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CALPERS – CALSTERS DIVERSITY CONFERENCE APRIL 25, 2006. PRUDENTLY ACHIEVING DIVERSITY THROUGH AN EMERGING MANAGER PROGRAM. Tina Byles Williams Chief Investment Officer & Chief Executive Officer FIS Group. HISTORICAL PERSPECTIVE: AN UNLEVEL PLAYING FIELD.
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CALPERS – CALSTERS DIVERSITY CONFERENCE APRIL 25, 2006 PRUDENTLY ACHIEVING DIVERSITY THROUGH AN EMERGING MANAGER PROGRAM Tina Byles Williams Chief Investment Officer & Chief Executive Officer FIS Group
HISTORICAL PERSPECTIVE: AN UNLEVEL PLAYING FIELD • The average majority-owned firm was substantially more successful in accumulating assets than the average minority-owned firm, even when established in the same year.
HISTORICAL PERSPECTIVE: AN UNLEVEL PLAYING FIELD (cont’d) • Significant disparity in the number of accounts obtained by minority firms vs. majority firms; even when other explanatory variables are taken into account. • Therefore, either minority firms choose to participate in fewer searches or they get the opportunity to participate in fewer searches
ASSETS UNDER MANAGEMENT • EMERGING MANAGER defined as: Asset ClassAssets no more than: Large Cap Equity $2 billion Mid/Small Cap Equity $0.3 billion Fixed Income $2 billion
HOW DOES ANY EMERGING MANAGER ALLOCATION INCREASE DIVERSITY? ALL MANAGERSCOMBINED DATABASE PROPRIETARY DATABASE PRODUCTS1 PRODUCTS1 MBE 58% 56% 67% WBE42% 44% 33% MBE/WBE TOTAL 100% 100% 100% EQUITY256% 80% 93% FIXED INCOME2 44%20% 7% TOTAL 100% 100% 100% • A focus on Emerging Managers generally leads to greater diversity. • FIS has hired 80 Emerging Managers, two-thirds of which are minority or women owned. 1As of January 2006 2Several firms manage multiple asset classes.
BUT WHAT ABOUT ALPHA? • Two components to a portfolio’s return – beta (i.e., market exposure) and alpha (i.e., return in excess of the market) • Alpha is the excess return due to active management of systematic (market-based) and idiosyncratic (non market-based) risks. Information Ratio measures the sustainability of alpha or skill. • The sources of alpha are generally breadth of decisions ”skill” implementation efficiency: • SKILL • Manager’s insight and skill into forecasting future returns ALPHA • IMPLEMENTATION • Flexibility to take advantage of • insights and breadth • - Portfolio Construction • - Trading Efficiency • BREADTH • Number of investment opportunities • Range of investment opportunities • Frequency of opportunities
WHAT IS THE EMERGING MANAGER ADVANTAGE? • Structural Implementation Advantage: • Absence of conventional institutional patronage results in freedom to be less benchmark-sensitive • “Best ideas” less diluted or constrained by conventional risk mitigation institutional guidelines • Investment insight amplified through more concentrated portfolios • Trade more nimbly with negligible market impact • Personal compensation more directly tied to alpha production; whereas managers at established firms have greater “safety net” from baseline fee income from large asset pools and the firm’s franchise value • Passion for success and focus unencumbered by bureaucracy and “Committee think” Result: Superior investment performance can be garnered from skillfully combining, identifying and monitoring talented investment managers in entrepreneurial firms that channel their investment acumen, focus and passion to achieve long-term success.
HISTORICAL EXPERIENCE • Above-median Emerging Managers show superior Alpha and Information Ratios in 2 out of 3 large Cap strategies relative to above-median large managers • The magnitude of the advantage is significant in “Down Markets” or “stock picker” markets in which divergence from the market index tends to outperform
BUT SKILLFUL MANAGER SELECTION IS CRITICAL! • The dispersion of returns among above-median Emerging Managers is greater than the dispersion of returns among above-median Large Managers • This suggests that in the Emerging Manager space, specialty manager selection skill and experience is critical!
GREATER MANAGER SPECIFIC RISK • Greater portfolio concentration leads to higher manager-specific risk (positive or negative) • Younger and/or smaller firms are more highly impacted by Operational/Business risks • Therefore, manager selection and portfolio construction processes must accurately evaluate business and stock specific risks and optimally manage/mitigate those risks on an ongoing basis
MANAGER SELECTION Seven attributes of highly successful Emerging Managers: • Product with clear competitive edge • Well executed, consistent and repeatable process • Principals understand all risk exposures • Sound and stable firm culture • Sound Business Plan • Talented professionals with high integrity and dedication to long-term performance success • Organizational resources • allocated to support • process and people • OPERATIONAL REVIEW • Infrastructure and capacity • Controls and procedures • Clear Reporting lines • Compliance Procedures • QUALITATIVE REVIEW • Process review • Idea generation, evaluation • and implementation • Competitive advantage • Consistency • Repeatability • Firm/Culture • Assets under management • through time • Resource allocation • Business Plan/projection • Compensation structure • Reference checks • QUANTITATIVE REVIEW • Historical holdings analysis • Benchmark specification • Factor variance • Industry variance • Risk - adjusted characteristics • relative to benchmarks & peers • Risk in various market/economic • environments
SUMMARY • An Emerging Manager Allocation can be a Prudent and Effective approach to add Alpha and increasing Diversity • Clear framework for mandate • Performance objectives and measurement period • Market Segment • To fill “hole” in plan’s manager structure • Diversity • Implementation plan that is consistent with achieving those objectives, cost and time efficient • Implementation approach should reflect a realistic assessment of: • Time and resources to find and identify managers that consistently generate high active value added (alpha) • Process for consistently measuring fund level and manager specific bets