1 / 16

The Great Recession and Poverty

The Great Recession and Poverty. January 19, 2012. Suzanne Porter Oregon Department Of Human Services Office of Forecasting, Research & Analysis 503.945.9778 FAX: 503.378.2897 sue.porter@state.or.us. Newly Poor in the Great Recession.

amil
Download Presentation

The Great Recession and Poverty

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. The Great Recession and Poverty January 19, 2012 Suzanne Porter Oregon Department Of Human Services Office of Forecasting, Research & Analysis 503.945.9778 FAX: 503.378.2897 sue.porter@state.or.us DHS Office of Forecasting, Research & Analysis

  2. Newly Poor in the Great Recession • First detailed look at the work characteristics of SNAP households – working age and not disabled • Compared two SNAP intake cohorts: CY 2005 and FY 2009 • Expansionary vs. recessionary period • Household structure, demographics, and work history of head of householder http://oregonstate.edu/cla/mpp/sites/default/files/pdf/newpoor_0.pdf DHS Office of Forecasting, Research & Analysis

  3. Comparing the 2009 with 2005 cohort: The total number of households increased by 58% The number of new households in 2009 was nearly as large as the total number of households in 2005 DHS Office of Forecasting, Research & Analysis

  4. Multi-adult households nearly doubled Higher rates of growth among older households DHS Office of Forecasting, Research & Analysis

  5. Work history analyzed for the year prior to SNAP receipt Drop in earned income measured in quarter immediately preceding start of SNAP Full-time worker households nearly doubled Households experiencing a drop in earned income more than doubled Average percentage drop in earnings ≈ 1/3 DHS Office of Forecasting, Research & Analysis

  6. DHS Office of Forecasting, Research & Analysis

  7. Men disproportionately affected • Number of adult males in SNAP cohort increased by 73% • 46% of 2005 cohort to 49% of 2009 cohort • Increase partially due to disruption in construction and manufacturing sectors • Men comprised 69% of SNAP recipients with manufacturing job history, 93% of those with construction job history DHS Office of Forecasting, Research & Analysis

  8. Poor in Great Recession • Two years later, how has the recession changed the composition of the SNAP caseload? • Compared two snapshot populations: June 2006 and June 2011 DHS Office of Forecasting, Research & Analysis

  9. Caseload change – working age adults DHS Office of Forecasting, Research & Analysis

  10. Demographic measures DHS Office of Forecasting, Research & Analysis

  11. Household composition DHS Office of Forecasting, Research & Analysis

  12. Work history DHS Office of Forecasting, Research & Analysis

  13. Single-person households DHS Office of Forecasting, Research & Analysis

  14. Single-person households, 18 to 24 DHS Office of Forecasting, Research & Analysis

  15. Young adults • 18 to 24 year olds were part of a baby-boomletthat occurred between 1987 and 1993 • This cohort is coming of age during a period of high unemployment • Potential long-term consequences DHS Office of Forecasting, Research & Analysis

  16. Poor in Great Recession • Early in the recession, the story was job loss • That story has changed to joblessness • Males & young adults have been particularly affected DHS Office of Forecasting, Research & Analysis

More Related