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Regional Workshop on Public-Private Partnership in Transport. Economic Development and Indicators of Infrastructure Provision. Cesar Queiroz Roads and Infrastructure Consultant World Bank Transport and Telecommunication Institute Riga, Latvia, March 6-8, 2007. Presentation Outline.
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Regional Workshop on Public-Private Partnership in Transport Economic Development and Indicators of Infrastructure Provision Cesar Queiroz Roads and Infrastructure Consultant World Bank Transport and Telecommunication Institute Riga, Latvia, March 6-8, 2007
Presentation Outline • Developing and developed countries • Some measures of infrastructure provision • Infrastructure indicators and economic development • How private financing can help • Some policy implications
Developing and Developed Countries • Developing countries include low- and middle-income economies • Developed (advanced, industrial, rich) countries denote high-income economies
Classification of Economies Economies GNI per capita Low-income $875 or less Middle-Income $876 to $10,725 Lower $876 to $3,465 Upper $3,466 to $10,725 High-income $10,726 or more http://web.worldbank.org/WBSITE/EXTERNAL/DATASTATISTICS/0,,contentMDK:20420458~menuPK:64133156~pagePK:64133150~piPK:64133175~theSitePK:239419,00.html
Gross National Income (US$ per Capita) Source: http://devdata.worldbank.org/data-query/
GNI in the Baltic States Economies GNI per capita Upper Middle-Income $3,466 to $10,725 Estonia $9,100 Latvia $6,760 Lithuania $7,050 Source: http://devdata.worldbank.org/data-query/
Extent and condition of road infrastructure in developed and developing countries
Some Measures of Infrastructure • Paved road density (PRD), in km per million persons • Electricity-generating capacity (ELE), in thousands of kilowatts per million persons • Number of telephone connections per million population (TEL) • Railroad tracks (RWY), in km per million population
Average Measures of Infrastructure Economies PRD ELE TEL RWY (km/mil pop) (1,000’s of (# of connec. (km/mil kw/mil pop) /mil pop) pop) Low-income 410 70 7,920 70 Lower-middle 610 190 46,760 190 Income Upper-middle 1,950 560 154,100 330 Income High-income 10,150 2,070 673,000 840
Economic Development and Infrastructure GNI ($/pop) logGNI = 1.39 logPRD R squared: 0.76 98 countries Source: Queiroz and Gautam
Where and How Can PPP help? • In While PPPs are not a panacea, experience in a number of countries, both in the developing and developed worlds, have shown that well structured PPPs can help a country expand its transport infrastructure without overburdening its budget
Some Policy Implications • Transport infrastructure is essential for economic development, • …then sufficient resources should be made available to maintain and expand a country’s transport infrastructure. • Despite relative slowdown, PPPs remain an attractive option for many governments
Cesar QueirozRoad and Transport Infrastructure ConsultantTel +1 202-473 8053Cel +1 301-755 7591Email: queiroz.cesar@gmail.comcqueiroz@worldbank.orgwww.worldbank.org/highways