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The North American Monsoon System: Recent Evolution and Current Status

The North American Monsoon System: Recent Evolution and Current Status. Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP 30 September 2013. Outline. Recent Evolution and Current Conditions Summary Climatology. Rainfall Patterns: Last 7 Days.

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The North American Monsoon System: Recent Evolution and Current Status

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  1. The North American Monsoon System: Recent Evolution and Current Status Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP 30 September 2013

  2. Outline • Recent Evolution and Current Conditions • Summary • Climatology

  3. Rainfall Patterns: Last 7 Days Near-average rainfall has been observed over most of the NAM core domain during the past week.

  4. Rainfall Patterns: Last 30 Days Rainfall accumulations over the past 30 days are above-average for southwestern U.S. and most of Mexico.

  5. Recent Evolution: Rainfall

  6. NCEP/GFS Forecast Below-average rainfall over northwestern Mexico and near-average rainfall for southwestern U.S. during the next two weeks.

  7. Summary • Near-average rainfall has been observed over most of the NAM core domain during the past week. • Rainfall accumulations over the past 30 days are above-average for southwestern U.S. and most of Mexico. • NCEP/GFS Forecasts call for below-average rainfall over northwestern Mexico and near-average rainfall for southwestern U.S. during the next two weeks.

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