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Finance Lecture # 1. Jan H. Jansen E-mail: jan.jansen@han.nl. Wind energy. Dropbox URL: https://www.dropbox.com/home#:::64295139. Minor Wind Energy Project Management. Minor Wind Energy Project Management. Commercial. Engineering. Commercial. Educational unit: WEPM-C (7.5 ECTS).
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Finance Lecture # 1 Jan H. Jansen E-mail: jan.jansen@han.nl
Dropbox URL: https://www.dropbox.com/home#:::64295139
Minor Wind Energy Project Management Commercial Engineering
Commercial Educational unit: WEPM-C (7.5 ECTS)
What is our ambition? • Recognizing trends in the Wind Energy market • Analyzing an annual report of a wind energy supplier; • Constructing an cash flow overview of wind energy project; • Establish risk awareness (project- , exchange -, interest rate- and political risks) • Decision criteria for an investment in a wind energy project (PBP, ROI, NPV, IRR and BET). • Financially sourcing a wind energy project.
Assessment • WEPM-C-FC • Written exam of 120 minutes (PW8) • WEPM-P-FR • Finance will also be assed in the final report and presentation of the project of this minor
Electricity market • Complex market • See slide before • The art of electricity • Not directly tangible • Storage problems • Capacity • Transformation of Wind (free good) into Electricity (economic good)
Overview Energy Market • Macro level • Energy prices (P) • Energy demand (Q) • Meso level / Industry level • Micro level / Firm level • Value chain & supply chain • Annual Reports
Macro level • Energy prices (P) • Prices of substitutes / Trends • http://www.bloomberg.com/energy/ • http://www.energy.eu/ • Energy demand (Q) • Trends • http://www.nwea.nl/ • http://www.ewea.org/
Renewable energy in final energy consumption (2020 target) Source: www.energy.eu
Renewable electric energy in the EU Resource: www.energy.eu
Meso level / Industry level Wind Energy Farm Distribution Suppliers
Micro level / Firm level Wind Energy Farm Input > Throughput > Output Procurement > Production > Sales
Annual reports • Market & Strategy • Corporate Governance • Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR) • Sustainability • Financial ratios • Profitability • Liquidity • Solvency • Activity
Fixedassets: Property, Plant & Equipment Intangibleassets Financial noncurrentassets Currentassets: Inventories Debtors / AR Cash & Cash equivalents Equity: IssuedCapital Retainedearnings / Reserves Long Term Liabilities Provisions Loans Bonds Currentliabilities: Creditors / AP Bank overdraft Taxes Dividend Structure of the balance sheet
Costs Costs of Sales: Cost of raw materials Cost of (manufacturing) labour Costs of depreciation of equipment Overhead costs: Selling expenses R&D expenses General expenses Administrative expenses Other expenses Incidentals Financial charges Operating income Revenues / Sales Structure of the income statement/ profit & loss account
Profit definitions • Gross Profit: • Revenues - Cost of Sales • Operating Income / EBIT: • Gross Profit - Overhead costs • EBITDA: • EBIT + Depreciation + Amortization • EVA: • NOPAT - Capital Charges : • NOPAT = EBIT - Taxes • Capital Charges = Invested Capital * Cost of Capital
Performance of the company: Liquidity The ability of an asset to be converted into cash without a significant price concession • Current ratio: • Current Assets / Current Liabilities • Quick ratio: • { Current Assets -/- Inventories } / Current Liabilities
Performance of the company: Solvency Solvency shows how the extent to which the firm is financed by debt • Debt Ratio: • Debt / Total Assets • Debt-To-Equity Ratio: • Debt / Shareholder’s Equity
Performance of the company: Profitability Compares profit (output) with invested money (input) of the firm • Gross Profit Margin: • Gross Profit / Sales • ROI (ROA) = Return on Investment (Assets) • Net Profit after taxes / Total Assets • ROE = Return on Equity • Net Profit after taxes / Shareholder’s Equity
Performance of the company: Economic activity Provides performance information of the efficiency of some internal processes • Asset turnover • Sales / Assets • Inventory turnover • Cost of goods sold / Inventory • Receivable turnover (collection period) • Sales / Receivables
Du Pont formule ROE = NPM * TAT * EM • NPM = Net Profit Margin (Market profit) • NPM = Net Profit / Sales • TAT = Total Assets Turnover (Utilisation) • TAT = Sales / Total Assets • EM = Equity Multiplier (Financial structure) • EM = Total Assets / Total Equity
Altman’s Z-score • Working Capital / Total Assets * 1.2 • Retained Earnings / Total Assets * 1.4 • EBIT / Total Assets * 3.3 • Market Value Equity / Book Value Liabilities * 0.6 • Sales / Total Assets * 0.999
Annual reports (2010) of Sustainable Energy Industry • Van Oord(case for the lectures) • Teams • Eneco • Vestas • ABB • RWE • GE • Siemens • Nordex • BP • Shell