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12 th National PESO Congress October 10-13. 2012 Baguio Country Club, Baguio City. Helping Filipino Youth to a Good Start : Design of a youth employment facilitation program Kelly Bird Principal Economist Asian Development Bank. Overview of Presentation .
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12th National PESO Congress October 10-13. 2012 Baguio Country Club, Baguio City Helping Filipino Youth to a Good Start : Design of a youth employment facilitation program Kelly Bird Principal Economist Asian Development Bank
Overview of Presentation • Situation of youth in the Philippine labor market – some stylized facts • Evidence on the youth transition from school-to-work • Lessons learned from international experience with youth employment programs • MyFirstJob Project Design Features 2
(5) Shift in the demand for labor in the Philippines(percentage change in share of total employment, 2001 to 2008)
Youth School to Work Transition • The better the links between school and the labor market, the faster the transition from school to work for young people
2009ADB household survey in Manila and Cebu • 500 households and over 1500 individuals (15 to 65 years) • Construct transition indicators of young persons experience from school to work • Median time to find a job • Time path of this transition • How fast is this transition • Factors that influence this transition • Where do young find jobs • Ease of mobility between formal and informal employment 12
Youth School to Work Transition – Main findings • The school to work transition is characterized by a lot of uncertainty for young Filipinos • The transition to work is particularly slow for those with high school qualifications or less • And for young females from lower socio-economic groups
Youth School to Work Transition – Median time to find a job • All youth – 2 years to find any job and 3 years to find a wage job • High school or less – 3 years to find any job and 4 years to find a wage job • At least some college education – 1 year to find any job and 2 years to find a wage job • OECD median is 1.1 years to find a wage job, with Australia, US, Finland with less than 1 year and Italy, Greece and Spain recording 2.3 years or more 14
Youth School to Work Transition – Time Path Youth Employment Rates 1, 5 and 8 years since leaving school 15
Factors that influence the school to work transition • Education gap – statistical analysis shows that high school graduates and HS undergraduates have a slower transition from school to work compared to college graduates • Age gap – teenagers have a more difficult time integrating in the labor market compared to youth • Gender gap – females have a moderately more difficult time finding a first job • Economic gap - family background also influences the transition with young persons from lower socio-economic groups experiencing longer transition from school to work
Where do young persons find jobs? • Most (70%) college graduates find wage employment • About half of young persons with high school education find wage employment • Teenagers (15 to 19 y/o) enter unpaid family work or employment in private households • Young women with high school education or less are more likely to enter these precarious forms of employment 17
Youth School to Work Transition – Youth mobility • The young person’s first job matters in influencing future employability • If your first job is in the formal sector, then you have a 50% chance of finding your next job in the formal sector • If you first job is in self employment, then you have a 70% chance of staying in self employment • Temporary wage contracts are a steeping stone in to formal employment for many young persons 18
Helping Young Filipinos Get a Good Start in the Labor Market • High school graduates or drop outs • Lower socio-economic groups • Young females
Examples of Youth Employment Facilitation Programs • Job search assistance programs • Public employment offices • Outsourced to private employment offices • Training programs for young persons having difficulty integrating into the labor market • Provisioned through training providers • Wage subsidies for employing young persons at entry level positions • Public job creation schemes
Lessons Learned from International Experience • Monitoring and evaluation of programs is necessary to allow for adjustments to program • Programs should be assessed on their net benefits of the program • Benefits = higher employment rates and higher incomes of program participants compared non-participants • Costs = admin costs of programs and risks of employment displacement
Lessons Learned from International Experience • Programs with a mix of strategies tend to perform better than programs with a main strategy • Programs that include job search assistance, counseling, vocational training and wage subsidies tend to perform better in terms of employment rates and higher incomes over the medium term • Example: Joven program in Latin America • JobStart in UK
Lessons Learned from International Experience • Programs with well defined target group tend to do better than general targeting • High school graduates or drop outs, socio-economic disadvantaged groups etc
Lessons Learned from International Experience • Programs with activation strategies tend to do better • Encourage young persons to job search early in the unemployment spell • Active monitoring of job search activities and linked to benefits
Lessons Learned from International Experience • Readiness of public employment offices • Good governance structure • Well trained staff • Well resourced
Proposed MyFirstJob Pilot Project • Background: • Collaboration between ADB and DOLE • MyFirstJob draws on successful youth employment programs in Latin America (i.e., Joven program in Chile), Canada, UK, and several European countries. • MyFirstJob is at the design stage and we aim to pilot in 2013 • Executing agency is Department of labor and Employment • Implemented through selected PESOs • Funded through a grant from Canada International Development Agency 26
MyFirstJobMain features • Counseling services provided to participants in the program • Grants for vocational education (4 weeks and 6 months) • Grants/wage subsidies for job internships with public and private sector employers (up to 12 months) • M&E framework – LM performance of the 1,500 beneficiaries and a similar sized control group will be evaluated • Results will inform GOP on a larger pilot.