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Current Political Economy Regime in China’s Mainland. Combination of liberalization and authoritarianism. Political economy regime. Combination of economic liberalization and political authoritarianism regime of political economy public policy profile
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Current Political Economy Regime in China’s Mainland Combination of liberalization and authoritarianism
Political economy regime • Combination of economic liberalization and political authoritarianism • regime of political economy • public policy profile • market-oriented reforms and political grip • political and economic institutions • strong reformist state retreats from economy • socioeconomic coalition base • co-optation of newly-emerged social sectors
“Reforms & opening up” • Deng Xiaoping’s reforms since 1978 • economic liberalization • break the monopoly of state sector • “socialist market economy” • political authoritarianism • the “four basic principles” • last one is the key: “leadership of the CCP” • allow no organized opposition to the party
Deng’s handpicked successors • First two • were selected as economic reformers • were purged for political liberalization • Hu Yaobang • CCP General Secretary from 1978-87 • Zhao Ziyang • CCP General Secretary from 1987-89
Deng’s handpicked successors • Last two • were selected as technocrats • politically “reliable” • economic reformers • Jiang Zemin • CCP General Secretary 1989-2002 • Hu Jintao • CCP General Secretary 2002-2012
From Jiang Zemin to Hu Jintao • CCP General Secretary (2002) • 16th National Party Congress • Hu Jintao replaced Jiang Zemin • PRC State President (2003) • 10th National People’s Congress • Hu Jintao replace Jiang Zemin • the first peaceful and orderly leadership succession in PRC history
Crack down political dissidents • CCP has allowed no organized opposition to the Party leadership • Waves of pro-democracy movements • late 1970s: “democracy wall” movement • late 1980s: Tian’anmen Square protests • late 1990s: China Democracy Party • late 2000s: Charter ’08 and Liu Xiaobo • each followed immediately by suppression
Broader programs of reform • Separate Party from government • halted after 1989 Tian’anmen • Separate state from economy • market mechanism • de facto privatization
Broader programs of reform • Separate government from enterprises • reinforced after 2001 WTO • introduce competition • deregulate industries • increase role for law • limit corruption
Price adjusted by market • Economic liberalization accelerated since 1990s • in 2001, prices of another 107 kinds of commodities and service were deregulated
State management of economy • break down bureaucratic interests that have fostered economic paternalism • 1998: industrial ministries were reorganized as bureaus • 2000: industrial bureaus were eliminated • 2003: State Development Planning Commission was reorganized as the State Development and Reforms Commission
State management of economy • Further restructuring of state institutions • 2003: State Economic and Trade Commission was eliminated • 2003: the Ministry of Foreign Trade and Economic Cooperation and the Ministry of Internal Trade were merged into the new Ministry of Commerce • foster professionalism within government
Competition and deregulation • Introduction of competition into formerly monopolized industries • telecommunications industry • electric power industry • railway industry • airline industry • break down bureaucratic interests that have fostered economic paternalism
State retreats from economy • State sector continues to shrink • downsized, privatized, or go bankrupt • non-state sector continues to grow
Potential challenges • Potential challenges to the current regime of political economy • globalization • demographic changes • political instability
China Joined WTO in 2001 • Culmination of 15 years of the PRC government’s efforts
Impact of WTO • Expansion of trade & foreign investment • trade volume $0.6 trillion for 2002 • 22% increase from 2001 • direct investment US$55 billion for 2002 • 13% increase from 2001 • Economists estimate WTO membership would add 1.5% to China’s annual growth rate after 5 years
Impact on WTO • weed out inefficient SOEs • erode local protectionism • curtail industrial monopolies • urban-rural divide • regional differences • unemployment • social unrest
International Covenants • In October 1997, PRC government signed the International Covenant on Economic Social and Cultural Rights • In October 1998, PRC government signed the International Covenant on Civil and Political Rights