1 / 21

Utilisation of Soft Operational Research Methods within Capability Based Planning

Utilisation of Soft Operational Research Methods within Capability Based Planning. Emile F Pelletier Strategic Planning Operational Research Team Defence Research and Development Canada Centre for Operational Research and Analysis 1-09-2010. Utilisation of Soft OR Methods within CBP Outline.

afra
Download Presentation

Utilisation of Soft Operational Research Methods within Capability Based Planning

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. Utilisation of Soft Operational Research Methods within Capability Based Planning Emile F PelletierStrategic Planning Operational Research Team Defence Research and Development CanadaCentre for Operational Research and Analysis 1-09-2010

  2. Utilisation of Soft OR Methods within CBP Outline • References • Introduction • the SC2RAT Tool • Inputs • Method • Outputs • Way Ahead • Questions

  3. Utilisation of Soft OR Methods within CBP References • Burton, R.M.H., Christopher, G.L., Chouinard, P., Kerzner, L.F., Maj Simonds, K., (2005). Procedures, processes and tools of capability-based planning: An outline for a Canadian approach.DRDC-CORA TR 2005-035, November, 2005. • Christopher, G., Blakeney, D., Petryk, R., Taylor, B., Kerzner, L., Fong, V., …, Beard, A., (2009). Strategic capability roadmap version 1.0 analytic framework.DRDC-CORA TR 2009-013, December, 2009. • TTCP JSA TP3 (2006). Guide to capability-based planning [Word document].Retrieved from Public Scientific & Technical Information Online Web site. http://www.dtic.mil/ttcp/JSA-TP-3-CBP-Paper-Final.doc.

  4. Utilisation of Soft OR Methods within CBP Introduction • Capability Based Planning process depends on harnessing ‘soft’ SME inputs into numeric data to use to produce an investment plan.

  5. Utilisation of Soft OR Methods within CBP Introduction (Burton, Christopher, Chouinard, Kerzner, & Simonds, 2005)

  6. Utilisation of Soft OR Methods within CBP Capability Planning • Steps to Identify Capability Requirements • Chief of Defense Staff Action Team Capability Assessment Matrix(CATCAM) • Output: Prioritised list of Capability requirements, Capability goals (MoC) (Christopher et al., 2009)

  7. Utilisation of Soft OR Methods within CBP Capability Management • Map CF Force Structure to required Capabilities • The Scenario Capability + Capacity Requirements Assessment / Outlook Tool (SC2RAT) • A set of scenarios assessed with SC2RAT generates a list of Capability deficiencies. • Concurrency analysis completes this list and allows production of a list of affluences. • Consideration of capability deficiencies and development of possible alternatives

  8. Utilisation of Soft OR Methods within CBP Components of SC2RAT • SC2RAT uses a mix of hard and soft elements • Soft OR in SC2RAT: • SMEs provide objective input • Interpreting MoCs that come from planning • Judgment to choose Force Elements to conduct required capabilities and assessing quantities of each FE required • Hard OR in SC2RAT: • Algorithms and various calculations

  9. The SC2RAT ToolInputs • Scenarios • Scenario Analysis (CATCAM) • Capability requirements • Prioritisation of Capabilities (CATCAM scores) • Measures of Capability (MoCs) • Capability Framework • Force Structure

  10. The SC2RAT ToolInputs Qualitative Capability Framework Scenarios Measures of Capability Conceptual Factual ForceStructure CATCAMScores Quantitative Subject Matter Expert (SME) input SME + OR Analyst Support input

  11. The SC2RAT ToolMethod • SMEs determine: • Force Elements (w/ qty.) to conduct Capabilities • Assessment across time-slices • SC2RAT calculates: • Capability Outlook: a colour-coded depiction of the overall ‘health’ of capabilities over time • Capability Deficiencies • Force Packages: list quantities of FEs required

  12. The SC2RAT Tool Method Snapshot from SC2RAT, summer 2010 version

  13. The SC2RAT ToolMethod • Soft aspects of SC2RAT method • Group interpretation of MoCs: • translate into quantifiable assessments which are quantities of FEs needed to conduct capabilities • Working with conceptual inputs: • Capability Framework • Scenarios • CATCAM scores

  14. The SC2RAT Tool Outputs • Capability Outlook to show results at a broad level • Capability Deficiencies for consideration and development of Alternatives • Force Packages for input into the Concurrency Tool to allow for identification of Capability affluences Snapshot from SC2RAT, summer 2010 version

  15. The SC2RAT Tool Outputs Qualitative Conceptual Factual Quantitative

  16. The SC2RAT Tool Outputs Qualitative Capability Deficiencies Capability Outlook Conceptual Factual Force Packages Quantitative Subject Matter Expert (SME) output SME + OR Analyst Support output

  17. The SC2RAT Tool Outputs Qualitative Capability Framework Scenarios Capability Deficiencies Measures of Capability Capability Outlook Conceptual Factual ForceStructure CATCAMScores Force Packages Quantitative Subject Matter Expert (SME) output SME + OR Analyst Support output Subject Matter Expert (SME) input SME + OR Analyst Support input

  18. The SC2RAT Tool Way Ahead • Capturing discussions in SC2RAT (‘soft’) • Allow the allocation algorithm to substitute different FEs for unavailable FEs (‘hard’)

  19. Questions

More Related