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Trends in the Global Cotton Market: Where Does Africa Stand?

Trends in the Global Cotton Market: Where Does Africa Stand?. Dr. Alejandro Plastina , Economist International Cotton Advisory Committee 11 th Congress of A.C.A. - Lomé , Togo - March 22, 2013. Past Trends in Cotton Production. World Cotton Production and Mill Use. Million tons.

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Trends in the Global Cotton Market: Where Does Africa Stand?

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  1. Trends in the Global Cotton Market: Where Does Africa Stand? Dr. Alejandro Plastina , Economist International Cotton Advisory Committee 11th Congress of A.C.A. - Lomé, Togo - March 22, 2013

  2. Past Trends in Cotton Production

  3. World Cotton Production and Mill Use Million tons Production Mill Use

  4. Cotton Production in Africa Million tons Share of World Production Production

  5. Cotton Area in Africa Million hectares Share of World Area Area

  6. World Average Yield (rainfed + irrigated) Kg/ha 762 576 Africa: Avg. 362

  7. Africa: Cotton Production by Region Million tons East and Southern Africa

  8. Africa: Cotton Area by Region Million hectares East and Southern Africa

  9. Africa: Yields by Region Kilograms of lint per hectare East and Southern Africa

  10. Cotton Mill Use in Africa Million tons Share of World Mill Use Mill Use

  11. Cotton Exports in Africa Million tons Share of World Exports Exports

  12. Future Trends in Cotton Supply and Use

  13. World Cotton Area Million Hectares

  14. Technological Changes in Agriculture • Mechanization • Synthetic fertilizers • Insecticides • Herbicides • Biotechnology • ?

  15. Average World Yield Kg/ha

  16. World Cotton Production Million Tons

  17. Cotton Area in Africa Million hectares

  18. Cotton Production in Africa Million tons

  19. African Cotton: Buyers Perceptions Positives: High Quality Fewer Neps Negatives: Contaminated Declining Availability Difficult Logistics Hand classed

  20. Share of Africa in World Consumption of New Cotton Textiles

  21. Domestic production or imported?

  22. African Cotton Sector: other issues Yarn production: China  ASEAN  Africa? Global futures contract: FOB African port? Second hand clothing? Can problems be solved? CFC/ICAC Project on Sudan cotton stickiness. $95 million extra revenue 1997-2009

  23. Thank you for you attention www.icac.org

  24. Short Term Forecasts

  25. Growth in World Cotton Mill Use Growth in World GDP

  26. World Cotton Production and Mill Use Million tons Production Mill Use

  27. Cotton Mill Use by Country Million tons

  28. Cotton Production by Country Million tons

  29. Cotton Exports by Country Million tons

  30. World Cotton Imports Million tons

  31. Cotton Imports by Country Million tons

  32. World ending stocks and stocks-to-use ratio Million tons Stocks-to-use ratio

  33. World Cotton Ending Stocks Million tons Stocks to use ratio

  34. Location of Global Cotton Stocks Million tons 30% 31% 22% 44% 48% 53% China’s Share of Global Cotton Stocks (10-year avge to 10/11: 28%)

  35. Extra-fine Cotton Thousand tons 2.3% Share of World Total 1.9% 1.8% 1.9% 1.9% Identity Cottons Thousand tons 2.2% 1.3% 1.4% 1.0%

  36. DIRECT ASSISTANCE TO COTTONAND PRICES Billion US$ A Index (US$/lb)

  37. WORLD PRODUCTION UNDER DIRECT ASSISTANCE Million Tons Average With Assistance: 53% 84% 49%

  38. DIRECT ASSISTANCE TO COTTON

  39. DIRECT ASSISTANCE TO COTTON

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