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How much biomass can Europe use without harming the environment? Results of EEA Studies. Uwe R. Fritsche Coordinator, Energy & Climate Division Öko-Institut (Institut for applied ecology), Darmstadt Office Work sponsored by.
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How much biomass can Europe use without harming the environment?Results of EEA Studies Uwe R. Fritsche Coordinator, Energy & Climate Division Öko-Institut (Institut for applied ecology), Darmstadt Office Work sponsored by presented at the Expert Meeting on Biodiversity Standards and Strategies for sustainable cultivation of Biomass for non-food Purposes, Isle of Vilm, March 13-15, 2008
Partners & Objectives • Öko-Institut (Institute for Applied Ecology, DE) • Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency (NL) • European Forest Institute (EFI, FI) • AEA-Technology (AEAT, UK) • Wageningen University & Research, Alterra (NL) + subcontracts for CEE countries (forest potentials) + workshop partners Mediterranean (JRC, ES, GR, IT) Determine EU domestic bioenergy potential that causes • no additional pressure on farmland, forest biodiversity and soil/water resources • respects other environmental objectives(organic farming, waste minimization, climate targets)
EU Biomass in Perspective • Biomass use today approx. 60 MtOE • EU renewables target 12% in 2010: • 130 MtOE biomass • EU renewable target 20% in 2020: • 210–250 MtOE biomass incl. biofuels target 10% in 2020
Sustainable EU Biomass • agricultural area: 30% for ‘environmentally orientated’ farming in 2030 • set-aside 3 % of intensively used farmland for nature conservation (“ecological stepping stones”) • no grassland conversion to intensive agriculture (cross-compliance, soil carbon, biodiversity) • no conversion of other land to UAA • no forest residues from critical sites • straw use only if soil is protected Use sub-regional differentiation (NUTS-2 level)
Land Potential: Principles Food and fodder production Yield increase CAP reform Bioenergy Crop production Grassland UAA Environmen- tal frame Competition effect between energy and food market Increase of commodity prices relative to 2000 Crop 2010 2020 2030 rapeseed oil 110% 121% 200% Sugar 115% 127% 200% round wood 115% 132% 152% Wheat, maize 113% 125% 138%
Agricultural biomass Which crops are best to grow where? • Differentiate between environmental zones • Determine environmental impact of bioenergy crops • Introduce mix of bioenergy crops (maintain crop/ landscape diversity) • erosion • soil compaction • nutrient inputs groundwater • nutrient inputs in surface water • pesticide pollution of soils and water • water abstraction • "increased fire risk" • diversity of crop types
Sustainable Forest Residues • roots and foliage remain in the forest • sustainable nutrient balance • soil type • base saturation • soil erosion • steepness • elevation • soil compaction • peat land • soil water regime • No intensification on protected areas (intrinsic)
350 Additional agricultural Effect of potential increasing 300 (DE, FR) energy & carbon Additional prices forest 250 potential 200 Agriculture Primary biomass potential, Mtoe 150 Forestry 100 Waste 50 0 2010 2020 2030 Total Bio-Potential EU-25
Sustainable Bioenergy Potential from agriculture by crop
How to use potential? t CO2 avoided per hectare? Replace as much imported fuel as possible Greenhouse gas reduction Supply security Bioenergy t CO2 avoided per Dollar? Environ- mental resources Costs & Employment crop mix respects soil, water synergies with nature protection land use change
Sustainable Bioenergy Approx. 15 % of EU prim. energy in 2030 could be from biomass “least cost” mix: 13.3% bio-electricity16.5% bio-heat5.6% bio-fuels
Further Policy and Research Development and implementation of sustainability standards Energy policy to develop framework conditions for environmentally-friendly bioenergy systems Climate changes complicates the picture - affects ability to make assumptions about the future Scale of production: smaller scale easier to come up with solutions tailored to local agri-environmental conditions Crop rotation and diversification important factors Need more research on Life Cycle Assessment of bioenergy crops + bioenergy pathways
More Information: EU Ayla.Uslu@eea.europa.eu Jan-Erik.Petersen@eea.europa.eu www.eea.europa.eu