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Boeing Dreamliner :. Managing New Product Development and Supply Chain Risks. Agenda. Supply Chain Transformation Process 1.1 Vision 1.2 Transformation 1.3 Problem Diagnosis 1.4 Supply Chain Redesign Deriving Competitive Advantage 2.1 Porter Market Analysis
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Boeing Dreamliner: Managing New Product Development andSupply Chain Risks
Agenda Supply Chain Transformation Process 1.1 Vision 1.2 Transformation 1.3 Problem Diagnosis 1.4 Supply Chain Redesign DerivingCompetitive Advantage 2.1 Porter Market Analysis 2.2 Model 2.3 MaintainingCompetitive Advantage
Agenda Supply Chain Transformation Process 1.1 Vision 1.2 Transformation 1.3 Problem Diagnosis 1.4 Supply Chain Redesign DerivingCompetitive Advantage 2.1 Porter Market Analysis 2.2 Model 2.3 MaintainingCompetitive Advantage
Vision 2016 Change Boeing from a wrench-turningmanufacturerto a masterplanner, marketerandsnap-togetherassemblerofhigh-techairplanes. Created bevor the Boeing-McDonnell Merger in 1997
Transformation Vision Means Suppliers ExpectedBenefits Outsourcing Reducefinancialinvestment IncreaseSupplierResponsibilities Constructionofentireparts Reducedevelopment time FromManufacturertocoordinator Strategic Partnership Reductionoffinancialrisk Technological Innovation IncreaseProductionCapacity Air Transportation Exploitsuppliers‘ knowledge
Problem Diagnosis Invisible to Boeing
Problem Diagnosis Delay causedbytheencounteredproblemscosts Boeing penaltiesof $500m per monthofdelay
Supply ChainRedesign: Implemented Boeing tookthefollowingmeasurestoadresstheproblemsandrisksencountered: Redrawareaofresponsibilities More control Supplychainexpertise Endedthestrike, withdrawalofcharges
Supply Chain Redesign: Recommendations Ourrecommendation:ProactiveRiskReduction/Elimination Risks ProactiveMeasures
Supply Chain Redesign Noaccurateuseofplanningsystem: Little knowledgeaboutprogressofsuppliers (esp. Tier-2) andlatedetectionofdelays Supply Chain
Supply Chain Redesign Overburdenedorinexperiencedsuppliers delays Supplier
Supply Chain Redesign Tendencyforsupplierstodeliverlate in order toavoid unfair punishment Supplier
Lack ofsupply-chainknow-howofthemanagementteam Management Team
Labor Strikes $100m/day Labor Relationship Management
Loss ofcustomersʹ trust + ContractualPenalties Customer Relationship Management
Agenda Supply Chain Transformation Process 1.1 Vision 1.2 Transformation 1.3 Problem Diagnosis 1.4 Supply Chain Redesign DerivingCompetitive Advantage 2.1 Porter Market Analysis 2.2 Model 2.3 MaintainingCompetitive Advantage
IndustryOverview Competition Aerospace manufacturingindustryishighlyconcentrated Top competitors: • EADS (anditssubsidiary Airbus) • Lockheed Martin • Northrop Grumman
IndustryOverview Substitutes Airbus isdevelopingthe A350 (late-2014)
IndustryOverview Potential Entrants highlyregulatedindustry (Federal Aviation Administration, EPA) Technical expertiseiscrucial Capital-intensive industry These factorsposebarrierstoentry However, due toBoeing‘s „order-to-performance“ thecompanyriskscreatingnewfuturecompetitors.
IndustryOverview 2013 2016 2016
IndustryOverview Supplier Not a traditional supplier-buyerrelationship Insteadpartners in the sense of mutual dependency Minimum bargaining power
IndustryOverview Customer Limited numberofairlinemanufacturers Customers order aircraftyearsbeforetheaircraftisfinished, areobligatedtofulfillthecontract Furthermore, Boeing facesconsiderabledemand: Backlog GrowingdemandfromAsia Defense spending
DerivingCompetitive Advantage: Model Core competencies Opportunities Improved Value Chain Value Chain
DerivingCompetitive Advantage: Model Core competencies Opportunities Match • Well-diversifiedbusiness • Market leadershipexperience • Know-how/expertisefor • buildingcommercialaircrafts • Emerging trends in Asia • (defenceas well ascomm. • planes) • Positive long-termoutlook • in aviationindustry • High defensespending
DerivingCompetitive Advantage: Model Core competencies Opportunities Improved Value Chain Improved Value Chain • strategicflexibility • organizat. learning • technology • management
DerivingCompetitive Advantage: Model Core competencies Opportunities Improved Value Chain Efficiency/Effectiveness Responsivenesstocustomers Quality Innovation
MaintainingCompetitive Advantage • Applytofurtherprojectsandthusleveragetheeffect • Monitor andcontinuallyimproveSupply Chain Process Currentcompetitiveadvantage: uniqueexperience in supplychainprocess Future Competitive Advantage
Presentedby Laura Kirsch Melina Zurek Marcus Wigand Michael Combach
QuestionsandAnswers Questions?
Appendix: Trends andOpportunities Industry Trends Increasingimportanceofefficiency due to volatile fuelprices Industryconsolidationandformationofpartnerships: Fivemajorcompaniesdominate, andhundredsofothercompaniesactassuppliers IndustryOpportunities Outsourcing ofaircraftmaintainancethroughairlinesasnewbusinessopportunity Replacementofairforcefleet
Appendix: Future competitorsanalysis Bombardier The Canadiancompanywithheadquarters in Montreal producesaircrafts, businessjets, masstransportationequipmentand also providesfinancialservices. ItsnewCSeriesareequippedwithnew, moreefficientenginesandthefuselagecontains a highpercentageofcompositematerials. Furthermore, Bombardier stressestheairplaneseco-friendliness. In theseaspects, theCseriesaresimilartothe Boeing 787 andthe A350. Sincethe Boeing 737-600 isbasically a smallerversionof a biggerairplane, itisratherinefficientand was soldonlyfewtimes.
Appendix: Future competitorsanalysis Commercial AircraftCooperationof China
Appendix: Future competitorsanalysis United Aircraftcorporation
Appendix: List ofCompetitors AgustaWestland Airbus BAE System Bombardier Dassault Aviation Embraer EADS Finmeccanica GE Aviation General Dynamics Goodrich Corp. Kaman Lockheed Martin • Northrop Grumman • Raytheon • Rockwell Collins • Textron • Thales • United Technologies
Appendix: SWOT Strengths (1/3) Strong Growth Prospects: • P/E ratioof 12.2 exceeds S&P 500 companiesaverageof 9.2 (atthe end offiscalyear) Sustainedbusiness due to strong order backlog: • Significantbacklogincrease in 2009 ($316B) and 2008 ($323B) - comparedto 2007 ($296,6B) • New ordersexceededdeliveries (737 NG, 767, 777, 787)
Appendix: SWOT Strengths (2/3) Leadingmarketposition • Commercial airlineindustry: oneofthetwomajormanufacturersofairplanes • Defense airplaneindustry: secondlargestcontractor in the U.S. Well-diversifiedandbroadproductrange: • Foursegments: • Commercial airlines • Integrated defensesystems • Boeing Capital Corporation • Others (e.g. airtrafficmanagement) decline/stagnation in onebusinesscanbeoffsetbyanothersegment
Appendix: SWOT – Weaknesses (1/3) Deterioatedliquidityposition: • Weakerfinancialpositionthancompetitors currentratioof 0.8 comparedto S&P companiesaverage 1.4 (year 2008) • Decliningsalesvolume in commercialairlinesresulted in increase in inventory
Appendix: SWOT- Weaknesses (2/3) • Declining operating margin Indicatesineffecientcostmanagmentand weakpricingstrategy.
Appendix: SWOT-Weaknesses (3/3) Strikes • Strikes ofthe IAM in 2008 resulted in a slowdownand substantial decline in deliveries • Lost revenuesamountedto $6.4B
Appendix: SWOT-Opportunities Development ofAsia-Pacific Region • Extraordinarydefenseacquisitions (e.g. India, China, Japan) • Market liberalization: enablementoflow-costairlinestogainmarketshare demandfor planes as well as MRO services Aircraftfinancingmarketgraduallyimproving Long-termoutlookofaviationindustry (next 20 years)
Appendix: SWOT-Opportunities Long-termoutlookofaviationindustry (next 20 years) • Estimatedincrease in commercialtravel: 5% • Estimatedincrease in cargosector: 5,8% • Expectedrise in demandforairplanes: upgradeofnumberofairplanesfrom 19,000 in 2008 to 35,800 (2027)
Appendix: SWOT-Threats Dependence on U.S. budgetspending • Integrated Defense systembusinessrepresentslargestfractionofgeneratedrevenues Global economy still fragile Intensecompetition • Commercial aircraft: Airbus • Integrated defensesystems: EADS Currency exchangerates • Purchases, sales, borrowings: many different localcurrenciesas well as different markets • Fluctuations in exchange rate affect Dollar valueandtherebyhave a considerableimpact on profitability