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When To Buy and Sell Gold And Other Commodities. October 6 , 2011 Bob Rubin Safe Money Products http://safemoneyproducts.com bobov@safemoneyproducts.com. When to Buy Gold – Three Systems. When the long-term trend is up. Above 200-day moving average Applies about 55% of the time
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When To Buy and Sell GoldAnd Other Commodities October 6, 2011 Bob Rubin Safe Money Products http://safemoneyproducts.com bobov@safemoneyproducts.com
When to Buy Gold – Three Systems • When the long-term trend is up. • Above 200-day moving average • Applies about 55% of the time • About 32% annualized gain in double-long ETF such as DGP • When gold is up last month in the major currencies • US Dollar, Euro, Yen, Pound Sterling • Then buy for the coming month • Indicates bull market in gold, not just one weak currency • Applies about 32% of the time • About 42% annualized gain in double-long ETF such as DGP Source: Stansberryresearch.com
When to Buy Gold – Three Systems 3.When the first two systems both apply • When the long-term trend is up, and • When gold was up against the four major currencies last month • Applies about 26% of the time • About 50% annualized gain in double-long ETF such as DGP Source: Stansberryresearch.com
Gold Right Now – The Long-Term Trend Is Up Source: bigcharts.com
Silver Can Be Traded Like GoldOther Commodities Possible Source: bigcharts.com
Last 30-Day Silver in Four Currencies Source: bullionspotprice.com/silver
Use Government Data to Forecast Commodity Prices • Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) • Regulates futures markets • http://cftc.gov • See “Commitments of Traders” reports • Shows long, short, and spread positions • For each traded commodity, once a week • For Users, Swap Dealers, Managed Money (hedge funds, CMAs), Other Reportable (big trades), Non-Reportable (us) • Changes show market direction and momentum
Gold Commitments of Traders Source: Commodity Futures Trading Commission