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Acute medicine and frail older people. Leicester Medical School. Simon Conroy Senior Lecturer/Geriatrician London March 5 th 2010. Outline. How it is – for frail older people What is going wrong? Is it going wrong? Why?. Decompensation. Intercurrent illness. Breakdown of support.
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Acute medicine and frail older people Leicester Medical School Simon Conroy Senior Lecturer/Geriatrician London March 5th 2010
Outline • How it is – for frail older people • What is going wrong? Is it going wrong? • Why?
Decompensation Intercurrent illness Breakdown of support Primary care Crisis
Acute care starts in primary care • 269,000 admissions (all ages) from 144 general practices in Leicester/Leicestershire • 1 admission per person per 10 years • Practice level predictors of hospital admission • Age>access>deprivation>distance
Decompensation Intercurrent illness Breakdown of support Primary care GP Call for help 999 Crisis Direct to ED/AMU Crisis addressed Intermediate care ED
Frail older people and the ED • The decision to admit to hospital • Increases the risk of complications (falls, urinary catheterisation, delirium, malnutrition, pressure ulcers, deconditioning) • Puts community services on hold (so discharge complicated) • Costs ~£1000-1500 • So is delegated to the most junior doctor in the hospital…
Decompensation Intercurrent illness Breakdown of support Primary care GP Call for help 999 Crisis Direct to ED/AMU Crisis addressed Intermediate care ED ED 75% AMU 25% Community
Meta-analysis of consultant level discharge rates (AMU) Older people
‘Meta-analysis’ of consultant level 30 day readmission rates Older people
Readmissions – a new geriatric syndrome? • 2007-9, Leicester Royal Infirmary • 10,583 individual patients admitted to LRI AMU aged 70+ • Readmission over ~4 months • 30% complex vs. 22% non-complex older patients readmitted, p<0.001 • Typically 10-13% for ‘all comers’ • No qualitative studies of ‘the readmission’
Any readmission over time Hazard ratio 2.2
And it ain’t just social • Patients discharged from AMU • Mortality 37% complex vs. 12% non-complex, p<0.001 • 30 day mortality 19% vs. 3%, p<0.001 • 90 day mortality 30% vs. 6%, p<0.001
Deaths occurring early on Hazard ratio 4.2 Adjusted (age & gender) 3.6
Decompensation Intercurrent illness Breakdown of support Primary care GP Call for help 999 Crisis Direct to ED/AMU Crisis addressed Intermediate care ED ED 75% AMU Base wards 90% 10% 25% Community Community
Ageism Polypharmacy Cognitive impairment End of life care Non-specific presentations Comorbidities Differential challenge Functional decline Frail older people
Summary • Frail older people poorly served by acute care response • Reverse of Marjory Warren’s era! • Getting acute care right for frail older people requires an integrated whole systems approach