordia)
63. Separation of Concerns Data Sources
64. Schedule Manager Example Platform Internal Flow: Calendar Entry registration
Calendar connector retrieves new calendar appointment and submits it to the platform
Context Manager receives new appointment data and follows the steps below
Interacts with Security Manager in order to authenticate and authorize the received data
Interacts with Schedule Manager in order to register time information associated with the appointment
Interacts with Location Manager in order to register location information associated with the appointment
Interacts with Event Registration in order to register appropriate filter with Event Stream Engine
Example Platform Internal Flow: Calendar Entry registration
Calendar connector retrieves new calendar appointment and submits it to the platform
Context Manager receives new appointment data and follows the steps below
Interacts with Security Manager in order to authenticate and authorize the received data
Interacts with Schedule Manager in order to register time information associated with the appointment
Interacts with Location Manager in order to register location information associated with the appointment
Interacts with Event Registration in order to register appropriate filter with Event Stream Engine
65. Technical Details :Location Manager Example Platform Flow: Location Update Event
A connector/adaptor receives a new location update event and inserts it into the input event queue
Event Manager retrieves received location event and follows the steps below
Interacts with Security Manager in order to authenticate and authorize the received data
Interacts with Location Manager in order to determine whether the location event is relevant to information registered with the Location Manager
Creates appropriate encoding of the received event for processing by the Event Stream Engine
Injects the encoded location event into the Event Stream Engine
Example Platform Flow: Location Update Event
A connector/adaptor receives a new location update event and inserts it into the input event queue
Event Manager retrieves received location event and follows the steps below
Interacts with Security Manager in order to authenticate and authorize the received data
Interacts with Location Manager in order to determine whether the location event is relevant to information registered with the Location Manager
Creates appropriate encoding of the received event for processing by the Event Stream Engine
Injects the encoded location event into the Event Stream Engine
66. Cloud Computing(Source: wikipedia.com)
67. Example of Cloud Computing
68. Open Source(Source: wikipedia.com) Open source is an approach to the design, development, and distribution of software
It offers practical accessibility to a software's source code.
Some consider open source as one of various possible design approaches, while others consider it a critical strategic element of their operations
Before open source became widely adopted, developers and producers used a variety of phrases to describe the concept; the term open source gained popularity with the rise of the Internet, which provided access to diverse production models, communication paths, and interactive communities.
69. The Long-Tail
70. Information Filtering – High-level View
71.
When and why should the application interrupt the user
and for what reason? This is a conservative estimate—some have put the number as low as three.
This scenario has been proffered up mostly in academic computing communities, happily. But it demonstrates what happens when you try to put all the work of building up context into the sensors and algorithms. It takes a thin usage model--that managament gurus have decided that impromptu meetings are great for productivity because they increase collaboration and agility—and turns it into absurdity. It’s the kind of thing that happens when we take ourselves way too seriously.
“where you are’ therefore becomes not a question of privacy but a question of valueThis is a conservative estimate—some have put the number as low as three.
This scenario has been proffered up mostly in academic computing communities, happily. But it demonstrates what happens when you try to put all the work of building up context into the sensors and algorithms. It takes a thin usage model--that managament gurus have decided that impromptu meetings are great for productivity because they increase collaboration and agility—and turns it into absurdity. It’s the kind of thing that happens when we take ourselves way too seriously.
“where you are’ therefore becomes not a question of privacy but a question of value
72. YYY
Positioning Technologies
74. The Argus project Platform is applicable to services involving distributed service logic between the network and the cell phone
Currently focused on emerging dual-mode 3G/Wi-Fi handsets
Develops carrier-centric approaches to manage network resources based on user-location, device capability and real-time network conditions
75. Virtual Guest Lecturehttp://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FU6ssv9ST6E
76. Key Mobile Internet Trends Mobile Internet Usage Is and Will Be Bigger than Most Think
Apple Mobile Share Should Surprise on Upside Near-Term
Next Generation Platforms (Social Networking + Mobile) Driving Unprecedented Change in Communications + Commerce
Mobile in Japan + Desktop Internet Provide Roadmaps for Mobile Growth + Monetization
3G Adoption / Trends Vary By Geography
Carriers in USA / W. Europe Face Surging Network Demand But Uncertain Economics
Regulators Can Help Advance / Slow Mobile Internet Evolution
Mobile-Related Share Shifts Will Create / Destroy Material Shareholder Wealth.
77. A Vet’s Care Community
78. Embedded Devices – Smart Homes
79. Framework
80. What is sentiment analysis? Also known as opinion mining
Attempts to identify the opinion/sentiment that a person may hold towards an object
It is a finer grain analysis compared to subjectivity analysis
81. Smart Devices in a Smart Environment
82. “Companies/Products of the Week”
09/21 iPhone Apps
09/28 Sense Networks
10/05 Four Square
10/12 Bit.ly
10/19 Amazon Kindle
10/26 Twitter
11/02 T9space
11/9 Feeva
11/16 ListenLogic
11/23 Ford Sync
11/30 Boxee
83. Guest Presentation Phil Sugar – CEO of Smart Button
Garrett Melby – CEO of Good Company Ventures
Dave Famolari – Senior Scientist, Telcordia
David Freschman – Innovation Delaware
Scott Jones – University of Delaware Business School
84. Assignment for next class (12/07) Assignment:
Finish final project and submit (email) before by 5pn pm 12/7
85. Next class… Project Presentations
Refreshments
Craig Offutt
86. xxx
Have a good week!
See you next week
class webpagewww.openventures.com/home/NextGenMobile