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Collective Choice Dilemmas. What is the NORMATIVE CORRECT Solution ? (game theory)People usually don't pursue rational strategyWHY???. Taxonomy of traps (Cross-Guyer). Time delay traps (short-term vs long-term gains and losses)Ignorance traps (unforeseen or known negative consequences)Investment traps (sunk cost effects)Deterioration traps (sliding reinforcer traps)COLLECTIVE TRAPS (self-interests leads to negative conse1145
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1. BEHAVIORAL TRAPS Individuals or groups embark on promising course of action
>undesirable and difficult to escape
2. Collective Choice Dilemmas What is the NORMATIVE CORRECT Solution ? (game theory)
People usually dont pursue rational strategy
WHY???
3. Taxonomy of traps(Cross-Guyer) Time delay traps (short-term vs long-term
gains and losses)
Ignorance traps (unforeseen or known
negative consequences)
Investment traps (sunk cost effects)
Deterioration traps (sliding reinforcer traps)
COLLECTIVE TRAPS (self-interests leads to negative consequences for whole)
4. Prisoner Dilemma Interdependent choice situation
What would you do?
WHY??? Prisoner A
Confess Dont
Con. -5,-5 -10,0
B
Dont 0, -10 -1,-1
5. Prisoners Dilemma Depends how view (FRAME) problem
ONE-SHOTE choice
STRATEGY over time Mutual cooperation
NOT rational choice
ONE SHOT
Stable equilibrium
over time
6. CHICKEN 2 cars heading for a crash
Whoever swerves FIRST
>LOSES
What would you do? Prisoner A
Dont swerve S
Sw 10, -10 0,0
B
Dont -100,-100 -10,10
7. Analogy for what type of political conflict? BALANCE of TERROR
(Cuban Missile Crisis)
8. Tragedy of the Commons Garrett Hardin
What happens to common grazing area if every herder follows own self interest?
10. Analogy used in negotiation of Law of the Seas Treaty National waters
EEZ Economic Zones
Open seas
11. How to deal with futureTragedy of the Commons?
Population growth
Environmental degradation
Loss of bio-diversity
System collapse???