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Practical (case study) Forecasting Tropical cyclones

Practical (case study) Forecasting Tropical cyclones. Son- tinh (1223) Kai- tak (1213). Regional Training Workshop on Severe Weather Forecasting and Warning Services (Macao, China, 8-13 April 2013). Practical 1: Son- tinh (1223). NWP models outputs: 12UTC, 24 Oct. 2012 Initial.

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Practical (case study) Forecasting Tropical cyclones

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  1. Practical (case study) Forecasting Tropical cyclones Son-tinh (1223) Kai-tak (1213) Regional Training Workshop on Severe Weather Forecasting and Warning Services (Macao, China, 8-13 April 2013)

  2. Practical 1: Son-tinh (1223) NWP models outputs: 12UTC, 24 Oct. 2012 Initial

  3. Practical 1: Son-tinh (1223) NWP models outputs: 12UTC, 24 Oct. 2012 Initial

  4. Practical 1: Son-tinh (1223) NWP models outputs: 12UTC, 24 Oct. 2012 Initial

  5. Practical 1: Son-tinh (1223) NWP models outputs: 12UTC, 24 Oct. 2012 Initial

  6. Practical 1: Son-tinh (1223) NWP models outputs: 12UTC, 24 Oct. 2012 Initial

  7. Practical 1: Son-tinh (1223) NWP models outputs: 12UTC, 24 Oct. 2012 Initial

  8. Practical 1: Son-tinh (1223) JMA Surface analysis at 12UTC, 24 Oct. 2012 TS SON-TINH (1223) 998 hPa 11.6N 125.8E NW 13KT MAX WINDS 35KT

  9. Practical 1: Son-tinh (1223) JMA 850hPa analysis at 12UTC, 24 Oct. 2012

  10. Practical 1: Son-tinh (1223) JMA 500hPa analysis at 12UTC, 24 Oct. 2012

  11. Practical 1: Son-tinh (1223) Let’s make a forecast of the tropical cyclone. • Determine the center position of • FT24 (18UTC, 25 Oct.) • FT48 (18UTC, 26 Oct.) • FT72 (18UTC, 27 Oct.) • Describe how to determine those centers.

  12. Practical 1: Son-tinh (1223) Let’s make a forecast of the tropical cyclone. TS SON-TINH (1223) 996 hPa 11.9N 122.3E WNW 14KT MAX WINDS 40KT

  13. Practical (case study) Forecasting Tropical cyclones Son-tinh (1223) Kai-tak (1213)

  14. Practical 2: Kai-tak (1213) NWP models outputs: 00UTC, 14 Aug. 2012 Initial

  15. Practical 2: Kai-tak (1213) NWP models outputs: 00UTC, 14 Aug. 2012 Initial

  16. Practical 2: Kai-tak (1213) NWP models outputs: 00UTC, 14 Aug. 2012 Initial

  17. Practical 2: Kai-tak (1213) NWP models outputs: 00UTC, 14 Aug. 2012 Initial

  18. Practical 2: Kai-tak (1213) NWP models outputs: 00UTC, 14 Aug. 2012 Initial

  19. Practical 2: Kai-tak (1213) NWP models outputs: 00UTC, 14 Aug. 2012 Initial

  20. Practical 2: Kai-tak (1213) JMA Surface analysis at 00UTC, 14 Aug. 2012 TS KAI-TAK (1213) 992 hPa 17.5N 126.5E WNW SLOWLY MAX WINDS 40KT

  21. Practical 2: Kai-tak (1213) JMA 850hPa analysis at 00UTC, 14 Aug. 2012

  22. Practical 2: Kai-tak (1213) JMA 500hPa analysis at 00UTC, 14 Aug. 2012

  23. Practical 2: Kai-tak (1213) Let’s make a forecast of the tropical cyclone. • Determine the center position of • FT24 (06UTC, 15 AUg.) • FT48 (06UTC, 16 Oct.) • FT72 (06UTC, 17 Oct.) • Describe how to determine those centers.

  24. Practical 2: Kai-tak (1213) Let’s make a forecast of the tropical cyclone. TS KAI-TAK (1213) 992 hPa 17.7N 125.2E WNW 07KT MAX WINDS 40KT

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