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Session 12: Panel on Life Annuities. Jeffery Yong IAIS Secretariat Regional Training Seminar IAIS-ASSAL San Salvador, 25 November 2010. Agenda. Overview – pension gap Recent product developments Variable annuities Risks Longevity risk Low interest rate environment
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Session 12: Panel on Life Annuities Jeffery Yong IAIS Secretariat Regional Training Seminar IAIS-ASSAL San Salvador, 25 November 2010
Agenda • Overview – pension gap • Recent product developments • Variable annuities • Risks • Longevity risk • Low interest rate environment • Recent risk mitigation instruments • Regulatory developments Session 12: Panel on Life Annuities
Mind the pension gap Source: OECD Pension at a glance 2009 Session 12: Panel on Life Annuities
Agenda • Overview – pension gap • Recent product developments • Variable annuities • Risks • Longevity risk • Low interest rate environment • Recent risk mitigation instruments • Regulatory developments Session 12: Panel on Life Annuities
Variable annuities - structure • Unit-linked products offering access to investment funds Guaranteed Minimum DeathBenefit • Guaranteed value on death • Examples: • return of premium • premium rolled-up at pre-set interest rate • highest point the fund ever reached • average fund value over the last few policy years Guaranteed Minimum Accumulation Benefit • Guarantee on fund value Guaranteed Minimum Income Benefit • Guarantee income levels on minimum conversion rates when moving from accumulation to income phase. • Guarantee regular income from the fund during defined period. • E.g. 7% for first 15 years; 5% for life upon reaching age 65 Guaranteed Minimum Withdrawal Benefit Session 12: Panel on Life Annuities
An example of the guarantees Source: AXA Session 12: Panel on Life Annuities
Growing interest in variable annuities - Japan Gross sales of variable annuities in the US Fund under management for variable annuities in Japan (in JPY) Source: Watson Wyatt Session 12: Panel on Life Annuities
Why are variable annuities popular? • Replace other savings-type of life products e.g. with-profits policies – opaqueness, discretion • Offer attractive returns with guarantees • BUT there is no free lunch! • Surrender charges • Insurance charges • Policy charges • Fund management charges • Guarantees charges Session 12: Panel on Life Annuities
Risks associated with variable annuities Session 12: Panel on Life Annuities
Agenda • Overview – pension gap • Recent product developments • Variable annuities • Risks • Longevity risk • Low interest rate environment • Recent risk mitigation instruments • Regulatory developments Session 12: Panel on Life Annuities
Ageing population – a global phenomenon Percentage of people aged 65 and over Source: Swiss Re, OECD Session 12: Panel on Life Annuities
Time in retirement will be longer despite higher retirement ages due to increasing longevity Pension Ages in the OECD 1960-2050 Expected time in retirement 1960-2050 Source: OECD Session 12: Panel on Life Annuities
Longevity improvements are not uniform Heat map of estimated annual rates of mortality improvements for England and Wales (LHS: Male; RHS: Female) Source: Institute of Actuaries Session 12: Panel on Life Annuities
Falling interest rate putting pressure on guarantees Source: Sun Life Session 12: Panel on Life Annuities
Annuity rates are falling with interest rates Annuity rates and 10 year gilt yields Note: Annuity rate is for a 65 year old male purchasing a single-life annuity non-guaranteed annuity for GBP10,000 Source: ABI Session 12: Panel on Life Annuities
Longevity bonds and swaps Insurer Counterparty Longevity Swap Unknown future annuity payouts • Variable • payments matching • longevity index • - actual experience exchanged Longevity Bond Issue price Insurer Counterparty Mortality dependent cash flow Session 12: Panel on Life Annuities
Agenda • Overview – pension gap • Recent product developments • Variable annuities • Risks • Longevity risk • Low interest rate environment • Recent risk mitigation instruments • Regulatory developments Session 12: Panel on Life Annuities
Regulatory developments in response to variable annuities EU US Canada • Draft report on VA just issued for consultation • Technical/actuarial issues – hedging, technical provisions, capital adequacy • Governance issues • Group/colleges issues • Systemic/ macroprudential issues • New principles-based reserving requirements • Enhancements to annuity disclosure to identify potential risk (e.g. interest rates movements) • Enhancements to internal model calibration for segregated funds Session 12: Panel on Life Annuities
Thank you for your attention. Any questions/ comments? jeffery.yong@bis.org www.iaisweb.org Session 12: Panel on Life Annuities