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Impact Evaluation of the Adolescent Girls Initiative. Presented by: Shubha Chakravarty (Economist, AFTPM) Impact Evaluation team: Mattias Lundberg (Sr. Economist, HDNCY) Markus Goldstein (Sr. Economist, AFTPM and DEC) AGI Technical Meetings July 22-23, 2010, Washington , DC.
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Impact Evaluation of the Adolescent Girls Initiative Presented by: ShubhaChakravarty (Economist, AFTPM) Impact Evaluation team: Mattias Lundberg (Sr. Economist, HDNCY) Markus Goldstein (Sr. Economist, AFTPM and DEC) AGI Technical Meetings July 22-23, 2010, Washington , DC
Impact Evaluations of AGI • Objective: To measure the impact of the program on the well-being of participants and their families • Method: Comparison of treatment and control groups • Why do we need a control group? • Allows us to attribute a causal effect to the program • Design Options: Randomized Pipeline (Liberia), Lotteries among eligible girls (Jordan), Random selection of villages (S Sudan), Discontinuity with quantitative scoring (Nepal), Matching • Timeline: • Baseline surveys 2010 (2011 in some cases) • Follow up surveys 2012 • Final reports by early 2013
What We Will Learn • What is the impact of the program on: • Economic outcomes for participants and their households : employment, earnings, investment, savings, borrowing, and lending. • Socioeconomic behaviors and outcomes: marriage, fertility, time use, experience of gender-based violence, and attitudes toward risk • Empowerment of participants: physical mobility, aspirations for the future, control over household resources, self-confidence • Knowledge: Financial literacy, HIV/AIDS • How do the program impacts vary according to the demographic and personal characteristics of the participants? • Variation by age, level of family support, level of stress • Does job training work in post-conflict settings? How does childhood experience of trauma, displacement, schooling interruption, and/or loss of relatives affect the success of program participants? • Why don’t these indicators correspond to the results framework?
Why Impact Evaluation? • Cross-country learning • Results shared across countries • International workshops at different stages of project to share lessons learned • Core evaluation team works across countries to ensure consistency • Expansion: Potential to add AGI programs in new countries • Sustainability: By comparing outcomes, we can learn what methods work best. • These lessons can inform design of future programs and the scale-up of these pilot projects to ensure their success in the future
The Role of Monitoring • “M” vs. “E” • Monitoring: ongoing process of data collection on the outputs of a program (Are we doing the program right?) • Evaluation: assessment of the consequences of a program (Are we doing the right program?) • Evaluation can’t work unless we know what we are evaluating • What services were delivered? • Which participants received which services?
The Role of Monitoring • Essential data from monitoring for IE • Who participated? How often? • How many hours of training were delivered? • What was the content of the training (curriculum, OJT, etc.) • Who completed the training? Who dropped out and why? • Which participants were with which trainers? What was the composition of each classroom? • How satisfied were the trainees with the program?
Many Actors, One Goal • Project M&E officer: Primary liaison between implementing agency and IE team; responsible for project monitoring system • IE Field Coordinator: Primary liaison between Bank IE team, implementing agency, and local survey firm during surveys • Washington IE Team: Responsible for design of IE; assist with development of monitoring system; coordinate with Bank project team; data analysis, writing, and dissemination • Survey Firm:An independent agency (preferably local) to conduct data collection at baseline and endline • Huge potential for learning, sharing, capacity building
How does all this help you? • Improve program design • How did participants benefit? What were the unintended consequences? • Improve targeting • Which girls benefit most from your program? How can you better reach the others? • Improve program implementation • Which trainers/ courses were most effective? • Hard evidence of program’s impact • Provide justification for expansion from an external source • Guidance for replication • Which program components are the most essential?