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11th Annual George Mason University Conference on Atmospheric Transport and Dispersion Modeling

11th Annual George Mason University Conference on Atmospheric Transport and Dispersion Modeling. OFCM Special Session: Benefits to Responders of Joint Urban Test Beds. Mark Miller Emergency Response Division. Urban Test Beds: User Perspectives.

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11th Annual George Mason University Conference on Atmospheric Transport and Dispersion Modeling

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  1. 11th Annual George Mason University Conference on Atmospheric Transport and Dispersion Modeling OFCM Special Session: Benefits to Responders of Joint UrbanTest Beds Mark Miller Emergency Response Division

  2. Urban Test Beds: User Perspectives A “built it and they will come” approach probably won’t work for Test Beds. Typical responders just don’t care. What they do care about is: • Getting the answers to the questions they have - • Faster • More accurate answer

  3. Who are the users? • Researchers • Meteorologists/Forecasters • Emergency Managers/Planners • Emergency Responders (includes NOAA HAZMAT) We’ll focus on the last two “new” user groups who have different needs than the traditional user groups.

  4. Simple Questions, Complex Answers • Where is the bad stuff going? • How soon will it get there (evacuation vs shelter-in-place)? • Where can I send someone to monitor? • Can I get real-time warnings about hazardous weather?

  5. What can long term UTBs provide? • I need the data when I want it  Available 24/7 • I need the data in a format I can use  Graphical/GIS • I need the data to be accurate  Real-time QA/QC • I need to understand the data  Familiar terminology • I may need help interpreting the data  Reachback (?) The system has to be operational.

  6. Communicate Information Effectively Response and Planning Users need to understand: • Differences between Archived, Real-time, and Forecast data (that is, Past vs. Now vs. Later). • Differences between actual data (point data) and predictions (model data). • Is there a correlation or not? (That is, does the model accurately “predict” observed data?) • If not, what is uncertainty? Is it communicated to the users in a way that they can incorporate it into their decision making process?

  7. Final Thoughts • If we want to win support in today’s budgetary environment we need to move beyond traditional uses of urban test beds. • Urban test beds should be designed to provide operational information from the start. • Make high quality information available to wider decision making audience in a form that can be used.

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