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June Conference Call. presented by Harry S. Dent, Jr. (2011). (1993). Retail Sales, Spain 2001-2012. Year over Year Change. Data Source: Bloomberg, 2012. ECB Overnight Deposits 1997-2012. Monthly Change, Millions of Euros. Data Source: European Central Bank, April 2012.
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June Conference Call presented by Harry S. Dent, Jr. (2011) (1993)
Retail Sales, Spain2001-2012 Year over Year Change Data Source: Bloomberg, 2012
ECB Overnight Deposits1997-2012 Monthly Change, Millions of Euros Data Source: European Central Bank, April 2012
Brazil, Quarterly GDP2009-2011 Year Over Year Percent Change Data Source: Central Bank of Brazil, 2012
India, Quarterly GDP2009-2012 Year Over Year Percent Change Data Source: Organization for Economic Co-operative Development, 2012
China, Quarterly GDP2009-2012 Year Over Year Percent Change Data Source: Organization for Economic Co-operative Development, 2012
China, Trends Year over Year Change Source: “Understanding the China Slowdown,” Dexter Roberts, Bloomberg Business Week. 5/31/2012
TARGET2 Loan BalancesEuro Zone Countries Billions Data Source: ECB, Target Quarterly Report, 2012
Total Owed to Central Banks and ECB Billions Data Source: ECB, Target Quarterly Report, April 2012; Financial Statements of: Central Banks of Italy, Spain, Ireland, Greece, Portugal, 2012
Gross External Debt, PIIGS with Germany, 2011 Data Source: World Bank, IMF, SDDS/QEDS, 2012
Gross External Debt in Past Key Financial Crises Data Source: “The PIGS’ external debt problem,” Ricardo Cabral, 5/8/2012
Net External Debt, PIIGS with Germany, 2011 Data Source: Eurostat, IMF, 2012
Iceland, Imports and Exports2000-2011 Billions of Iclelandic Kr. Currency Devaluation Data Source: IMF, St. Louis Fed, 2012
Exports/Imports as Percent of GDP, Key European Countries Data Source: IMF, St. Louis Federal Reserve, CIA World Fact Book, 2012
Percent of GDP Exposed to Exports to PIIGS Data Source: IMF, St. Louis Federal Reserve, CIA World Fact Book, 2012
Germany, Exports in U.S. Dollars to Key European Countries, 2011 Data Source: IMF, St. Louis Federal Reserve, CIA World Fact Book, 2012
Germany, Export Exposure to PIIGS, 2011 Data Source: IMF, St. Louis Federal Reserve, CIA World Fact Book, 2012
Spain Trade Balances,Key European Countries, 2011 Data Source: IMF, St. Louis Federal Reserve, CIA World Fact Book, 2012
Total Government and Private Debt to GDP, PIIGS Debt to GDP 406% 400% 332% 266% Data Source: “Measuring the Unfunded Liabilities of European Countries,” Jagadeesh Gokhal, 2011; OECD
NYSE, MACD Indicator1998-2012 Source: Chart courtesy of StockCharts.com, 2012
VIX- S&P 500 Implied Volatility2008- 2012 Data Source: Yahoo Finance, 2012
CRB Index1998-2015 B .62 .62 1.00 A C Data Source: Bloomberg, 2012
Crude Oil, WTI 1998-2014 5 or B B 3 1 4 A C 2 Data Source: Bloomberg, 2012
Gold Sentiment October 2007- June 2012 Data Source: Trade-Futures.com, 2012
10-Year Treasury Bond Channel1989-2015 Data Source: Yahoo! Finance, 2012
Spain, IBEX 352003-2015 5 B A C Data Source: Bloomberg, 2012
S&P 500, Scenario 1 2012 2 2 4 1 3 5 1 Data Source: Yahoo! Finance, 2012
S&P 500, Scenario 2 2012 2 2 1 1 Data Source: Yahoo! Finance, 2012
S&P 500, Reverse Head-and-Shoulders Pattern, March- July 2012 2 2 S ? S H Data Source: Yahoo! Finance, 2012
June Conference Call presented by Harry S. Dent, Jr. (2011) (1993)