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Friederike Mikulcak , Jamila Haider , Jens Newig & Joern Fischer Leuphana University Lueneburg Stockholm Resilience Center Resilience 2014, Montpellier, 5 May 2014. How to escape the trap? A systems approach to foster rural development in Central Romania. Rural Romania.
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Friederike Mikulcak, Jamila Haider, Jens Newig & Joern FischerLeuphana University LueneburgStockholm Resilience CenterResilience 2014, Montpellier, 5 May 2014 How to escape the trap? A systems approach to foster rural development in Central Romania
Rural Romania • Rural areas comprise 87.1% of the territory • Rural population: 9.67 out of 21.45 million (~45% ; 2010) • ~60% of rural population employed in agriculture (self-employed, family farms) • Unique natural wealth (annex species, cultural landscapes) Central RO
Central Romania • formerSaxonarea • Traditional smallholder, low-intensityfarming • High farmlandbiodiversity
What‘stheproblem? • Structural poverty, high unemployment rates, outmigration, land abandonment or land intensification development a top priority to locals • EU accession (2007) - unprecedented disparities (competitiveness) - Challenge to achieve economic & env. sustainability exacerbated outmigration and regional marginalization social-ecological system (SES) appears locked in
Theoretical approach: Traps • reinforcing/ self-correcting dynamics maintain system at low-level equilibrium • Stable state: interventions often unable to move system into a more desired trajectory • Inflexible or dysfunctional institutions are often a main reason Examples • poverty trap (people are impoverished by circumstances beyond their control) • rigidity trap (institutions are highly connected and inflexible) Factors/ driversbehind lock-in state?
Advantages ofmergingtheapproaches • Livelihoods approach provides boundary terminology to build bridges between concepts • Capitals a useful concept to cluster factors creating a trap state • Systems approach useful to highlight interdependencies of capitals • Importance of institutional context • Common goals: improve development policy and practice
Howappliedto Central Romania? • 347 short interviews in 66 villages (17 communes) of Central Romania • State of social system (economy, infrastructure, migration) as perceived by villagers • Suggestions of improvement by rural residents (2) 11 in-depth interviews with key individuals (‚change agents‘) on development barriers (clustered into capitals) Development barriers
Findings • Central RO is poor in human, financial, physical, political and social capital, but rich in natural capital one of the ‘best’ development options for Central RO lies in using its natural capital • Interdependency and spiraling up effects between capitals, for instance H H N + + F F S
Conclusion • Huge ‘push’ (intervention) unlikely to move system into more desirable state • All capitals need to be improved simultaneously • Support key individuals and boundary organisations (spiraling up effects, knowledge transfer) Enfors & Gordon 2008