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Hurricane Gonzalo DAO briefing Thursday 16 th October 2014

Hurricane Gonzalo DAO briefing Thursday 16 th October 2014. James Dodgson Deputy Director BWS. 06z Thursday Surface Analysis. Bermuda. Current Surface Map:. http://www.weather.bm/maps/Atlantic.gif. ASCAT (Satellite-derived) Winds earlier today. Hurricane Gonzalo. Bermuda.

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Hurricane Gonzalo DAO briefing Thursday 16 th October 2014

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  1. Hurricane Gonzalo • DAO briefing Thursday 16th October 2014 James Dodgson Deputy Director BWS

  2. 06z Thursday Surface Analysis Bermuda Current Surface Map: http://www.weather.bm/maps/Atlantic.gif

  3. ASCAT (Satellite-derived) Winds earlier today Hurricane Gonzalo Bermuda 20-25 knot winds Bahamas

  4. Latest NHC outlook

  5. Current airfield warning – surface wind & gusts • FOR TXKF. ISSUED 16/1010 UTC OCTOBER 2014.VALID: 16/1200 UTC, TO 16/1800 UTCSFC WIND 130 DEG 20-25KT WILL AFFECT TXKF THRU THE PERIOD. WINDS EXP TO INCREASE 25-30KT TOWARDS END OF PERIOD.

  6. 12Z TAF – Standard 24hr TAF TAF TXKF 161131Z 1612/1712 13020KT 9999 VCSH SCT020 BKN180 BECMG 1612/1615 13025KT SCT015 BKN060 PROB40 TEMPO 1616/1703 15030G40KT BKN015 PROB30 TEMPO 1618/1703 4800 SHRA SCT008 BKN012 BECMG 1700/1703 13035G45KT 4800 SHRA BKN015 TEMPO 1703/1712 3200 SHRA SCT008 BKN012CB PROB40 TEMPO 1703/1712 1600 +SHRA SCT008 BKN012CB PROB30 TEMPO 1706/1712 13040G50KT 0800 +TSRA SCT005 BKN008CB

  7. 12Z TAF – 36hr TAF TAF TXKF 161131Z 1612/1724 13020KT 9999 VCSH SCT020 BKN180 BECMG 1612/1615 13025KT SCT015 BKN060 PROB40 TEMPO 1616/1703 15030G40KT BKN015 PROB30 TEMPO 1618/1703 4800 SHRA SCT008 BKN012 BECMG 1700/1703 13035G45KT 4800 SHRA BKN015 TEMPO 1703/1712 3200 SHRA SCT008 BKN012CB PROB40 TEMPO 1703/1712 1600 +SHRA SCT008 BKN012CB PROB30 TEMPO 1706/1712 13040G50KT 0800 +TSRA SCT005 BKN008CB BECMG 1712/1715 15050G65KT 3200 BLPY BKN008 OVC012 TEMPO 1712/1718 18060G75KT 0800 +SHRA OVC005CB PROB40 TEMPO 1712/1718 18065G80KT 0400 +TSRA OVC003CB BECMG 1715/1718 18075G90KT TEMPO 1718/1724 22085G100KT

  8. Onset/ Cessation Wind Timings Tentative Wind Timings – based on 6am Thurs 16 Oct, 2014 11pm tonight – 2am Sat – 26hrs Onset: • Tropical Storm Force Winds (26hr) • Marine Area: 11pm-midnight tonight • Island: 1-2 am tonight • 50 knot (SE) Winds (13hr) • Marine Area: 10am Friday • Island: 11am Friday • Hurricane Force Winds (6-8hr) • Marine Area: 11am- Noon Friday • Island: 1-2pm Friday Cessation: • Hurricane Force Winds • Island: 8pm Friday • Marine Area: 9pm Friday • 50 knot Winds • Island: 10pm Friday • Marine Area: 11pm Friday • Tropical Storm Force: • Island: 1am Saturday • Marine Area: 2am Saturday 35ft seas with Heavy damaging Swell & Surge 30% higher Wind speed if elevated & Windward

  9. Hurricane Gonzalo – DAO brief BWS briefing- Thursday 16th October 2014 http://www.weather.bm\EMO\Gonzalo EMODAO brief Thurs/ NHC http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ BWS http://www.weather.bm EMAIL contact@weather.bm

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