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The IKARUS Instruments D. Martinsen, V. Krey, P. Markewitz, S. Vögele

The IKARUS Instruments D. Martinsen, V. Krey, P. Markewitz, S. Vögele Systems Analysis and Technology Evaluation (STE) Forschungszentrum Jülich GmbH 52425 Jülich Germany. IKARUS Instruments. Structure of the IKARUS Energy System. >. j. Long Term Energy Supply Time period 2 - 5 decades

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The IKARUS Instruments D. Martinsen, V. Krey, P. Markewitz, S. Vögele

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  1. The IKARUS Instruments D. Martinsen, V. Krey, P. Markewitz, S. Vögele Systems Analysis and Technology Evaluation (STE) Forschungszentrum Jülich GmbH 52425 Jülich Germany Systems Analysis and Technology Evaluation (STE)

  2. IKARUS Instruments Systems Analysis and Technology Evaluation (STE)

  3. Structure of the IKARUS Energy System Systems Analysis and Technology Evaluation (STE)

  4. > j Systems Analysis and Technology Evaluation (STE)

  5. Long Term Energy SupplyTime period 2 - 5 decades Perfect foresight LP-Model MARKAL with IKARUS-Data 1 ............ Optimum ........... n Time-step LP-Model IKARUS-Model Opt. Opt. Opt. Opt. 1 .......... i-1 i n Heritage (Capacities) Corrections of data (z.B. load, η) (Elasticities, Learning and Order of scale,...) Dynamics MIS-Model „Forecast “ or Projection. Interaction without Iteration. „Sudden“ Changes. Flexibility or „Lost opportunities“.  Systems Analysis and Technology Evaluation (STE)

  6. Systems Analysis and Technology Evaluation (STE)

  7. Demographic and overall Economic Data Systems Analysis and Technology Evaluation (STE)

  8. Demand of Passenger and Freight Traffic 1) without pedestrians and cyclists. Air traffic: Domestic concept Systems Analysis and Technology Evaluation (STE)

  9. Future Prices for Imported Energy Carriers Systems Analysis and Technology Evaluation (STE)

  10. Important Bounds concerning Energy Policy and Quantity Potentials Systems Analysis and Technology Evaluation (STE)

  11. Energy Scenarios for Germany 2000 - 2030: • Reference scenario • CO2-scenarios: • „Innovation+Saving“Imposing various technical (measures of improvements) and economic guidelines in order to advance innovation and energy saving (for example by laws or subsidies) • „Reduction Scenario“Giving boundary conditions (CO2 constraint) only and leaving to the energy system to decide which options should be chosen to fulfill these conditions Systems Analysis and Technology Evaluation (STE)

  12. Systems Analysis and Technology Evaluation (STE)

  13. Systems Analysis and Technology Evaluation (STE)

  14. Systems Analysis and Technology Evaluation (STE)

  15. Systems Analysis and Technology Evaluation (STE)

  16. Systems Analysis and Technology Evaluation (STE)

  17. Systems Analysis and Technology Evaluation (STE)

  18. Capacity and Load of Power Plants Systems Analysis and Technology Evaluation (STE)

  19. Energy-related Infrastructure in Western and Central Europe Systems Analysis and Technology Evaluation (STE)

  20. End of Presentation Systems Analysis and Technology Evaluation (STE)

  21. Additional Slides Systems Analysis and Technology Evaluation (STE)

  22. Systems Analysis and Technology Evaluation (STE)

  23. Reference Reduction 2000 2010 2020 2030 Systems Analysis and Technology Evaluation (STE)

  24. Development of some Industrial Products Systems Analysis and Technology Evaluation (STE)

  25. Systems Analysis and Technology Evaluation (STE)

  26. Systems Analysis and Technology Evaluation (STE)

  27. Systems Analysis and Technology Evaluation (STE)

  28. CO2 Emissions in Germany 2002 834 million tons Systems Analysis and Technology Evaluation (STE)

  29. Systems Analysis and Technology Evaluation (STE)

  30. Systems Analysis and Technology Evaluation (STE)

  31. Systems Analysis and Technology Evaluation (STE)

  32. Reference Scenario Systems Analysis and Technology Evaluation (STE)

  33. Systems Analysis and Technology Evaluation (STE)

  34. Systems Analysis and Technology Evaluation (STE)

  35. Systems Analysis and Technology Evaluation (STE)

  36. Systems Analysis and Technology Evaluation (STE)

  37. Systems Analysis and Technology Evaluation (STE)

  38. Scenario: „Innovation + Saving“ The most important changes compared to the reference scenario: Power plants Efficiency improvement 2 – 3 points. Industry Measures of energy saving for production and utilization of process heat and electricity. Small consumer Thermal insulation of buildings within renovation. Measures for saving of process heat and use of electricity. Household Thermal insulation of old buildings within renovation. Improved standard of space heat demand for new houses. More efficient use of electricity in new appliances. Transport Vehicles with a clear reduction of fuel consumption. Share of public transport at the upper limit. Systems Analysis and Technology Evaluation (STE)

  39. Systems Analysis and Technology Evaluation (STE)

  40. Systems Analysis and Technology Evaluation (STE)

  41. Systems Analysis and Technology Evaluation (STE)

  42. Reduction Scenario Systems Analysis and Technology Evaluation (STE)

  43. Systems Analysis and Technology Evaluation (STE)

  44. Systems Analysis and Technology Evaluation (STE)

  45. Reduction Scenario Systems Analysis and Technology Evaluation (STE)

  46. Systems Analysis and Technology Evaluation (STE)

  47. Systems Analysis and Technology Evaluation (STE)

  48. Systems Analysis and Technology Evaluation (STE)

  49. Others Systems Analysis and Technology Evaluation (STE)

  50. Systems Analysis and Technology Evaluation (STE)

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