Workshop 2 Judgements in AssetPlus May 2014

1. Workshop 2Judgements in AssetPlusMay 2014

2. House keeping • Fire Alarms / Exits • Venue specifics • Refreshments • Questions throughout

3. Agenda 1. Project status and Workshop 1 refresher - 25 mins 2. Professional Judgement - 25 mins 3. Replacement of Asset Scores - 20 mins 4. Introduction to Explanations & Conclusions (includes Desistance factors)- 55 mins 5. Future Behaviour - 50 mins 6. Safety and Wellbeing - 30 mins 7. Pathways and planning - 40 mins 8. Questions and close - 20 mins - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - BREAK - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -- 10 mins - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LUNCH - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 45 mins - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - BREAK - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -- - - - - 10 mins

4. Objectives • To provide an update on current project status • To reflect on workshop 1 feedback • To convey the details of how AssetPlus judgements differ from Asset • To start the familiarisation process in relation to AssetPlus judgements • To explain how the assessment links to planning • To provide attendees the opportunity to ask questions to gain an understanding of the key areas of change

5. 1. Project status update • Business Change: • 20 T1 YOTs identified • T2 and T3 YOTs TBC but using the same criteria • YOT change leads identified • SE change leads yet to be identified • Guidance and Training Materials nearing completion – has included input from the OWG • Parallel running plan for YOTs and SEs approved by AssetPlus Project Board • Deployment planning in progress • Support resources being developed • Early Practice Changes – some already released, others planned for release • Technical • Final requirements issued to CACI and Careworks – suppliers have concluded the impact assessment and presented the latest plans • First workshop held to communicate all YJS requirements to new suppliers wishing to enter the market – further workshops being planned • Work underway to consider impact of AssetPlus on eAsset; YJMIS and Connectivity • Other • Planning of Post Implementation Reviews and scope of evaluation of AssetPlus • Transition to Business as usual (BAU) plan being drafted

6. Timescales • Following communication of some necessary amendments to the AssetPlus requirements, the project team have received revised plans from suppliers • The earliest tranche 1 delivery dates are; • June 2015 for CareWorks YOTs • July 2015 for CACI YOTs. • Business change activity will commence 6-7 months prior to AssetPlus go live, with a wide range of preparatory work being completed in this period.

7. Workshop 1 common questions • When will timescales be communicated and how? • When will tranche 2 and 3 YOTs be identified? • When will Secure Establishment change leads be identified? • What reporting capability will be provided? • What else can YOTs being doing to prepare for AssetPlus (aside from the Early Practice Change releases)? • Can we have access to the detail of the AssetPlus framework? • When will the Foundation training be available? • How will YOT/SE work together – who does what? • Specific questions on functional areas of the framework.

8. EXERCISE: Workshop 1 – Exercise On your tables introduce yourselves.Pair the quiz questions with the correct answer.

9. Quiz answers

10. AssetPlus framework

11. 2. Professional Judgement Professional Judgement is not new Professional Judgement is weighing up information gathered to come to a conclusion Conclusions Supporting Evidence Where to gather additional info? How does the information match up with what I observed? Theory Research What are the reasons for the young person’s behaviour? Practice What are they likely to do next? How to address their behaviour? A key part of professional judgement is recognising patterns and meanings in complex information.

12. Professional Judgement AssetPlus provides greater flexibility in the use of professional judgement throughout the Assessment & Plan Further exploration questions Specialist Screening Tools & Assessments Graphs, Matrices and Tables Flexibility in completion Risk of Harm Safety & Wellbeing No domain scores Likelihood of Re-offending RoSH Internal/ external controls Managerial Countersignature Scaled Approach Integrated plan

13. EXERCISE: Professional Judgement and AssetPlus How well does your organisation use Professional Judgement?What are the current challenges in using Professional Judgement?During the workshop, think about how professional judgement might be impacted as a result of AssetPlus. DISCUSSION

14. 3. Replacement of Asset scores • The new framework no longer has domain scores individually or has an overall young person Asset score for a number of reasons: • To remove the over-reliance on a single score for a wide range of purposes • To remove the current inconsistency in Asset scoring within and across YOTs • To ensure Assessment ratings reflect factors that promote desistance in addition to factors that lead to re-offending • To ensure referrals based on welfare related needs are captured more effectively • To increase the ability to evidence Professional Judgement

15. AssetPlus instead introduces a number of new measures and young person ratings: AssetPlus ratings • Factors for and against Desistance • Matrices for Future Behaviour and Safety and Wellbeing • Likelihood of reoffending rating • YOGRS (Youth Offender Group Reconviction Scale) Score • Risk of Serious Harm • Young Person Safety and Wellbeing Judgement

16. Replacement of Asset scores with a variety of ratings Possible uses of Asset scores by Practitioners/Managers and future options:

17. Replacement of Asset scores with a variety of ratings List of possible uses of Asset scores for Performance Reporting and future options:

18. EXERCISE: Replacement of Asset scoreswith a variety of ratings • Discuss on your table how you currently use Asset Scores. • What challenges will you face with the removal of Asset Scores? DISCUSSION

19. 4. Introduction to Explanations and Conclusions - Overview • A distinct area to enable practitioners to pull together and analyse elements collected in the Information Gathering section • Three sub-sections: • Understanding Offending Behaviour • Future Behaviour • Safety and Wellbeing • Tables and diagrams to help practitioners understand the relationship between key life events and offending/ASB • Matrices to rate the likelihood and impact of harmful behaviour in relation to the young person’s offending and for the young persons safety and wellbeing both in the community and custody. • Make Future Behaviour and Safety & Wellbeing judgements • Management countersignature

20. Core Record From Information Gathering to Explanations and Conclusions Information Gathering Safety & Wellbeing Concerns Offending & Anti-social Behaviour Personal, Family & Social Factors Self Assessment Offences / Harmful Behaviour Significant Life Events Factors for and against desistance Factors for and against desistance Foundations For Change Explanations & Conclusions Identify Patterns of Offending & Connections with Life Events FOR Rate Desistance Factors Based on Influence on Offending AGAINST Predict Future Behaviour based on balance of factors & past events. Make ROSH, LoR Judgements Predict Safety & Wellbeing outcomes based on balance of factors & past events. Make Safety & Wellbeing judgements

21. FIP involvement Referral order OOCD YISP Met girlfriend Broke up with Granddad died 5 girlfriend Burglary Homeless 4 3 Violence 2 Theft 1 Bullying 0 13 13 13 14 14 14 14 12 12 13 13 14 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 13 13 13 13 13 13 12 13 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Oct Dec Oct Jan Apr Nov Feb Jul Jul Feb Dec Feb Mar May Jan Apr Jun Jan Apr Jun Sep Mar Sep Mar Aug Nov Aug May May Explanations and ConclusionsIdentifying patterns May 2012 Met girlfriend March 13 Broke up with girlfriend February 13 July 13 Homeless November 13 Granddad died

22. Explanations and ConclusionsIdentifying patterns

23. Desistance table – Foundations for Change FACTORS FOR DESISTANCE (Supporting the young person to stop offending/antisocial behaviour) FACTORS AGAINST DESISTANCE (encouraging the young person committing offending/antisocial behaviour) Positive relationship with grandfather Regular Cannabis use

24. Desistance = ceasing and/or refraining from offending or other antisocial behaviour Desistance Desistance is best viewed as a process rather than a one-off event Understanding desistance involves taking account of both: Individual factors & Social context. e.g. Opportunities available in the community i.e. A series of steps out of offending e.g. Goals & attitudes • Billy committed 5 offences between 2009 and 2012 • In 2010 he worked with a support worker to explore and reflect on his responses to stress and identified positive coping mechanisms – i.e. running • He has always been interested in cars and in January 2011 he gained employment as an apprentice • He desisted from offending between January to July 2011, when working as an apprentice • During this time his YOT worker noticed he was more positive about himself and was open and reflective in sessions, but following the bereavement of his grandfather he missed college and was caught stealing • Following further intervention he returned to college one day a week and has qualified as a mechanic • The intervention work led to a career in mechanics and a new non offending identity. http://www.justice.gov.uk/downloads/youth-justice/assessment/assetplus-rationale.pdf

25. Explanations and ConclusionsFactors affecting desistance

26. Explanations and Conclusions Rating Factors

27. EXERCISE: Desistance Matrix • Individually consider a specific young person’s story to input their desistance factors into the matrix • In a pair discuss the young people and decide on one story to use • On the worksheets: • Write in the factors for and against desistance for this case • Rate the factors • Give reasons for the ratings? • What other information might you need? • Feedback - anything interesting/surprising when completing this exercise

28. Explanations and Conclusions5. Future Behaviour Explanations & Conclusions Identify Patterns of Offending & Connections with Life Events Rate Desistance Factors Based on Influence on Offending FOR AGAINST Predict Future Behaviour based on balance of factors & past events. Make ROSH, LoR Judgements Predict Future adverse outcomes based on balance of factors & past events. Make Safety & wellbeing judgements

29. Explanations and ConclusionsPredicting Future Behaviour

30. Explanations and ConclusionsExploring harm/ Predicting Future Behaviour

31. Future behaviours / offence Explanations and ConclusionsExploring harm/ Predicting Future Behaviour

32. Explanations and ConclusionsExploring harm

33. Explanations and Conclusions Summary section

34. EXERCISE: Explanations and ConclusionsMatrixUsing the same young person’s story as you did for desistance, go through the step by step process of identifying any future behaviours, impacts, the likelihood of the behaviourWhat other information might you need?Feedback - anything interesting/surprising completing this exercise

35. Risk of Serious Harm Whilst your analysis should identify all future risks associated with harmful behaviour you will also need to identify whether the young person poses any risk of serious harm (RoSH), defined as: This is crucial to inform the intervention level required to protect the public. Your assessment of RoSH should consider: ‘Death or injury (either physical or psychological) which is life threatening and/or traumatic and from which recovery is expected to be difficult, incomplete or impossible’ The dynamic factors and ratings you identified in your analysis The future behaviours you identified with particular reference to those with highest ‘impact’ Behaviour 1 Behaviour 3 Behaviour 2 The likely victims and the young person’s accessibility/opportunity to target them (should be reflected in the likelihood scale) The context and expected imminence of the harmful behaviour

36. Explanations and Conclusions MAPPA

37. YOGRS (Youth Offender Group Reconviction Scale) • What is YOGRS? • Static predictor • Indicative likelihood of reoffending rating • Based on a sample of young people • Calculated using 10 factors • Counts previous sanctions including OOCD’s • Rating expressed as a percentage • Why YOGRS • Actuarial predictions have a high level of accuracy in predicting outcomes • OGRS is robustly tested and used by NOMS and including it in AssetPlus helps with youth to adult transition • The Juvenile Cohort Study (JCS) validated the use of OGRS3

38. Risk of Serious Harm and Likelihood of Reoffending Ratings Determining Scaled approach OLD: NEW: ‘Asset’ Scores LoR Scaled Approach ROSH YOGRsScore Indicative LoR LoR Judgement Scaled Approach ROSH

39. 6. Young person’s Safety and Wellbeing This covers areas previously referred to as Vulnerability or young person’s risk to themselves or from others. Safety and Wellbeing - The likelihood that a child or young person’s safety and wellbeing is now or may be compromised either through his or her own behaviour, personal circumstances or because of the acts or omissions of others. Explanations & Conclusions Identify Patterns of Offending & Connections with Life Events FOR Rate Desistance Factors Based on Influence on Offending AGAINST Predict Future Behaviour based on balance of factors & past events. Make ROSH, LoR Judgements Predict Future adverse outcomes based on balance of factors & past events. Make Safety & wellbeing judgements

40. Young person’s Safety and Wellbeing

41. Adverse outcomes and impact definitions Young person’s Safety and Wellbeing

42. Young person’s Safety and Wellbeing

43. Young person’s Safety and Wellbeing

44. EXERCISE: Safety and Wellbeing Reflect on what you have just heard Spend some time looking at the Adverse Outcome table, the question relating to causes and the subsequent Impact rating Feedback - Comments/Questions DISCUSSION

45. 7. Pathways & Planning • What’s changed from the ‘Core Profile’ Asset? • One single plan directly linked to the assessment • Some judgements made in the Explanations and Conclusions section are pulled through • A young person friendly plan • Future targets • External actions and controls section • Countersignature locally determined

46. Pathways and Planning Prototype Subsections of Pathways and Planning • Intervention indicators • Key areas of intervention • Resources and proposals • Tailoring interventions • Overall progress • Our Intervention Plan • Additional external controls/ actions • Additional information • Mobility and ROTL • Dealing with changing circumstances

47. Intervention indicators

48. Key areas of intervention

49. Resources and proposals

50. Tailoring Interventions