Dr Ian Pearson A trip to the future

1. Dr Ian Pearson A trip to the future www.futurizon.com

2. Virtualisation

3. Living with virtuality Physical World Cyberspace Human world

4. Augmented reality Virtual architecture, data and image superposition, marketing, social and other information. Huge opportunities, but that also means interest from other industries with different agendas, such as Google, Microsoft, eBay or Apple, or government organisations…..

5. Active contact lensPearson 1991 Laser • Resolution limited by the eye • Allows natural distance perception • Tiny environmental footprint Focusing Retina Processing Micromirror Laser Laser Micromirror Gaze direction sensor Diamond substrate Inductive power supply Lasers Gaze direction sensor Comms & ctrl Laser

6. Duality Markets Business, social, government and personal apps Buildings Context and position dependent data Physical world content Virtual content Virtual Personal Personalised overlay Business Social Augmented reality interfaces Physical world Virtual worlds

7. Politics andsocialisation

8. Future power will be web based Young people in one country are more like young people in another than older people in their own As networks become more mature non-geographic politics will start to dominate People will belong to a number of network tribes and will identify other members via their augmented reality Country A Cybercommunity X Country B CybercommunityY Country C Cybercommunity Z Real World Cyberspace

9. Digital bubble Digital bubbles change how people network and socialise by enabling intelligent exchange of appropriate information and filtering out junk. Works well with QR codes or image recognition too

10. Digital mirror, active make-up Digital mirror lets you customise virtual appearance. Can use with active makeup, or clothes auras to change look all through the day

11. Single Global Currency Celebrity cash Collectable cash Micro/nanopayments Multimedia cash Analog payments Hyperlinked cash Negotiable cash Credit Personalised cash Corporate cash Vouchers Guaranteed/qualified cash Loyalty points Time based value cash Tax free/tax paid Conditional cash Volatile cash Algorithmic cash Internal currency Forward dated cash Agent/robot economy Intranet cash Information brokerage Electronic money 2020Today’s Oyster Card is just the beginning Assigned cash Safe pocket money Playground economy Family token systems Babysitting tokens Club/society currency Neighbourhood currency LETS Favours IOUs Play money Aesthetic cash Ethical cash

12. Convergence

13. NBIC Convergence(nano-bio-info-cogno) Biotech and IT advances make body, clothes and machine connectable Nanotech gives us tiny devices Tiny sensors help neuroscience figure out how the mind works Improving machine intelligence accelerates R&D in every sphere Insights from neuroscience feed into machine intelligence

14. Phones & tablets Retail Tracking TV IT-side Convergence Visors Augmented reality Profiling Games Film Mags Food Games technology is really key to convergence because it is the focal point for advanced interfaces and display interaction Clothes E-ink

15. Tiny computers FXI USB stick sized, 1GHz Arm 9 with 1G RAM, HDTV, WiFi, Bluetooth, microSD slot Raspberry Pi, £22, Linux, similar chip to iPhone 3G, used with TV like Spectrum Such small computing devices could easily be integrated into clothing, jewellery or accessories

16. Comms Store Processing Store Tag Sensor Sensor Sensor Sensor Sensor Sensor Tag Tag Processing Comms Tag Store Store Comms Processing Tag Data networksClouds, tags, mobiles and sensor networks Environment will be very rich in processors, tags, data stores, sensors and communicators. Our clothes and vehicles will also be full of IT capability

17. Public service data Digital air Background data radiation and public information will be ubiquitous, context dependent data will be pulled off the net and from packaging, marketing messages pushed by in-store beacons, and sticky information will brush off and be transmitted person to person down the street Positioning services Advertising Beacons RFID chips in products Digital bubbles

18. Electronic jewellery Social status Medical monitoring, alarms Networking Any form Digital image augmentation Communication, data distribution Digital bubble Sensing Decoration Mobile website Tribal signalling Identification, security Miniaturisation will bring everyday IT down to lapel-pin size. Combinations of devices can monitor and relay a wide variety of data.

19. Active skin & video tattoos • Body adornment • Video tattoos • Smart makeup • Smart perfumery • Digital aura Wearable layer Detachable layer Transfer layer Skin Mid-term layer Epidermis Permanent layer Dermis

20. Magnetic field Radiation (EM or nuclear) External sensors Magnetic field Wearable sensors Temperature Detachable sensors Location Implanted sensors Proximity Sound Chemical or microbiological presence Data Pollutants Extra senses, remote monitoring and sensory enhancement Audio Sensory translation unit Video Output Input Heat or vibration Pain or pleasure Alarms Telemetry Monitors Logs Control systems Messaging

21. 3d Printing, local manufacture 3d printing can make complex accessories that can contain lots of IT or mechanical functionality as well as look nice

22. Security

23. Bypassing web restrictions: Jewellery nets Wireless links Wireless LAN link to web and between clusters Direct inter-device networking will become an important alternative internet platform. This also moves the customer away from mobile nets, and device manufacturers take share.

24. Security threats Smart dust Internal signals indicate every piece of data that is processed by MFP. Signals can be captured and stored in smart dust until agent walks past, then silently transmitted to his memory stick. Agent MFP

25. Espionage 35nm tech means 200M transistors/mm2. Small specks of smart dust can be concealed anywhere e.g. sand or dirt, passed on by handshake, or dust settling from the air, in food, seeds, gravel or in clothes, stick to shoes. Air conditioning is new security risk Even coins or banknotes could be used to hide devices to monitor And record and transmit activity Ant: 10mm Apple 2 computers: 0.015mm

26. Test in Limited Environment Computer crime Replicate with Errors • Evolution techniques work just as well for criminal software • Can make use of distributed computing platform, with or without permission • Emergence encoded software • Fraud engines using ecosystem adaptation • Blackmail engines, using surveillance Kill Poor Performers Select Fittest

27. AI Development

28. Special Occasional Everyday Outer core Core H/W ROM FRAM Disk Net Ultra-simple computing Using simple chips and techniques wherever possible, IT can be made more secure, reliable, cheap, and compact, even fitting in very tiny devices.

29. Large number of capsules suspended in gel using free-space comms to link up to form ad-hoc circuitry Gel computing Single core Dual core Self-organisation used with AI-controlled evolution to build circuit/function libraries and eventually strong AI Digital Quad core LED Rx comms 48 core Storage Processing Sensor Power Digital & Analog Sensing Massively multiple core-multiple chip Sensor

30. Gel playback Sensory stimulus Optical ‘hormone’ Sensory echo Internal sensing Neural response neural vortex generation sensory encoding Neural interference processing vortex OB1 - optical brain mk1A conscious computer 1 trillion neurons in 100ml gel 1 billion times more powerful than brain, with up to 2 million emotions & unlimited senses Could be fully sentient Could be benign or malicious Can be linked to other devices via the net

31. Care economy businesses Value of community & social wellbeing Value of physical/ intellectual Work time More face to face interaction, needing emotional and ‘human’ skills. Trust will be a very key factor and requires better integration. Companies need to adapt to work more closely with the community.

32. Revaluation of human skills Today, people often work as smart machines Tomorrow, they will have to focus on interpersonal skills Interpersonal skills increase as people age, allowing older people to do useful work We will see more status for women too

33. Economic change

34. 2010 2015 2020 2025 Part-reversal of globalisation Machine intelligence changes nature of work. Economic protectionism and regionalisation returns Strong potential for virus outbreaks forcing travel constraints Carbon economics dictates less global transportation Global arrangements for most things, but work and consumption patterns will be increasingly localised Many things are being globalised

35. Winners and losers Brazil Russia India Indonesia China South Africa Kazakhstan Cybernations Parallel governance Europe, espEurozone Japan USA Middle East Some African countries Importance of rare earths and lithium

36. Business will change faster Risk taking pays dividends in periods of rapid change You should not focus on being best-in-class. You need agility. Optimisation is only a good strategy in a stable environment.

37. Much wider variety of ad-hoc business models with more freelancers, coops and virtual companies Reorganisation and restructuring Some kinds of companies need lots of capital or infrastructure, others can more easily be decomposed and restructured. But none are invulnerable to change.

38. Sustainability

39. IT progress gives us more for less But it isn’t over yet!!!

40. Rapid IT obsolescence Impact = device population x device impact Number of devices Device size and power consumption slow fast time The faster we go through the obsolescence cycle, the smaller the overall environmental impact.

41. Thank you idpearson@gmail.com www.futurizon.com twitter.com/timeguide Latest book, in Kindle Store