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AFRICAN BANKING CORPORATION. Results Presentation for the Half Year ended 30 June 2008. Agenda. Economic Environment Financial Performance Overview Income statement review Balance sheet review Outlook Strategic shift Challenges & outlook Capitalisation Dividend.
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AFRICAN BANKING CORPORATION Results Presentation for the Half Year ended 30 June 2008
Agenda • Economic Environment • Financial Performance • Overview • Income statement review • Balance sheet review • Outlook • Strategic shift • Challenges & outlook • Capitalisation • Dividend
ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT & INDUSTRY ATTRACTIVENESS *2006 Sources: - IMF – World economic outlook database: April 07 -Central Banks statistics
Economic environment • World economic Growth is expected to slow down due to the credit crisis in the US and other Developed Countries. • Real GDP growth for all the Southern African Countries, with the exception of Zimbabwe is expected to be higher than 5% in 2008 • Commodities boom largely responsible for the Growth • Inflation is expected to soar largely due to increase in food and Oil prices • Banking assets continue to grow • Botswana has the highest GDP per Capita and highest banking assets per Capita • Positive interest rates ( Except in Zimbabwe) • Relative stability for all currencies ( except Zimbabwe) • Zimbabwe in a hyper inflationary environment, June inflation at 11.2 million percent!!
ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT– Exchange Rates • ZWD and MZM revalued in 2006 • ZWD Old Mutual implied rate
ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT– Exchange Rates • ZWD Old Mutual implied rate • ZWD revalued in August 2008 (10 zeroes removed)
Economic Environment – Inflation & Interest Rates * 90 day * 1 year
FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE • Overview • Income Statement Review • Balance Sheet Review
FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE - Overview • Attributable profit up by 50% from BWP 55.3m to BWP 82.6m • Net asset value up by 66% and 31% to BWP 410 million from June 2007 and December 2007 respectively • Return on equity of 46% compared to 43% achieved in prior year • Net interest income for financial operations up by 68% from BWP 53.7 million to BWP 90 million • Cost to income ratio down to 46%
FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE - Overview • Balance sheet growth of 24% and 14% from June 2007 and December 2007 respectively to BWP 3.3 billion • Loans and advances up by 49% and 30% from June 2007 and December 2007 respectively to BWP 1.6 billion • Deposits increased by 26% and 16% from June 2007 and December 2007 respectively to BWP 2.3 billion • Strong results across the board • Dividend of 8 Thebe per share
FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE: Profit per Subsidiary *Adjusted for minority interest & includes TDFL **Prior year adjustments( application of hedge accounting)
INCOME STATEMENT REVEIW • All Banking operations are profitable • All operations except ABC Botswana posted results that are better than what was achieved last year • Botswana affected by impairments of BWP 8.3 largely due to one client • All key performance indicators for ABCB are very positive • Mozambique, Tanzania and Zimbabwe posted very strong results • Financial operations outside 42% ( BWP 21.6 million) to this segment • While Zambia is profitable its performance is not satisfactory • Massive depreciation of the Zimbabwe dollar
INCOME STATEMENT REVEIW • NII declined by 11% to BWP 107.3m • Massive depreciation of the Zimbabwe dollar • Huge increase in non interest earning assets in Zimbabwe • Cost of additional Tier II capital still a burden, but now reversing as capital is fully leveraged • NII covered 67% of costs, down from 81% in 2006 • Botswana contributed 27% to NII, up from 17% in prior year • Zimbabwe contribution to NII declined by over 100%
INCOME STATEMENT REVIEW • Mozambique contribution increased from 17% to 22% • Zambia and Tanzania registered growth albeit off a low base • Non-interest revenue increased by 37% to BWP 231.7m. • Operations outside Zimbabwe contribution to non-interest revenue up from 43% in 2006 to 48% • Impairments charge of BWP 32.9m up 25% compared to 2006. Botswana and Zambia most affected. • Significant write backs in Botswana.
INCOME STATEMENT REVIEW – Total income *Including TDFL
INCOME STATEMENT REVIEW – Net interest income *Including TDFL
INCOME STATEMENT REVIEW – Other income *Including TDFL
INCOME STATEMENT REVIEW: Total income composition Excluding impairments Other income still the main income driver NII income covers 67% of costs Leverage of new capital should change the dynamics in 2008
INCOME STATEMENT REVIEW: Operating expenditure Cost to income ratio down due to a combination of: • Zimbabwe dollar depreciation • cost containment
INCOME STATEMENT REVIEW: Operating expenditure • Cost to income ratio at an all time low of 47% • Operating expenditure up 10% to BWP 160m • Sustained cost containment throughout the group • Pula costs in Zimbabwe lower due to the ZWD depreciation • Head count at 395 compared to 337 prior year; employee costs accounted for 54% compared with 57% in 2006 • Marketing costs set to increase in support of growth targets and retail roll out
Head count per Operation • Total employee costs up from BWP82m to BWP87 m • Employee costs 54% of total costs • Staff compliment of 395 (2006: 337) • Head count set to increase significantly in 2008
BALANCE SHEET REVIEW • Balance sheet grew by 20% from BWP 2.4 billion to BWP 2.9 billion • Loans and advances increased by 33% to BWP 1.25 billion in line with group’s aggressive asset growth ambitions • Deposits up by 28% to BWP 1.96 billion; Botswana contributed 51% to total deposits • NAV up by 15% to BWP 313.8m compared to Dec 2006 • Zimbabwe FCTR up BWP 104m in 2007
BALANCE SHEET REVIEW: Total Assets 20% balance sheet growth compared to December 06 sustained balance sheet growth since 2003 Compound annual growth rate of 21.01%
BALANCE SHEET REVIEW: Geographic split of deposits • 28% growth in Deposits • Botswana continues to lead and breached the BWP 1 billion mark • Very good growth in Tanzania & Zambia, albeit from a low base
BALANCE SHEET REVIEW: Loans and advances • Net loans increased by 33% from December 2006 • All subsidiaries registered growth • Overall compound annual growth rate of 28.81%
BALANCE SHEET REVIEW: Capital *Including Tier II **Including TDFL ***Including Microfin Zimbabwe FCTR up BWP104m since Dec 06
BALANCE SHEET REVIEW: Capital Adequacy Healthy capital adequacy ratios in all subsidiaries due to injection of capital & prudent capital preservation in Zimbabwe
DIVIDEND • Directors propose a dividend of 14 thebe (ZWD 529,839.00) per share • Dividend cover of 6.9 times
CAPITALISATION • IFC subscription of 13.9 million shares, bringing shareholding to 10.7% in January 2008 • IFC Convertible loan still to be drawn down • CVCI approved investment of USD 25 million on terms broadly similar to IFC convertible loan • Directors evaluating hybrid offer: rights issue and private placement • Group well positioned for sustained growth
OUTLOOK: STRATEGIC SHIFT OVER THE NEXT 12 MONTHS • Group embarking on an ambitious growth path driven by: • retail banking roll out • branch network expansion • introduction of e-banking • mortgage finance • Consumer banking (debit cards, credit cards, auto loans)
OUTLOOK & CHALLENGES • Acquisition of profitable assets • Deposit mobilization remains a key focus area for the group, particularly in Zambia • Changing the business model –People, processes, systems and culture • Retail banking structure in place from 3rd quarter of 2008 • Branch profitability: 12 months to 24 months