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WAKE COUNTY PUBLIC SCHOOL SYSTEM Growth & Crowding … the Past and Future

WAKE COUNTY PUBLIC SCHOOL SYSTEM Growth & Crowding … the Past and Future. Joint Board Meeting: Wake County Board of Commissioners Wake County Board of Education March 19, 2008 Christina Lighthall, REFP Sr. Director, Long Range Planning Growth and Planning.

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WAKE COUNTY PUBLIC SCHOOL SYSTEM Growth & Crowding … the Past and Future

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  1. WAKE COUNTY PUBLIC SCHOOL SYSTEM Growth & Crowding … the Past and Future Joint Board Meeting: Wake County Board of Commissioners Wake County Board of Education March 19, 2008 Christina Lighthall, REFP Sr. Director, Long Range Planning Growth and Planning

  2. A Review of Growth and Crowding between 2001-02 and 2007-08(PLAN 2004: 2005-06 through 2007-08) Part I: The Past

  3. Membership Projections Comparison to Actuals(includes +1%,+1.5%)

  4. Membership Projections Comparison to Actuals

  5. 2001 - 02 2007 - 08 Elementary 5,959 11,940 Middle 2,688 4, 646 High 2,242 4,250 Total 10,889 20, 836 Number of Students Not In Permanent Seats

  6. Students Not in Permanent Seats Accelerated growth was addressed with: • Setting up temporary 9th grade centers • Creating modular campuses • Introducing “Early Start” schools • Accommodating more students and teachers in non-standard learning spaces • Adding more mobile and modular classrooms on existing school campuses

  7. Percentage of Long Range K-8 School Level Crowding(Membership/Long Range Campus Capacity)

  8. Percentage of Long Range 9-12 School Level Crowding(Membership/Long Range Campus Capacity)

  9. Percentage of Annual K-8 School Level Crowding(Membership/Actual Campus Capacity)

  10. Percentage of Annual 9-12 School Level Crowding(Membership/Actual Campus Capacity) Holly Springs & Panther Creek Knightdale; Cary & Green Hope 9th Grade Centers W-F & Wakefield 9th Grade Centers Middle Creek

  11. Mobile and Modular Classrooms • The mobile classroom inventory has doubled since 2001-02 • There are 423 more mobile/modular classrooms than four years ago in 2003-04 • There are 10,700 more students accommodated in temporary units this year than was reported in 2003-04

  12. School Level Mobiles(Including Swing Space)

  13. Percentage of School Levels in Mobile Units

  14. In Summary: Part IPlan 2004

  15. A Projection of Growth and Crowding between 2007-08 and 2011-12(CIP 2006: 2008-09 through 2010-11) Part II: The Future

  16. Membership Projections CIP 2006 DeJong Difference Developed Methodology Actual Difference between YEAR 2005 Nov 2007 Membership from Actual Projections 2003-04 108,970 2004-05 114,092 2005-06 120,507 2006-07 127,513 128,072 559 2007-08 136,304 134,002 (2,302) 2008-09 144,227 140,437 (3,790) 2009-10 152,838 148,509 (4,329) 2010-11 162,370 155,786 (6,584) 2011-12 170,611 162,933 (7,678) 2012-13 177,089 171,047 (6,042) 2013-14 183,266 180,470 (2,796) 2014-15 189,429 189,570 141 2015-16 195,639 198,671 3,032 Membership Projections Update(includes +1%,+1.5%)

  17. Membership Projections Comparisons

  18. Difference between CIP 2006 and Nov 2007 Projections

  19. 2007 - 08 20 10 - 1 1 Elementary 11,940 9,601 Middle 4,646 5,190 High 4,250 7,029 Total 20,836 21,820 Projected Number of Students Not In Permanent Seats

  20. Projected StudentsNot in Permanent Seats Sustained growth at the secondary level is addressed with: • Continued use of satellite 9th grade centers • Using modular campuses • Introducing “Early Start” middle schools • Accommodating more students and teachers in non-standard learning spaces • Adding more modular classrooms on existing high school campuses

  21. Projected % of Long Range K-8 School Level Crowding(Membership/Long Range Campus Capacity)

  22. Projected % of Long Range 9-12 School Level Crowding(Membership/Long Range Campus Capacity)

  23. Projected % of Annual K-8 School Level Crowding(Membership/Actual Campus Capacity)

  24. Projected % of Annual 9-12 School Level Crowding(Membership/Actual Campus Capacity) Heritage H-6

  25. Mobile and Modular Classrooms 2008-09 • 56 swing space units and and net gain of 3 capacity units are being added for elementary schools • 50 mobile units are being added at the high school level to address crowding • Middle schools are losing units due to freeing up swing space mobiles/modulars By 2010-11 • Elementary schools could reduce their mobile inventory • Middle Schools can not add more mobiles for capacity • High schools gain more modulars to address crowding

  26. Projected School Level Mobiles (if units are reduced at elementary level)

  27. 20.0% 17.9% 17.5% 16.9% 16.3% 16.3% 15.6% 16.8% 15.8% 15.0% 15.3% 15.3% 13.8% 14.9% 13.9% 12.5% 13.7% % Elementary in Mobile 12.5% Units % Middle School in 11.2% Mobile Units % High School in 10.0% Mobile Units Goal 7.5% 5.0% 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-2011 2011-2012 Projected % of School Levels in Mobile Units

  28. In Summary: Part IICIP 2006 M-6 & H-6 open in 2011

  29. Future Planning Questions • Do we use membership projections based on November 2007 Updates? • Do we strive toward 8% of students in mobile units at the elementary level? What about middle schools and high schools where use of mobiles is increasing? • Do we strive toward 95% (elementary and middle) and 97.5% (high school) utilization when possible? • Do we reduce future permanent capacity by opening new elementary or middle schools on a traditional rather than on a year-round calendar?

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