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EVALUATING FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE. Objective : To enable participants to evaluate and report on financial performance for governmental entities. 1. ANALYZING GOVERNMENT FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE. Why do we care? Governments can become bankrupt.
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EVALUATING FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE Objective: To enable participants to evaluate and report on financial performance for governmental entities 1 APIPA 2009
ANALYZING GOVERNMENT FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE • Why do we care? • Governments can become bankrupt. • An increasing number of governments are in fiscal crisis. • Governments provide essential services to its citizens and need to be fiscally sound 2 APIPA 2009
1/27/09 San Francisco faces budget crisis 3/09 San Francisco unemployment at 9% 5/15/09 Newsom to layoff 1,000 city employees SAN FRANCISCO, CALIFORNIA 3 APIPA 2009
5/1/09 Adams releases basic services budget (cuts of $9 mm) 5/21/09 Superintendent proposes further Portland Public School cuts PORTLAND, OREGON 4 APIPA 2009
1/14/09 On top of school closures, layoffs proposed ($25 mm budget gap) 4/17/09 Midyear budget adjustment SEATTLE, WASHINGTON 5 APIPA 2009
WHO CARES? • GASB Study in 1985 • Three primary users of government financial reports • Citizen groups • Legislative and oversight officials • Investors and creditors 6 APIPA 2009
CITIZEN GROUPS • Use financial reports to • Evaluate efficiency and effectiveness • Compare results of the current year with previous years • Assess financial operations and financial condition • Determine compliance with budget • Advocate certain programs or actions 7 APIPA 2009
INVESTORS AND CREDITORS • Use financial reports to • Ascertain ability of government to repay its debt 8 APIPA 2009
LEGISLATIVE AND OVERSIGHT OFFICIALS • Use financial reports to • Evaluate executive branch funding and spending proposals • Determine compliance with the budget and other finance-related requirements • Monitor fund activity and financial position and analyze fund balances 9 APIPA 2009
COMPREHENSIVE ANALYSIS • STEP ONE: Consider the environment in which the government operates • STEP TWO: Identify and consider key factors that affect the environment • STEP THREE: Assess the government’s current status • STEP FOUR: Forecast the future (next five years) 10 APIPA 2009
STEP ONE: OPERATING ENVIRONMENT • Consider the current state of and trends in economic, political, and social environments 11 APIPA 2009
ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT • Population • Age of population • Wealth and income distribution • Educational and skill level • Other relevant demographic factors • Immigration • Density 12 APIPA 2009
ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT • Major industries (and stability) • Unemployment rates • Value of property per capita • Sales tax base • Elasticity of revenues 13 APIPA 2009
POLITICAL ENVIRONMENT • Formal structure of government • Degree of political competition • Competence and integrity of government officials • Overall citizen satisfaction with and expectations of government • “Liberal” or “conservative” citizen view as to role of government • Relations with other governments (e.g., those of surrounding and overlapping entities) 14 APIPA 2009
SOCIAL ENVIRONMENT • Crime rates • Percentage of citizens requiring public assistance • Percentage of residents owning their own homes • Health!!! 15 APIPA 2009
STEP TWO: KEY FACTORS • Identify and consider key factors that affect the environment 16 APIPA 2009
POPULATION • Growing? Shrinking? Aging? • How? e.g. immigration • Effect on geographical boundaries? 17 APIPA 2009
POPULATION • Impact on infrastructure • Highways and streets • Utilities • Impact on operating revenues • Impact on operating expenses 18 APIPA 2009
NATURE AND SCOPE • Nature and scope of government services to be performed • Nature and scope of enterprise activities carried out (e.g., future of electric utility) • Pressure to privatize • Mandated services 19 APIPA 2009
POLITICS AND ORGANIZATION • Political climate (e.g., pro- or anti-growth, pro- or anti-business) • Form and organization of government (e.g., possibility of single-member election districts) 20 APIPA 2009
POLITICAL ATTITUDES AND INTERGOVERNMENTAL RELATIONSHIPS • Changing views toward the role of government • Relations with legislature • Extent of state and federal assistance • Additional costs imposed by overlapping governments (e.g., school districts) 21 APIPA 2009
TECHNOLOGY AND SOCIAL SYSTEM • Technological changes • Increased use of computers • May reduce operating costs • Requires large capital investment • Increased efforts to conserve? • Social changes • Changes in family structure resulting in need for more government facilities to care for the elderly 22 APIPA 2009
COMMERCE AND INDUSTRY • Major employers (including stability and likelihood of relocating) • Impact on revenues (e.g., property taxes) and expenditures (e.g., infrastructure improvements) 23 APIPA 2009
OTHER • Wealth and income of population • Other economic changes (e.g., those affecting the electrical power and health care industries) 24 APIPA 2009
STEP THREE: CURRENT STATUS • Assess the government’s current financial condition 25 APIPA 2009
CURRENT FINANCIAL CONDITION • Overall quality of disclosure • Auditor’s opinion • GFOA certificate • Letter of transmittal 26 APIPA 2009
KEY ACCOUNTING POLICIES • Reporting entity • Number, type, and character (purpose) of funds • Revenue and expenditure recognition • Accounting changes 27 APIPA 2009
BUDGET- AND ACCOUNTING-RELATED PRACTICES • “One-shot” additions to revenues or reductions in expenditures • Unusual budget-balancing transactions (e.g., interfund transfers) • Changes in budget-related practices (e.g., delaying payments or speeding up tax collections) • Use of “off-balance-sheet” debt (e.g., leases, long-term contracts) and of revenue debt • Use of long-term debt to finance operating expenditures • Increased use of short-term debt to cover temporary cash shortages 28 APIPA 2009
CASH BASIS VERSUS ACCRUAL BASIS • Budgets on cash basis • Financial statements on accrual basis (full or modified) • Easier to manipulate budget than financial statements 29 APIPA 2009
FINANCIAL STATEMENT “TRICKS” • Account for transaction in internal service or proprietary fund instead of in general fund • Finance capital acquisitions by incurring “off-balance-sheet” obligations rather than with general obligation debt • Operating leases, service contracts • Select “liberal” accounting practices that recognize revenues sooner rather than later and delay recognition of expenditures • Lengthen period of “availability” after YE • Reduce estimate of uncollectible 30 APIPA 2009
FINANCIAL STATEMENT “TRICKS” • Make “liberal” actuarial assumptions and estimates in determining required contribution to pension plans • Engage in discretionary transactions which result in FS gains but no substantive economic benefit • Sales of capital assets • Refunding of debt 31 APIPA 2009
FINANCIAL RATIOS – CAUTIONARY NOTES • No reliable “rules of thumb” as to an acceptable or nonacceptable ratio • Governments carry out different functions making it difficult to compare • Accounting for same operation in different ways • Governments may account for functions in different funds, resulting in different accounting 32 APIPA 2009
FINANCIAL RATIOS – CAUTIONARY NOTES • Preference for higher or lower ratio not clear • Depends on issue and perspective of user • For example: General fund revenues / general fund expenditures • High: Good because government able to generate sufficient revenues to cover its expenditures • High: Bad because government overtaxing and may be less fiscally sound in long-run 33 APIPA 2009
FINANCIAL RATIOS – CAUTIONARY NOTES • Stage of maturity impacts level of ratios • Young governmental entity with high-growth may require rapid expansion of infrastructure and high long-term debt levels • Mature governmental entity in stable situation may have established infrastructure and low debt • Ratios are no better than underlying financial statement numbers 34 APIPA 2009
DETERMINING SCOPE OF A RATIO • Which financial statements do we use? • Government-wide • General fund only • Combination of funds • It depends! • Why measure is being calculated • How it will be interpreted 35 APIPA 2009
ASSESSING FISCAL EFFORT • Fiscal effort = extent to which government is taking advantage of its fiscal capacity • Compare revenues generated from own sources to taxpayer wealth or income • Ratios increase as government uses more of its fiscal capacity • Lower ratio better than higher – why? 36 APIPA 2009
FISCAL EFFORT RATIOS • Per capita revenue from own sources (excluding grants from other government) Median family income • Revenue from own sources Total appraised value of property 37 APIPA 2009
ADEQUACY OF REVENUES • Need to be sufficient to cover expenditures • Trend important, especially compared to growth in expenditures • Revenue adequacy ratio Total revenues Total expenditures 38 APIPA 2009
REVENUE STABILITY • Revenue base • Diverse sources; Linked to population • Trends in adequacy and stability of revenues • Total revenues / total expenditures • Intergovernmental revenues / total operating revenues • Property tax revenues / total operating revenues • Restricted revenues / total operating revenues • One-time revenues / total operating revenues • Uncollected property taxes / total property taxes levied 39 APIPA 2009
REVENUE STABILITY RATIOS • Intergovernmental revenues Total operating revenues • Maximize use of “other peoples’ money” • BUT can be taken away so risky • Low % preferred 40 APIPA 2009
REVENUE STABILITY RATIOS • Restricted revenues Total operating revenues • Decrease flexibility • Can lead to misallocation of resources • Low % preferred 41 APIPA 2009
REVENUE STABILITY RATIOS • Property tax revenues Total operating revenues • Considered to be stable source • High % preferred 42 APIPA 2009
REVENUE STABILITY RATIOS • Uncollected property tax revenues Total property taxes levied • Warning sign of underlying weakness in economy • Could predict future drop in other revenues • Low % preferred 43 APIPA 2009
EXPENDITURE TRENDS • Changes in spending can result from • Price increases • Productivity decreases • Changes in number, quality, or mix of services (e.g., resulting from new housing developments or increases in unemployment) • Bad weather or disaster • Expenditure ratios help to identify changes in spending which may, in turn, require further investigation and action 44 APIPA 2009
EXPENDITURE TREND RATIOS • Number of employees Population • Payroll expenditures Total expenditures • Expenditures for specific functions Total expenditures 45 APIPA 2009
ABILITY TO MEET SHORT-TERM COMMITMENTS • Adequacy of fund balance • Unreserved fund balance Operating revenues • Adequacy of working capital • Cash, short-term investments, and receivables Current liabilities 46 APIPA 2009
ABILITY TO MEET LONG-TERM COMMITMENTS • Debt burden – Debt service costs Total general fund and debt service expenditures • Debt per capita = Total debt outstanding for governmental activities Total population 47 APIPA 2009
FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE CONCEPTS • Financial condition • Ability to maintain existing or provide increasing service levels • Interperiod equity: whether current-year revenues are sufficient to pay for the services provided that year and whether future taxpayers will be required to assume burdens for services previously provided • Excessive shifting of burden to future taxpayers a threat to ability to maintain or provide increasing service levels 48 APIPA 2009
INTERPERIOD EQUITY • Net revenues / Total expenses • Where net revenues = Gross revenues +/- internal transfers/special/extraordinary items • Measure of whether the government has lived within its means for the year • Utilize government-wide Statement of Activities 49 APIPA 2009
STEP FOUR: THE FUTURE • Forecast the future (next five years), taking expected changes and likely responses into account 50 APIPA 2009