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Urgenda v. The Netherlands. 10 th AIDA CCWP – Copenhagen Stijn Franken. Urgenda v. The Netherlands. Urgenda : Dutch foundation Writ of summons: 20 November 2013 Court of First Instance ( Rechtbank Den Haag ) Pleadings: 14 April 2015 Judgment: 24 June 2015. Some facts.
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Urgenda v. The Netherlands 10th AIDA CCWP – Copenhagen Stijn Franken
Urgenda v. The Netherlands • Urgenda: Dutch foundation • Writ of summons: 20 November 2013 • Court of First Instance (Rechtbank Den Haag) • Pleadings: 14 April 2015 • Judgment: 24 June 2015
Some facts • International Panel on Climate Change (IPCC): • UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCC) (1992, Rio de Janeiro) • 195 countries (including EU) • IPCC reports: 1990, 1995, 2001, 2007, 2014 • Relation between: • CO2 concentration • World wide temperature
Some facts • CO2 concentration (> 90% certainty): • Before industrial revolution (10.000 years): • Between 260 - 280 parts per million (ppm) • Bandwidth of 20 ppm • 1750: 280 ppm • 1890: 290 ppm • 1910: 303 ppm • 1930: 310 ppm • 1950: 315 ppm • 1980: 340 ppm • 2013: 400 ppm • 2035: 450 ppm • Per decade: 20 ppm
Some facts • Effects of CO2 concentration increase: • Land: 30 to 50 years • Sea (ice): much longer
Some facts • Worldwide average temperature: • Before industrial revolution: app. 14 degrees Celsius • At present: + 0,8 degrees Celsius (increase until 1980, 340 ppm) • Future: + 0,6 degrees Celsius (increase until 2013, 400 ppm) • Inevitable: total of + 1,4 degrees Celsius
Some facts: bad news • If worldwide average temperature: • Increases > 2 degrees Celsius • > 90% certainty: all societies, world wide, will be affected negatively, and ‘point of no return’ will be passed • If concentration of CO2: • > 450 ppm • > 50% risk of an increase in temperature of > 2 degrees Celsius • Critical (UNFCC 2009, Copenhagen): • 2 degrees Celsius (inevitable: 1,4 degrees Celsius) • 450 ppm (2035)
Some facts: good news • Human activity (fossil fuel): • > 95% certainty: cause of increase CO2 concentration and temperature raise • Critical points can be avoided, if: • Industrialized countries (EU) • Will reduce CO2 emission with 25%-40% (cp. to 1990) • By ultimately 2020
Some critical facts • By 2012: • Germany, Denmark: - 21% (cp. 1990) • The Netherlands: - 5,2% (cp. 1990) • By 2020: • EU: - 20% (cp. 1990) • The Netherlands: - 16% (cp. 1990) • ‘Emission gap’: • Eur. Ec. Soc. Committee (2009) • Eur. Commission (2010) • UN Environmental Program (2010) • Ned. Planbureauvoor de Leefomgeving(2010)
Some critical facts • World bank (2012): • + 4 degrees Celsius would be devastating • Int. Energy Agency (2013): • Intensive action is required before 2020 • Otherwise, costs will be 400% more expensive
Claim Urgenda • Declatory relief: • By 2020: CO2 reduction of minimal 25%-40% (cp. to 1990) • Claim based on: • Duty of care • Human rights • Causation • Margin of appreciation/position courts v. politics
Duty of care • Hoge Raad 6 November 1965, NJ 1966, 136 (trapdoor ruling) • Duty of care depends on: • Foreseeability of the risk • Amount of risk • Severity of the risk • Possibility to take preventive measures
Duty of care • Foreseeability of the risk: • IPCC, as accepted by the international community: • Raise of temperature due to human activity (fossil fuel) • CO2 emission of 450 ppm and temperature of + 2 degrees Celsius are critical • Amount of risk: • IPCC, as acceptedby the international community: • > 95% certainty as to the human activity • > 90% certainty as to 450 ppmand + 2 degrees Celsius
Duty of care • Severity of the risk: • + 2 degrees Celsius (2009, Copenhagen): • Point of no return passed • Allsocieties, worldwide, willbeaffectednegatively • + 1,5 degreesCelsius alreadyrisky (2010, Cancun) • USSC Massachusetts v. EnvironmentalProtection Agency (2007) • Possibilityto take preventivemeasures: • By 2020: CO2 reduction of 25%-40% (cp. 1990) • Technicallyandfinanciallyfeasable • IEA (2013): after 2020 costswillraisewith 400%
Human rights • Eur. Convention of Human Rights/ Eur. Charter: • Art. 2/2: right to life • Art. 8/7: family life • Direct effect: • Eur. Convention: Dutch Constitution (artt. 93, 94); • Eur. Charter: EU Court of Justice • Eur. Court of Human Rights: • Positiveobligation on Member States • In case of a threateninginfringement • Particularly, ifindividual have no alternative • Alsoifit concerns generalrisks, interets
Causation • HR 23 September 1988, NJ 1989, 743 (Rhine, potash mines) • Pollution: pro rata liability, “unlessnegligible” • The Netherlands, out of 217 countries (World Bank, 2009): • Per capita: • 1. Australia • 2. SaudiArabia • 3. USA • 4. Canada • 5. the Netherlands • Absolute figures: • 1. China • 2. USA • (…) • 25. the Netherlands
Margin of appreciation/ position courts v. politics • One of the maindefences of the Dutch government • USSC American Electric Power v. Connecticut (2011): • “Certainly, the politicalimplications of anydecisioninvolvingpossiblelimits on carbon emissions are important in the context of global warming, but notevery case withpoliticalovertones is non-justifiable. It is error toequate a political question with a political case (…) Given the checks andbalancesamong the three branches of ourgovernment, the judiciarycan no more usurp executive andlegislatedprerogativesthanitcandeclinetodecide on matterswithinitsjurisdictionsimplybecausesuchmattersmay have politicalramifications” • Rechtbank Den Haag?...