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Building a Better Future: Secrets of Successful Investment in Myanmar 13:35-14:20. Prof.Dr.Aung Tun Thet. Think. Ahead Again Across. Three Secrets. Understanding the Context Seizing the Opportunities Addressing the Risks and Challenges. 1. Understanding the Context. Myanmar.
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Building a Better Future:Secrets of Successful Investment in Myanmar13:35-14:20 Prof.Dr.AungTunThet
Think • Ahead • Again • Across
Three Secrets • Understanding the Context • Seizing the Opportunities • Addressing the Risks and Challenges
Myanmar • Pivotal moment in economic, social, and political transition • Prioritization and sequencing of policy actions and investments critical to success of reform agenda and long-term development
Projections • Annual average gross domestic product (GDP) growth as high as 9.5% by 2030 • From pre-reform baseline of 4.8% • GDP per capita to nearly $5,000 by 2030, up from about $900 today
Myanmar • Ripe with possibilities for foreign investors • Emerging market in every sense of the word • Isolated from international community for many decades • Bypassed globalisation
Myanmar • Fresh opportunities • Attracting foreign corporations and agencies eager to invest in energy and resources, telecommunications, financial services, manufacturing and infrastructure sectors • Enormous labour force and consumer market
Myanmar • Asia’s Last Frontier • Last untapped sizeable economy and market in Asia • Easing of international sanctions
Strategic Location • Combined market of close to three billion people • Conduit to Indian Ocean and beyond
Reforms • Political • Economic and Social • Administrative • Private Sector Development • ‘
Little Done, More To Do • Focus on developing economy and rebuilding financial, legal and physical infrastructure • Promote inclusive growth • Developing skilled workforce
Little Done, More To Do • Foreign investment • Sharing of technology and skills
Eight Strategic Areas • Accelerating governance and public sector reform • Ensuring macroeconomic and financial stability • Creating business-enabling environment • Leveraging rich natural endowments • Fostering internationally competitive sectors -manufacturing and services • Enhancing regional connectivity and integration • Promoting human development and poverty reduction • Pursuing environmentally sustainable growth
Strategic Opportunities • Digital Leapfrogging • Urbanization • Shift in economic structure • Reconnecting with global • “Latecomer Advantage”
New Opportunities • FDI • SEZs
FDI 2014-15 Over 100 Foreign Companies Over 50 Local Companies
Goals • Job creation • Sustainable and inclusive growth • Re-engagement with international economic community
Investment Opportunities • Extractive Resource Sector - Natural gas, Timber, mining • Power generation • Agriculture and Fisheries • Labour-intensive manufacturing sector
Foreign Investors • Bridge gaps in Myanmar’s economy • Meeting Myanmar’s immediate needs provide opportunities in longer term for sustainable economic growth
Foreign Investors • Add value in many sectors • Financial Services • Infrastructure • Urban Development • Power, Electricity, Telecommunications • Hospitality • Manufacturing • Agriculture • SEZs
Investment Strategies for Foreign Companies • Scope of opportunities immense - size, population, resources, market and relatively undeveloped economy • Immediate demand for products or services across wide spectrum of industries
Seizing Short-term Opportunities • Identify areas where immediate solutions can be provided • Keep ‘bigger’ picture in mind • Adopt entrepreneurial approach • Creating ‘niches’
Past • Centralisedcommand economy • Self-sufficiency • Sanctions • Institutions and enterprises isolated from international market • Information gaps, infrastructural challenges and policy risks
‘Frontier’ Economy • Attendant risks and challenges
Challenges • Financial, legal and regulatory systems • Unforeseen contingencies
Lack of Infrastructure • Insufficient telecommunication infrastructure and coverage • Transport and logistical links underdeveloped • Lack of power
Tackling the Challenges • Serious commitment of time and financial resources • Realities on the ground - legislative and regulatory restrictions • Assess probability of success
Niche Opportunities • Myriad opportunities • Identify and provide selected services or products within key sectors • Deliver solutions that meet specific needs,
Niche Opportunities • Establish meaningful foothold • Careful feasibility studies • Ancillary support
Opportunities for Early ‘Adopters’ • Work with local public and private partners • Long-term sustainability and mutual success
Quick Wins • Immediate results wins trust • Combine short-term objectives with long-term strategies
Risk Mitigation • Essential in frontier market • Contingency plans in place • Due diligence • Stay abreast of both prevailing market forces and government policies • Political risk insurance for large investments • Prudence