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What the Weather Will Bring or Agricultural Weather in Wisconsin. Wisconsin Agri-Service Association 9 th Annual Trade Show 30 January 2003 Lake Delton, WI Prof. John A. Young & E. J. Hopkins Dept. of Atmospheric & Oceanic Sciences University of Wisconsin-Madison. Our Road Map.
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What the Weather Will Bringor Agricultural Weather in Wisconsin Wisconsin Agri-Service Association 9th Annual Trade Show 30 January 2003 Lake Delton, WI Prof. John A. Young & E. J. Hopkins Dept. of Atmospheric & Oceanic Sciences University of Wisconsin-Madison
Our Road Map • Introduction • What we have: Current Maps • What we think: Analysis & Forecasts • Who and Where we are
Current Drought Conditions from National Drought Mitigation Center
U.S. Drought Monitor MapfromNational Drought Mitigation Center • Considers: • Agricultural, Hydrological Drought • Fire Danger • Depends Upon: • Palmer Drought Index (PDSI) • CPC Soil Moisture Model • USGS Weekly Streamflow • Percent of Normal Precipitation • Standardized Precipitation Index • Satellite Vegetation Health Index
Drought Conditions: Since Early November 2002from National Drought Mitigation Center
Current 30 Day Precipitation DepartureFrom Midwestern Regional Climate Center
Current Soil Moisture DepartureFrom Midwestern Regional Climate Center
Standardized Precipitation Index for Nov-Dec 2002 (from NCDC)
History of Statewide PDSIFrom National Climate Data Center Wet Wet Wet Wet Drought Drought Drought Drought Drought Drought
History of Wisconsin Statewide Precipitation From Moran & Hopkins, 2002 Wet Wet Wet Dry Dry Dry Dry Dry Dry
Monitoring Current Sea Surface Temperatures From Climate Prediction Center
From National Climate Data Center (NCDC)based on 108 yrs. (1895-2002)
Dec. 2002 Precipitation RanksFrom National Climate Data Center (NCDC)based on 108 yrs. (1895-2002)
THREE MONTH DROUGHT FORECASTFrom NOAA Climate Prediction Center
John A. Young Director Lyle Anderson Data Manager Traci Westphal Asst. Climatologist Ed Hopkins Consultant UW-Madison Partner: Atmospheric & Oceanic Sciences THE WISCONSINSTATE CLIMATOLOGY OFFICEyour resource for weather and climate information WHO WE ARE
WHERE WE ARE 1225 W. Dayton St., Madison
Contact • John A. YoungDept. of Atmospheric & Oceanic SciencesUW-Madison1225 W. Dayton608/262-2828jayoung@facstaff.wisc.edu • Edward J. Hopkins hopkins@meteor.wisc.edu
Useful Links • State Climatology Office http://www.aos.wisc.edu/~sco/ • Midwestern Regional Climate Centerhttp://mrcc.sws.uiuc.edu/ • Climate Prediction Center (NWS)http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/ • National Climate Data Center (NCDC)http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/oa/ncdc.html • Drought Monitorhttp://www.drought.unl.edu/dm/monitor.html • Joint Agricultural Weather Facility (USDA & NOAA)http://www.usda.gov/oce/waob/jawf/ • NOAA Drought Information Centerhttp://www.drought.noaa.gov/