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WEEK 5 (Sept. 22)INTERNATIONAL Trade TheoryHill, Chapter 5. Learning Objectives. Understand why nations trade with each otherBe familiar with the different theories explaining trade flows between nationsUnderstand why many economists believe that unrestricted free trade benefits all partiesBe familiar with arguments in favor of government playing a proactive role in promoting national competitivenessUnderstand the implications of international trade theory for business.
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1. Global Dimensions of Business
Mark McKenna
BUS 187(5), Fall 2008
Charles H. Hill, International Business: Competing in the Global Marketplace, 7th ed. (New York: McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2009)
Adapted from PowerPoint slides prepared for the text by Veronica Horton
2. WEEK 5 (Sept. 22)
INTERNATIONAL Trade Theory
Hill, Chapter 5
3. Learning Objectives Understand why nations trade with each other
Be familiar with the different theories explaining trade flows between nations
Understand why many economists believe that unrestricted free trade benefits all parties
Be familiar with arguments in favor of government playing a proactive role in promoting national competitiveness
Understand the implications of international trade theory for business
4. Patterns of International Trade Can you explain why …
Saudi Arabia is a leading exporter of oil?
Brazil is a leading exporter of coffee?
Switzerland is a leading exporter of chemicals?
Japan is a leading exporter of automobiles?
This is what trade theory seeks to explain
Observed patterns of international trade,
The benefits of more open trade regimes, and
The role of government regulation
5. Free Trade Theory What is free trade?
Trade is free when governments do not influence, through quotas or duties, what citizens can buy from or what they can produce and sell to another country
Why is free trade beneficial?
Individuals, groups, and countries benefit when they specialize in the manufacture and export of products and services that they are able to produce most efficiently, and import products and services that can be more efficiently produced by others
6. The Ecuadorian Rose Industry History
Rose industry started 20 years ago; today Ecuador is the fourth largest producer of roses in the world
Factor endowments
Intense sunlight, fertile volcanic soil, an equatorial location, and high altitude are ideal growing conditions
Underemployed women in these high altitude regions provide a ready supply of low-cost labor
Issues
Environmental and worker safety concerns
Certification programs identify responsible growers
7. Mercantilism Key features
Aim of trade is to increase a nation’s wealth
Increase exports through subsidies and limit imports through tariffs and quotas
Equates economic/political power with trade surplus
Critique (David Hume, 1752)
Exports increase while imports decrease money supply, leading to inflation or deflation and higher or lower prices
As a result, there can be no permanent trade surplus
Country A has a positive trade balance with Country B
The price of Country A’s exports go up in Country B
The price of imports from Country B go down in Country A
Consumers respond and the trade balance is reversed
8. Theory of Absolute Advantage In mercantilism, trade is a “zero-sum” game
Adam Smith (Wealth of Nations, 1776) argued that trade is a “positive-sum” game
Because countries vary in their output for a given input
Trade is mutually beneficial if countries export where they are the most efficient producer and import where they aren’t
9. Theory of Comparative Advantage What about countries that have no absolute advantages, or countries that are the most efficient producers for all goods, should they engage in trade?
David Ricardo (Principles of Political Economy, 1817) extended Smith’s free trade argument to address this question:
Efficient resource utilization leads to greater productivity
What is important, therefore, is relative efficiency (or comparative advantage) rather than absolute advantage
Countries should export products they produce most efficiently, and import products they produce less efficiently (even if they are the more efficient producer of that product)
10. Figure 5.2, p. 173Figure 5.2, p. 173
11. Qualifications And Assumptions only two countries and two goods
zero transportation costs
similar prices and values
fixed stocks of resources (200 units each)
resources are mobile between goods within countries, but not across borders
constant returns to scale/specialization
no effects on income distribution within countries
12. Extensions Of The Ricardian Model Model may exaggerate gains from trade
Resources do not always move freely from one economic activity to another, leading to job losses or limiting overall productive capacity
Returns to specialization may not be constant
Model may not capture the dynamic effects of trade
Imported resources can augment a country's existing stock
Trade may increase the efficiency with which a country is able to make use of its existing resources
Samuelson’s critique
Free trade may not be beneficial to all if increased labor competition serves to suppress wages
13. Related Theories of Trade Heckscher-Ohlin Theory
Stresses factor endowments rather than productivity
The Leontief Paradox
US exports less capital intensive than US imports
Differences in technology lead to differences in productivity
Product Life-Cycle Theory
In the first phase, innovators keep production close to home where it can be monitored and controlled
As external demand grows production shifts overseas
Once product as been “commoditized” production shifts to lowest-cost producers in the development world
14. New Trade Theory Shifts theory away from a pure free trade approach
Identifies advantages of economies of scale
Countries benefit from trade even if there are no significant comparative advantages
Provides a greater variety of goods available at lower cost
Recognizes “first-mover” advantages
In some industries, world demand can support only a few competitors
Once early movers established, difficulties in achieving economies of scale may preclude new entrants
Role of the government becomes significant in assisting firms to gain first-mover advantages
15. Theory of National Competitive Advantage Theory focuses on why nation’s (and regions within nations) becomes centers for a particular industry (fashion in Italy; computer in Silicon Valley)
Michael Porter identified for attributes of competitive regions/nations
Factor endowments (basic and advanced)
Demand conditions (consumer/customer pressure)
Related and supporting industries (investing in advanced factors of production)
Firm strategy, structure and rivalry (emphasis on long-term growth and innovation)
16. Porter’s Diamond Figure 5.6, p. 188Figure 5.6, p. 188
17. Implications for Business Location
Locate production activities in those countries where they can be performed most efficiently
First-mover advantages
Invest up-front to capture first-mover advantages
Government policy
Free trade is almost always in the best interests of the home country and consumers
It is not always in the best interests of individual firms (what is good for GM may not always “good for America”)
Restricting free trade benefits producers but hurts consumers, including other businesses (e.g. LCDs and steel)