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A Sample Presentation of The State of the Church in Tennessee and the Nashville, Memphis and Knoxville Metro Areas 1990

A Sample Presentation of The State of the Church in Tennessee and the Nashville, Memphis and Knoxville Metro Areas 1990-2000. Dave Olson www.TheAmericanChurch.org.

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A Sample Presentation of The State of the Church in Tennessee and the Nashville, Memphis and Knoxville Metro Areas 1990

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  1. A Sample Presentation of The State of the Churchin Tennessee and the Nashville, Memphis and Knoxville Metro Areas 1990-2000 Dave Olson www.TheAmericanChurch.org © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  2. The first 19 slides are from the “State of the Church in Tennessee”Powerpoint. The Complete Powerpoint is 43 slides in length, and is available at http://www.theamericanchurch.org/state/UIA20.htm.It includes maps of church attendance in every county, as well as denominational charts, average size charts, church planting charts, ethnicity charts and population growth information. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  3. In 1996, polls taken immediately after the Presidential election revealed that 58% of people claimed they had voted, when in reality only 49% actually did. This is called the Halo Effect. People tend to over-inflate their participation in activities that create acceptability within their social group. For many decades, pollsters such as Gallup and Barna have reported that around 45% of Americans attend church every Sunday. But there is a religious Halo Effect. Actual attendance counts have shown that the percentage of people attending church on any given weekend is much lower than was previously thought. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  4. The Intent of this presentation is to answer and then expand on two key questions: “How Many People Really Attend Church in Tennessee Every Week?” “Is the Christian Church Going Forwards or Backwards in Influence in Tennessee?” As the data is analyzed county by county assessing a number of factors, a comprehensive picture of the State of the Church in Tennessee will begin to take shape. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  5. This study uses weekend church attendance as a more reliable and more immediate snapshot of Christian influence than membership. The following map shows the percentage of the population attending a Christian church on any given weekend in all 50 states in 2000. Tennessee has an average church attendance percentage (23.5%) much higher than the national average (18.7%). © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  6. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  7. The Next Map shows the percentage of the population attending a Christian church on any given weekend in 2000 for each county in Tennessee. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  8. 22.0% 23.9% Pickett 30.6% 23.7% 17.3% 22.0% 23.0% 15.5% Clay Hancock 24.5% Sullivan Claiborne 24.0% 21.9% Montgomery Robertson 19.8% 22.6% Macon Stewart 21.0% 21.3% 15.7% Johnson 24.3% Hawkins 22.3% 28.4% Sumner 24.1% 19.1% Trousdale 26.4% 25.0% 16.5% 9.1% 27.4% 19.5% Jackson Scott Campbell Lake 26.0% 14.8% Overton Obion Fentress Grainger 25.5% Henry Carter Cheatham 28.9% Union Weakley Houston 30.2% 23.8% Washington 21.5% Smith Hamblen 23.0% 14.4% 23.9% 22.7% Davidson Putnam Greene Wilson 25.2% 24.8% Anderson Morgan 24.4% Dickson 25.5% Jefferson 32.0% 27.4% 26.8% 29.2% 21.9% 18.5% Unicoi Dyer 29.1% Humphreys 27.2% Dekalb Gibson Knox Benton 19.5% 30.5% Carroll 26.9% 19.6% Cumberland Cocke White 19.4% Williamson 22.3% Rutherford Crockett Cannon Roane 23.4% 22.2% 20.1% 21.3% Sevier Hickman 27.0% 21.7% Loudon Lauderdale Van Buren 22.5% 26.2% 19.5% Henderson 27.4% 24.7% 21.4% Warren 29.9% 16.9% Blount 20.9% Perry Maury Meigs 19.3% 27.9% Madison Haywood Rhea 25.5% Decatur Bledsoe Lewis 22.2% 25.8% 22.7% Tipton Bedford 17.1% 19.6% 14.8% Coffee McMinn Marshall Monroe Grundy 27.0% Chester Sequatchie 24.3% 30.9% 27.1% Moore 25.9% 23.7% 24.7% 17.0% 32.1% 30.0% Wayne 15.9% 25.4% Giles 23.6% 28.5% Lawrence Shelby Hardeman Hardin Fayette Hamilton McNairy Marion Lincoln Franklin Polk 24.3% Bradley Tennessee - Counties - 2000 Percentage of Population at Worship in Christian 0.0% to 22.0% Churches on a Given Weekend Blue = Lowest Rose = Middle Beige = Highest 22.0% to 25.5% 25.5% to 33.1% © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  9. The Next 2 Maps show the population numbers for each county in Tennessee. The first map shows the population of each county. The second map shows the growth or decline in population for each county from 1990 - 2000. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  10. 49,015 4,945 12,370 7,976 54,433 153,048 6,786 134,768 130,449 29,862 17,499 Macon Pickett 53,563 Clay Stewart Robertson Sullivan Hancock 7,259 10,984 21,127 39,854 Montgomery 7,954 32,450 Sumner 16,625 Claiborne Johnson 20,118 31,115 Hawkins 56,742 17,808 Trousdale 34,895 Jackson Scott Campbell Lake 107,198 8,088 17,712 Obion 35,912 Fentress 20,659 Overton Henry 58,128 Carter 569,891 Union Weakley 62,909 Washington Houston Cheatham 88,809 Smith Grainger 43,156 62,315 19,757 Hamblen 17,667 16,537 71,330 Davidson Greene Wilson 44,294 Dickson 37,279 Putnam Morgan 17,929 Unicoi 48,152 Benton Anderson 382,032 17,423 29,475 46,802 Jefferson 33,565 Dyer 23,102 Humphreys Gibson Knox 126,638 Dekalb 182,023 Carroll Cumberland 51,910 Cocke 14,532 12,826 White 71,170 22,295 Williamson Rutherford 39,086 27,101 Roane Crockett Cannon Sevier Hickman 38,276 5,508 105,823 Loudon Lauderdale 7,631 27,776 25,522 11,731 24,653 19,797 28,400 Warren Van Buren 12,367 Blount Perry Maury 37,586 Henderson Decatur Madison 11,367 Haywood Rhea 51,271 11,086 91,837 48,014 Bledsoe 26,767 38,961 Bedford 15,540 Lewis Tipton Meigs Marshall Coffee 14,332 11,370 McMinn Monroe Chester 5,740 Grundy Sequatchie 16,842 39,926 29,447 897,472 28,105 25,578 28,806 307,896 69,498 31,340 39,270 87,965 Moore Wayne 20,386 Giles 16,050 Lawrence Shelby Hardeman Hardin Fayette Hamilton McNairy Lincoln Franklin Bradley Marion Polk 0 to 20,000 Tennessee - Counties - 2000 Population 20,000 to 100,000 100,000 to 897,473 © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  11. 6,632 397 2,891 738 12,939 47 9,452 34,270 27,168 3,725 3,733 8,998 Macon Pickett Clay Stewart Robertson Sullivan Hancock 1,339 1,687 2,769 4,775 Montgomery 825 1,956 Sumner Claiborne 733 Johnson 2,482 3,227 Hawkins 5,237 4,114 Trousdale Scott Campbell 2,923 Jackson Lake 14,883 1,070 3,569 Obion 8,772 Fentress 3,564 Overton Henry 7,648 Carter 59,107 Union Weakley 7,056 Washington Houston Cheatham 21,134 Smith Grainger 8,095 10,942 2,457 Hamblen 1,118 3,080 2,013 Davidson Greene Wilson 11,278 Dickson 2,425 Putnam Morgan 2,134 Unicoi Benton Anderson 1,837 46,283 3,063 1,961 12,066 Jefferson 4,424 Dyer 3,012 Humphreys Knox Gibson Dekalb 45,617 63,453 Carroll Cumberland 4,683 Cocke 1,154 2,359 White 20,127 5,541 Williamson Rutherford 7,831 3,610 Roane Crockett Cannon Sevier Hickman 5,284 662 19,854 Loudon Lauderdale 2,916 1,019 3,678 1,259 2,231 360 4,056 Warren Van Buren 2,698 Blount Perry Maury 7,175 Madison Henderson Decatur Haywood 2,120 Rhea 13,703 3,053 13,855 7,675 Bledsoe 5,228 8,420 Bedford 2,721 Lewis Tipton Meigs Coffee Marshall 970 2,507 McMinn Monroe Chester 1,019 Grundy Sequatchie 2,907 3,706 4,623 71,142 4,728 2,945 3,247 22,360 14,686 3,183 Moore 4,545 14,253 Wayne 4,480 2,407 Lawrence Giles Shelby Hardeman Hardin Fayette Hamilton McNairy Lincoln Franklin Bradley Marion Polk 0 to 5,000 5,000 to 10,000 Tennessee - Counties - 1990-2000 Population Growth or Decline 10,000 to 100,000 © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  12. The Next 2 Slides show the ethnicity of Tennessee in 1990 and 2000. The third slide shows the growth or decline in the percentage of the population for each ethnic group. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  13. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  14. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  15. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  16. The Next Graph shows the attendance numbers for the churches in Tennessee in 1990 and 2000. All groups have grown numerically over the last decade. However, as attendance grew, population also grew. A more reliable standard for evaluating increasing or declining influence is the percentage of the population attending church on any given weekend, shown in the second graph. This graph reflects a significant decrease in the percentage of the population attending church, with the exception of Catholic churches. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  17. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  18. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  19. The Next Graph is a Pie graph visualizing the percentage of the population at churches in each category in 2000. The “Absent” category indicates the percentage of the population that is not worshipping at a Christian church on any given weekend. The second graph shows the percentage gain or decline for each category in Tennessee in 1990 and 2000. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  20. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  21. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  22. The 2 Next Charts show the relative strength of the 8 major denominational groups in Tennessee. The first chart illustrates the dominant influence of the Baptist church. The second chart shows change in the percentage of the population attending churches by denomination over the last decade. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  23. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  24. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  25. The Complete Tennessee Powerpoint is 42 slides in length, and is available at http://www.theamericanchurch.org/state/UTN20.htm.It includes maps of church attendance in every county in the metro area, as well as denominational charts, average size charts, church planting charts, ethnicity charts and population growth information. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  26. The next 10 slides are from the “State of the Church in Nashville” Powerpoint. The Complete Powerpoint is 45 slides in length, and is available at http://www.theamericanchurch.org/metro/DesMoines.htm.It includes maps of church attendance in every county in the metro area, as well as denominational charts, average size charts, church planting charts, ethnicity charts and population growth information. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  27. The Next Map shows the attendance numbers for the churches in the Nashville Metro Area in 1990 and 2000. There has been numerical growth for Evangelical, Mainline and Catholic churches. Unfortunately, as worship attendance has grown, the population has grown rapidly. A more reliable standard for evaluating increasing or declining influence is the percentage of the population attending church on any given weekend, shown in the second graph. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  28. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  29. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  30. The Next Chart shows the 1990 & 2000 average church attendance by group for both the Nashville MSA and the nation. Average church attendance for the Nashville MSA is similar to that of the whole nation. The second chart shows the 1990 & 2000 number of churches per 100,000 people in the Nashville MSA and the nation. The Nashville MSA has more Christian churches per 100,000 people than the national average. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  31. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  32. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  33. The Next Map shows the percentage of the population attending a Christian church on any given weekend in 2000 for each county. The Nashville MSA (Metropolitan Statistical Area) includes the counties of Cheatham, Davidson, Dickson, Robertson, Rutherford, Sumner, Williamson and Wilson. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  34. 23.0% 19.8% Robertson Sumner 28.9% 21.5% 23.9% Davidson Wilson Dickson 27.2% 19.5% Williamson Rutherford Cheatham 16.5% Nashville MSA 2000 Christian Church Attendance as a Percentage of Population 2000 Beige = Highest Rose = Middle Blue = Lowest © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  35. The Next Map shows the growth or decline in the percentage of the population attending a Christian church on any given weekend from 1990 to 2000 for each county. One county grew in attendance percentage, while 7 counties declined. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  36. -3.4% -15.7% Robertson Sumner -4.9% -11.3% -5.3% Davidson Wilson Dickson 3.8% -6.3% Williamson Rutherford Cheatham -28.2% Nashville MSA 1990 - 2000 Growth or Decline in Percentage of the Population at Worship in All Christian Churches on a Given Weekend Blue = Decline Rose = Increase © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  37. The Complete Nashville Powerpoint is 45 slides in length, and is available at http://www.theamericanchurch.org/metro/Nashville.htm.It includes maps of church attendance in every county in the metro area, as well as denominational charts, average size charts, church planting charts, ethnicity charts and population growth information. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  38. The next 12 slides are from the “State of the Church in Memphis” Powerpoint. The Complete Powerpoint is 45 slides in length, and is available at http://www.theamericanchurch.org/metro/Memphis.htm.It includes maps of church attendance in every county in the metro area, as well as denominational charts, average size charts, church planting charts, ethnicity charts and population growth information. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  39. The Next Map shows the percentage of the population attending a Christian church on any given weekend in 2000 for each county. The Memphis MSA (Metropolitan Statistical Area) includes the counties of Fayette, Shelby, Tipton, De Soto (MS) and Crittenden (AR). © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  40. 21.5% De Soto 23.2% Crittenden 19.3% Tipton 25.9% 17.0% Shelby Fayette Memphis MSA 2000 Christian Church Attendance as a Percentage of Population 2000 Beige = Highest Rose = Middle Blue = Lowest © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  41. The Next 2 Slides show the ethnicity of the Memphis MSA in 1990 and 2000. The third slide shows the growth or decline in the percentage of the population for each ethnic group. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  42. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  43. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  44. The Next Map shows the attendance numbers for the churches in the Memphis Metro Area in 1990 and 2000. There has been numerical growth for Evangelical and Catholic churches and decline for Mainline churches. Unfortunately, as worship attendance has grown, the population has also grown. A more reliable standard for evaluating increasing or declining influence is the percentage of the population attending church on any given weekend, shown in the second graph. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  45. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  46. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  47. The Next 3 Maps show the growth or decline of attendance percentages for the Evangelical, Catholic and Mainline churches in each county in the Memphis MSA between 1990 and 2000. For evangelicals, one county grew in attendance percentage, while 4 counties declined. For mainline churches, no county grew in attendance percentage, while 5 counties declined. For Catholics, 3 counties grew in attendance percentage, while 2 counties declined. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  48. -1.8% De Soto 8.3% Crittenden -16.1% Tipton -8.7% -21.1% Shelby Fayette Memphis MSA 1990 - 2000 Growth or Decline in Percentage of the Population at Worship in All Evangelical Churches on a Given Weekend Blue = Decline Rose = Increase © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  49. -16.9% De Soto -18.2% Crittenden -20.9% Tipton -14.5% -3.4% Shelby Fayette Memphis MSA 1990 - 2000 Growth or Decline in Percentage of the Population at Worship in All Mainline Churches on a Given Weekend Blue = Decline Rose = Increase © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  50. 33.1% De Soto -60.9% Crittenden 54.3% Tipton -2.4% 12.2% Shelby Fayette Memphis MSA 1990 - 2000 Growth or Decline in Percentage of the Population at Worship in All Catholic Churches on a Given Weekend Blue = Decline Rose = Increase © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

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