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Larry Wickerham, MD NSABP STAR Project Officer. Study of Tamoxifen and Raloxifene STAR. 50. 40. 30. 20. 10. 0. NSABP P1 Study. Invasive Breast Cancer. Noninvasive Breast Cancer. 50. # Events Placebo 250 Tamoxifen 145. # Events Placebo 93 Tamoxifen 60. 40. 30.
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Larry Wickerham, MD NSABP STAR Project Officer Study of Tamoxifen and RaloxifeneSTAR
50 40 30 20 10 0 NSABP P1 Study Invasive Breast Cancer Noninvasive Breast Cancer 50 # Events Placebo 250 Tamoxifen 145 # Events Placebo 93 Tamoxifen 60 40 30 Cumulative Rate/1000 P= 0.008 20 P < 0.0001 10 0 Time to Breast Cancer (Years)
Study DesignSTAR Risk-Eligible Postmenopausal Women • STRATIFICATION • Age • Gail Model Risk • Race • History of LCIS • Hysterectomy Tamoxifen 20 mg/day x 5 years Raloxifene 60 mg/day x 5 years
Inclusion and Exclusion CriteriaSTAR • Inclusion • At least 35 years of age • Postmenopausal • Risk eligible Lobular carcinoma in situ or 5-year Gail risk of breast cancer >1.66% • Exclusion History of: • Invasive breast cancer • Ductal carcinoma in situ • DVT, PE • CVA, TIA • Uncontrolled diabetes, hypertension or atrial fibrillation
Primary AimsSTAR • The primary aim of the study was to determine which of the following three statements is true: • Compared to tamoxifen, raloxifene significantly reduces the incidence rate of IBC • Compared to raloxifene, tamoxifen significantly reduces the incidence rate of IBC • The statistical superiority of one of the treatments cannot be demonstrated and the choice of therapy should be based on benefit/risk considerations
Primary ObjectiveSTAR • Evaluate the effect of raloxifene versus tamoxifen in reducing the incidence of invasive breast cancer in postmenopausal women who are at increased risk.
Secondary Objectives STAR • Non-invasive breast cancer • Endometrial cancer • Ischemic heart disease • Fractures of the hip, spine or wrist • Toxicity and side effects
Screening, Accrual and Follow-upSTAR • Screened 184,460 • Eligible 96,368 • Randomized 19,747 • Woman-years of follow-up 79,173 • Average follow-up (years) 4.06
Baseline CharacteristicsSTAR • Age (mean) 58.5 • Caucasian 93% • Hysterectomy 51% • First degree relative(s)with breast cancer 71% • History of • Lobular carcinoma in situ 9% • Atypical hyperplasia 23% • 5-year predicted Gail risk ofinvasive breast cancer (mean) 4.03%
Effects on Invasive Breast Cancer STAR RR (95% CI) = 1.02 (0.82, 1.27)
Invasive Breast CancerSTAR 325 173 168
80 72 63 49 44 33 Invasive Breast Cancer by 5-year Predicted RiskSTAR
35 34 47 41 Invasive Breast Cancer in Women with aHistory of LCIS or Atypical Hyperplasia STAR
Osteoporotic Fractures STAR *Columns not additive because one patient may have had fractures at multiple sites.
RR = 0.78 (95% CI = 0.68–0.91) 435 RR = 0.81 (95% CI = 0.68–0.96) 343 295 240 Cataracts and Cataract Surgery During Follow-upSTAR
Summary STAR • Compared with tamoxifen, raloxifene was: • similar in decreasing the risk of invasive breast cancer • not as effective at decreasing the risk of non-invasive breast cancer • associated with fewer: • adverse events related to uterus • VTEs • cataracts and cataract surgery