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“Consider it Advisable to Launch Attack Force Immediately” [i] : A What if? Investigation and Analysis of the Battle of

“Consider it Advisable to Launch Attack Force Immediately” [i] : A What if? Investigation and Analysis of the Battle of Midway.

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“Consider it Advisable to Launch Attack Force Immediately” [i] : A What if? Investigation and Analysis of the Battle of

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  1. “Consider it Advisable to Launch Attack Force Immediately”[i]:A What if? Investigation and Analysis of the Battle of Midway [i] Rear Admiral Tamon Yamaguchi, IJN, as quoted by Mitsuo Fuchida and Masatake Okumiya in Midway: The Battle that Doomed Japan (Annapolis, Maryland: Naval Institute Press, 1955), 170.

  2. Base, on average, almost precisely modeled actual outcome

  3. CV-5 SBD (1000lb) Min Max StDev Avg Base Model Min Max StDev Avg Strike 1 Min Max StDev Avg Strike 2

  4. CV-5 TBD Min Max StDev Avg Base Model Min Max StDev Avg Strike 1 Min Max StDev Avg Strike 2

  5. TF16 F4F (FP) Min Max StDev Avg Strike 1 Strike 2 Min Max StDev Avg

  6. American Carriers Min Max StDev Avg Strike 1 Strike 2 Min Max StDev Avg

  7. Japanese Carriers Min Max StDev Avg Base Model Min Max StDev Avg Strike 1 Min Max StDev Avg Strike 2

  8. Relation between Japanese Carrier dead and Japanese CAP/FP dead (low)

  9. Relation between Japanese Carrier dead and Japanese CAP/FP dead (high)

  10. Relation between American Fighter Aircraft Dead and Japanese Carrier Dead (High)

  11. Relation between American Fighter Aircraft Dead and Japanese Carrier Dead (Low)

  12. -Weather -Personality Conflicts (Fletcher & Spruance) -Radio Transmission Range -Lt. Tomonaga’s death -VT-3’s tardiness -Japanese carrier decks devoid of aircraft -Willingness of American pilots to face almost certain death -Ability of VF-6’s pilots (Thatch weave) -USS Yorktown’s late launch schedule -etc., etc., etc... Endless number of WHAT IFs?

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