260 likes | 364 Views
Priorities in addressing economic and financial shocks: Some Perspectives from Asia-Pacific LLDCs. S yed Nuruzzaman C hief Countries with Special Needs Section E SCAP. Basic indicators of socio-economic performance of Asian LLDCs. Economic and financial shocks and the LLDCs. 4.
E N D
Priorities in addressing economic and financial shocks: Some Perspectives from Asia-Pacific LLDCs Syed Nuruzzaman Chief Countries with Special Needs Section ESCAP
Basic indicators of socio-economic performance of Asian LLDCs
External shocks and Coping Capacity A country’s vulnerability to external setbacks depends on the extent of its exposure to global economy and its capacity to cope
Nature of vulnerabilities of LLDCs • High proportion of exports to advanced countries • Primary commodity exporters • Highly dependent on capital flows – private, official (ODA) and remittance • High external debt
Crisis Transmission in LLDCs • Direct balance sheet effects • The credit squeeze • Reduced availability of trade credit • Effects • Fall in primary commodity prices • Falling export volumes • Reduced private investment flows • Reduced Official Flows • Reduced remittance flows
Varying levels of country exposure & coping capacity More exposure to external economic shocks Less exposure to external economic shocks Weaker capacity to cope with crisis Stronger capacity to cope with crisis
Direction of merchandise exports (% of total)
Global economic crisis could push additional people into extreme poverty
Slow progress in reducing poverty and hunger Progress in eradicating extreme poverty and hunger in LLDCs (MDG1)
Building resilience – inclusive and sustainable development • Prepare for ‘new normal’- build instability in the global markets and external shocks in development strategy • Focus on broad-based, employment-intensive and inequality-reducing development strategy • Economic growth driven by productive capacity development • Diversify export base and destinations • Invest in internal connectivity • Land-linked hubs with strong transport corridors and trade facilitation • Regional and south-south trade and financial cooperation • Maintain macroeconomic stability, rule of law and reduce corruption • International support through trade, investment, remittance, aid, and technology transfer • Strengthen social protection • Improve basic services and their delivery
Promoting social protection Social protection in Asia and the Pacific, selected countries