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Online Nation: Five Years of Growth in Online Learning. Elaine Allen and Jeff Seaman The Sloan Consortium Orlando, 2007. Our Partners. Survey Methods. US higher education degree granting institutions Email to chief academic officer, web-based survey
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Online Nation:Five Years of Growth in Online Learning Elaine Allen and Jeff Seaman The Sloan Consortium Orlando, 2007
Survey Methods • US higher education degree granting institutions • Email to chief academic officer, web-based survey • 55.8% response rate (2,535 responses, 2,504 complete) • Responses merged with IPEDS and College Board data • Weighted by region, size, control, and Carnegie classification
Who Are the Online Students? Fall 2006 Online student distribution very close to that of all students
Size Matters Larger institutions teach, on average, far more online students Institution Size
Online Learning Framework Higher education institutions are classified into a five-category online learning framework based on their adoption of, and strategic view towards, online education: • Not Interested • Not Yet Engaged • Non-Strategic Online • Engaged • Fully Engaged
Institutions without online offerings that do not believe that online is important to their long-term strategy. As a group they have the most negative view towards online. Not Interested Higher Education Institutions Higher Education Total Enrollments
Institutions which do not yet have any online offerings but cite online as a critical long-term strategy. It can be expected that they intend to provide some form of online offering in the future. Not Yet Engaged Higher Education Institutions Higher Education Total Enrollments
Institutions with some online offerings, but do not believe that online education is an important part of their long-term strategy. Online offerings tend to be outside of core areas. Non-Strategic Online Higher Education Institutions Higher Education Total Enrollments
Institutions which currently have online offerings and believe that online is critical to their long-term strategy. They, however, have not yet included online education in their formal strategic plan. Engaged Higher Education Institutions Higher Education Total Enrollments
Institutions with online offerings that are strategic for their institution and are fully incorporated into their formal long-term plan. Fully Engaged Higher Education Institutions Higher Education Total Enrollments
Who Teaches Online Students? Fall 2006 Nearly three-quarter’s of all online students are taught by one-third of higher education institutions (the Fully Engaged)
Large differences in extent of online activity Comparing Institutions Lowest expected growth Faculty acceptance remains an important issue
Growth Is Expected Expected Change in Online Enrollments Among Institutions with Online Offerings - Fall 2006 to Fall 2007
Consistent Growth Expectations Institutions with Online Offerings Expecting Their Online Enrollments to Increase - Fall 2002 to Fall 2006
What Will Drive Growth? • The extraordinary growth in online enrollments has been fueled by two factors: • New institutions entering the field by introducing their first online offerings; • Institutions with existing online offerings introducing new online courses and programs and growing their existing online courses and programs.
Institutions New to Online? The number of institutions introducing online courses and programs is slowing
Institutions New to Online Not Interested (800 Institutions) Non-Strategic Online Together these two groups account for only 6.5% of all higher education enrollments Engaged Not Yet Engaged (250 Institutions) Fully Engaged
Grow Existing Offerings Non-Strategic Online have smallest base and lowest growth expectations How large can this percentage grow? Where growth is expected
Contact Info The full report is available as a free download at: www.sloan-c.org/publications/survey/index.asp We welcome comments and suggestions: jseaman@sloan-c.org