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Research Design Formulation MKTG 3350:MARKETING RESEARCH Yacheng Sun Leeds School of Business 1
Figure 3.2 Research Design: An Overview Opening Vignette Research Design Definition Fig 3.3 What Would You Do? Types of Basic Research Designs Be a DM! Be an MR! Experiential Learning Table 3.1 Fig 3.4 Exploratory Research Table 3.2 Application to Contemporary Issues International Technology Ethics 3
Opening Vignette What Would You Do? Be a DM! Be an MR! Experiential Learning Application to Contemporary Issues International Technology Ethics Figure 3.2 Research Design: An Overview (Cont.) Descriptive Research Table 3.3 Figs 3.5 & 3.6 Longitudinal Cross-Sectional Causal Research Relationship Among Exploratory, Descriptive, and Causal Research Fig 3.7 Tasks Involved in Research Design Formulation Fig 3.8 4
Opening Vignette What Would You Do? Be a DM! Be an MR! Experiential Learning Application to Contemporary Issues (Fig. 3.9) International Technology Ethics Figure 3.2 Research Design: An Overview (continued) Informational Value and the Cost of Marketing Research Budgeting and Scheduling the Project Marketing Research Proposal 5
Citicorp Banks on Exploratory, Descriptive,and Causal Research Marketing Research atCiticorpis typical in that it is used to measure consumer awareness of products, monitor their satisfaction and attitudes associated with the product, track product usage and diagnose problems as they occur. To accomplish these tasks Citicorp makes extensive use of exploratory, descriptive, and causal research. Often it is advantageous to offer special financial packages to specific groups of customers. In this case, a financial package is being designed for senior citizens. The followingseven-step processwas taken by marketing research to help in the design. 6
Citicorp Banks on Exploratory, Descriptive,and Causal Research 1) A taskforce was created to better define the market parameters to include all the needs of the many Citicorp branches. A final decision was made to include Americans 55 years of age or older, retired, and in the upper half of the financial strata of that market. 7
Citicorp Banks on Exploratory, Descriptive,and Causal Research 2) Exploratory research in the form of secondary data analysis of the mature or older market was then performed and a study of competitive products was conducted. Exploratory qualitative research involving focus groups was also carried out in order to determine the needs and desires of the market and the level of satisfaction with the current products. In the case of senior citizens, a great deal of diversity was found in the market. This was determined to be due to such factors as affluence, relative age, and the absence or presence of a spouse. 8
Citicorp Banks on Exploratory, Descriptive,and Causal Research 3) The next stage of research was brainstorming. This involved the formation of many different financial packages aimed at the target market. In this case, a total of 10 ideas were generated. 9
Citicorp Banks on Exploratory, Descriptive,and Causal Research 4) The feasibility of the 10 ideas generated in step 3 was then tested. The ideas were tested on the basis of whether they were possible in relation to the business. The following list of questions was used as a series of hurdles that the ideas had to pass to continue on to the next step. • Can the idea be explained in a manner that the target market will easily understand? • Does the idea fit into the overall strategy of Citicorp? 10
Citicorp Banks on Exploratory, Descriptive,and Causal Research • Is there an available description of a specific target market for the proposed product? • Does the research conducted so far indicate a potential match for target market needs, and is the idea perceived to have appeal to this market? • Is there a feasible outline of the tactics and strategies for implementing the program? • Have the financial impact and cost of the program been thoroughly evaluated and determined to be in line with company practices? • In this study, only one idea generated from the brainstorming sessionmade it past all the listed hurdles and on to step 5. 11
Citicorp Banks on Exploratory, Descriptive,and Causal Research 5) A creative work-plan was then generated. This plan was to emphasize the competitive advantage of the proposed product as well as better delineate the specific features of the product. 6) The previous exploratory research was now followed up with descriptive research in the form of mall intercept surveys of people in the target market range. The survey showed that the list of special features was too long and it was decided to drop the features more commonly offered by competitors. 12
Citicorp Banks on Exploratory, Descriptive,and Causal Research 7) Finally, the product was test marketed in six of the Citicorp branches within the target market. Test marketing is a form of causal research. Given successful test marketing results, the product is introduced nationally. 13
Figure 3.3. Steps Leading to the Formulation of a Research Design Define the Marketing Research Problem Develop an Approach to the Problem Formulate the Research Design 14
Research Design: Definition • A research design is a framework or blueprint for conducting the marketing research project. It details the procedures necessary for obtaining the information needed to structure or solve marketing research problems. 15
Research Design: Some Observations • The overall research design for a project may include one or more of these three designs as part(s) of it. • Further, if more than one design is to be used, typically we progress from Exploratory toward Causal. 16
Components of a Research Design • Define the information needed (Chapter 2) • Design the exploratory, descriptive, and/or causal phases of the research (Chapters 3 - 8) • Specify the measurement and scaling procedures (Chapters 9 and 10) • Construct and pretest a questionnaire (interviewing form) or an appropriate form for data collection (Chapter 11) • Specify the sampling process and sample size (Chapters 12 and 13) • Develop a plan of data analysis (Chapter 15) 17
Figure 3.4. A Classification of Market Research Designs Research Design Exploratory Research Design Conclusive Research Design Descriptive Research Causal Research Cross-Sectional Design Longitudinal Design 18
Table 3.1 Differences Between Exploratory and Conclusive Research 19
Table 3.1 (Cont.) Differences Between Exploratory and Conclusive Research 20
Table 3.2 A Comparison of Basic Research Designs 21
Table 3.2 (Cont.) A Comparison of Basic Research Designs 22
Uses of Exploratory Research • Formulate a problem or define a problem more precisely • Identify alternative courses of action • Develop hypotheses • Isolate key variables and relationships for further examination • Gain insights for developing an approach to the problem • Establish priorities for further research 23
Methods of Exploratory Research • Survey of experts (discussed in Chapter 2) • Pilot surveys (discussed in Chapter 2) • Secondary data analyzed in a qualitative way (discussed in Chapter 4) • Qualitative research (discussed in Chapter 5) 24
“If you wish to know the road up the mountain, you must ask the man who goes back and forth on it.” -- Zenrinkusi
Use of Descriptive Research • To describe the characteristics of relevant groups, such as consumers, salespeople, organizations, or market areas • To estimate the percentage of units in a specified population exhibiting a certain behavior • To determine the perceptions of product characteristics • To determine the degree to which marketing variables are associated • To make specific predictions 26
Descriptive Research Example Weight Watchers average customer • Woman about 40 years old • Household income of about $50,000 • At least some college education • Trying to juggle children and a job
Are customers born equal? • Bestbuy focuses on catering to high profit customers – sometimes by firing customers that costs it money. • “Devils” are customers who “buy products, apply for rebates, return the purchases, then buy them back at returned-merchandise discounts”. • Analysis also revealed highly profitable customer segments, such as upper income men, suburban women and technology lovers. • Bestbuy are also motivated to renovate many of its business practices
Methods of Descriptive Research • Secondary data analyzed in a quantitative as opposed to a qualitative manner (discussed in Chapters 4 and 5) • Surveys (Chapter 7) • Panels (Chapters 5 and 7) • Observational and other data (Chapter 7) 30
Figure 3.5. Major Types of Descriptive Studies Descriptive Studies • Consumer Perception • And Behavior Studies • Image • Product Usage • Advertising • Pricing • Market • Characteristic • Studies • Distribution • Competitive • Analysis Sales Studies • Market Potential • Market Share • Sales Analysis 31
Cross-sectional and Longitudinal Designs • A cross-sectional design involves the collection of information from any given sample of population elements only once. • In a longitudinal design, a fixed sample (or samples) of population elements is measured repeatedly on the same variables. • A longitudinal design differs from a cross-sectional design in that the sample or samples remain the same over time. 32
Figure 3.6 Cross Sectional vs. Longitudinal Designs T1 T2 Figure 3.6. Cross-Sectional vs. Longitudinal Designs Sample Surveyed at T1 Cross- Sectional Design Same Sample also Surveyed at T2 Sample Surveyed at T1 Longitudinal Design Time 33
Table 3.3 Relative Advantages and Disadvantages of Longitudinal and Cross-Sectional Designs Note: A + indicates a relative advantage over the other design whereas a - indicates a relative disadvantage. 34
Cross-sectional Designs • Involve the collection of information from any given sample of population elements only once. • In single cross-sectional designs, there is only one sample of respondents and information is obtained from this sample only once. • In multiple cross-sectional designs, there are two or more samples of respondents, and information from each sample is obtained only once. Often, information from different samples is obtained at different times. • Cohort analysis consists of a series of surveys conducted at appropriate time intervals, where the cohort serves as the basic unit of analysis. A cohort is a group of respondents who experience the same event within the same time interval. 35
Consumption of Various Soft Drinksby Various Age Cohorts Percentage consuming on a typical day Age 1950 1960 1969 1979 8-19 20-29 30-39 40-49 50+ 52.9 45.2 33.9 23.2 18.1 73.2 76.0 67.7 58.6 50.0 C2 81.0 75.8 71.4 67.8 51.9 C3 62.6 60.7 46.6 40.8 28.8 C1 C8 C7 C6 C5 C4 C1: cohort born prior to 1900 C2: cohort born 1901-10 C3: cohort born 1911-20 C4: cohort born 1921-30 C5: cohort born 1931-40 C6: cohort born 1940-49 C7: cohort born 1950-59 C8: cohort born 1960-69 36
Longitudinal Designs • A fixed sample (or samples) of population elements is measured repeatedly on the same variables • A longitudinal design differs from a cross-sectional design in that the sample or samples remain the same over time 37
Cross-Sectional Data May Not Show Change Brand Purchased Time Period Period 1 Period 2 Survey Survey Brand A 200 200 Brand B 300 300 Brand C 500 500 Total 1000 1000 38
Longitudinal Data May ShowSubstantial Change Brand Purchased in Period 1 Brand Purchased in Period 2 Brand A Brand B Brand C Total Brand A Brand B Brand C Total 100 25 75 200 50 100 150 300 50 175 275 500 200 300 500 1000 39
Uses of Casual Research • To understand which variables are the cause (independent variables) and which variables are the effect (dependent variables) of a phenomenon • To determine the nature of the relationship between the causal variables and the effect to be predicted • METHOD: Experiments 40
Types of Experiments • Two broad classes: • Laboratory experiments: those in which the independent variable is manipulated and measures of the dependent variable are taken in a contrived, artificial setting for the purpose of controlling the many possible extraneous variables that may affect the dependent variable • Field experiments: those in which the independent variables are manipulated and measurements of the dependent variable are made on test units in their natural setting 41
Test Marketing • Test marketing is the phrase commonly used to indicate an experiment, study, or test that is conducted in a field setting. • Two broad classes: • To test the sales potential for a new product or service • To test variations in the marketing mix for a product or service 42
Types of Test Markets • Standard test market: one in which the firm tests the product and/or marketing mix variables through the companies normal distribution channels • Controlled test markets: ones that are conducted by outside research firms that guarantee distribution of the product through prespecified types and numbers of distributors 43
Criteria for Selecting Test Market Cities • Representativeness: Do demographics match the total market? • Degree of isolation: Phoenix and Tulsa are isolated markets; Los Angeles is not isolated. • Ability to control distribution and promotion: Are there preexisting arrangements to distribute the new product in selected channels of distribution? Are local media designed to test variations in promotional messages? 44
Test Marketing • Pros: • Allows most accurate method of forecasting future sales • Allows firms the opportunity to pretest marketing mix variables • Cons: • Does not yield infallible results • Are expensive • Exposes the new product or service to competitors • Takes time to conduct 45
Figure 3.7. Some Alternative Research Designs • Exploratory • Research • Secondary Data Analysis • Focus Groups • Conclusive Research • Descriptive/Causal (a) • Conclusive Research • Descriptive/Causal (b) • Exploratory Research • Secondary Data Analysis • Focus Groups • Conclusive Research • Descriptive/Causal (c) 46 46
Figure 3.8. Tasks Involved In a Research Design Define the Information Needed Design the Exploratory, Descriptive, and/or Causal Phases of the Research Specify the Measurement and Scaling Procedures Construct a Questionnaire Specify the Sampling Process and the Sample Size Develop a Plan of Data Analysis 47