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Black Sea region: Development of sunseed production and crushing

Black Sea region: Development of sunseed production and crushing. Sergey Feofilov UkrAgroConsult. Prepared for the Second Seminar “Policy Options for the Ukrainian Sunflower Sector” April 2005. GDP growth rates (Persentage change in real terms). 2.

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Black Sea region: Development of sunseed production and crushing

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  1. Black Sea region: Development of sunseed production and crushing Sergey Feofilov UkrAgroConsult Prepared for the Second Seminar “Policy Options for the Ukrainian Sunflower Sector” April 2005

  2. GDP growth rates(Persentage change in real terms) 2

  3. Black Sea Region: Sunflower Yields, MT/ha 3

  4. Black Sea Region: total sunseed production and crushing, KMT 4

  5. Black Sea Region: sunseed production, KMT 5

  6. Black Sea Region: sunoil exports, MT 6

  7. Sunoil production and export, MMT 7

  8. Ukraine: Forecast of the 2005 grain and sunseed production * forecast 8

  9. New drivers in ag production in the Black Sea countries • Investments in the agrarian sector • Behavior of farmers was modified • Development of export aimed infrastructure of the market • Currency exchange factor • Increase in the government support 9

  10. Investments in the agrarian sector • Growth of input usage • Lower dependence on weather • Stabilization of production • Increase in grain export potential 10

  11. Ukraine: Wholesale prices for heavy fuel 11

  12. Black Sea Region: Main operators of sunseed/sunoil market 12

  13. ROMANIA BULGARIA 13

  14. Government support to the Ag Sector • Cheaper credits and insurance • Direct payments per hectare • Large investment in export logistics 14

  15. Exchange rate of USD to UAH 15

  16. Exchange rate of USD to RUR 16

  17. New markets • WTO joining • Closer to consumers and lower freight rates 17

  18. Ukraine: Sunoil export in 2003/04 season 18

  19. Ukraine: Sunoil export in 2004/05 season (September – January) 19

  20. Ukraine: Sunoil export in 2003/04 season 20

  21. Argentina: Sunoil export in 2003/04 season 21

  22. Argentina: Sunoil export in 2004/05 season (September - January) 22

  23. Ukraine: Crushing margins, $/T 23

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