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Gain insights into China's steel industry landscape, iron ore, coal, and ferro-alloys market projections for 2017. Learn from Mr. Karl Liu, GM of SINO-MINEMET, about trends, forecasts, and key factors impacting the sector's growth.
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China Steel & Ferro-Alloys -------Overview and General Prospect of 2017 Mr. Karl Liu, GM of SINO-MINEMET Intl Co (China) Managing Directotof Ferro-Alloys.Com
ABOUT SINO-MINEMET • Founded in 1999 by China National Coal Energy and became shareholdings in 2005 . • Export Coal, Coke, Metals and Ferroalloys; • Import Ores, alloys and scrap, Coal related Machines • 2010 invested in Metallurgical CaSi Plant, 40K mt/pa with top grade quality. • Licensed A Class company in exporting ferroalloys. • Major exporter of FeSi, CaSi, Ca Metal, Mg Metal, Mn Metal, FeV,and CR./MN ore and Alloys trading.
OUTLINE Part I. Chinese Steel Industry Overview Part II. Iron ore, Coal,Mn /Cr ore Part III Chinese Ferro-Alloys Overview and Outlook . Conclusion
Part I. Chinese Steel Overview Steel Capability and Production in 2016 Capacity: 808million tons crude steel Pig Iron 701Million tons Total output 1138million tons(including process products) Demands: acutal consumption 670million tons Trade: import Steel 13.21millon tons, Iron ore: 1024million tons Export Steel: 108million tons
Chinese Steel Overview on 2016 • Investment:Smetering and Processing: 416.1billion, down 2.2% • Mining 97.8billion, down 28.4% • Income : 2800billion RMB, Profit 38.3 Billion RMB ,only 1.8% • Outlook: Steel Demands in 2017 : 660million tons , will down 1.6% • Output in 2017 : 788 Million tons ,will down 2.48% • In General, Chinese Steel in 2017: Low profit
Coal,IronOre,Mn Ore, Cr Ore Overview 2016 • IRON ORE: Global Output : 2.05 Billion Tons • China Consumption : 1.1Billion tons • COAL&COKE: Global Coal output:7.78 billion tons • Coke Coal: 2.1billion tons • China Coal Output:3.34 billion tons • import Coal: 250million tons • Manganese Ore: Global 54miilion tons • China imported: 17.08miilion tons • up 8.2% • Domestic : 8million tons • Manganese Alloys :10miilion tons • El.Mnmetak : 2million tons .
Coal,IronOre,Mn Ore, Cr Ore Overview 2016 • Manganese Alloy Output in coming 3 years: 3 million new capacity • Jilin Ferroalloys(inner Mogolia :1million SiMn • Tianyuan Manganese: 1million SiMn • Others; 1 million tons • In General Mn ore demands keep growing ,unless SiMn Capacity not full operated before 2020 • Chrome Ore: Global Output : 30 million tons • China imported: 10.58Million tons , • only 1.8% up • China consumpted: 11 millions of Cr ore • New capacity: 2.6million tons before 2020 • Additional Cr demands 5.20Million tons
Part III. Chinese Fe-Alloys Overview&Outlook Capability and Production : 40 Millions tons 2016 output: 35.58Million tons Market Overview and trend: S.A Cr ore :300% up to usd420/dmtu Current:usd360-390 BHP Mn ore :from USD2.95 up to usd9.50/dmtu , up by 222%, BHP net Profit in 2016: 4.7 billion US Dollars Current: usd4.95-5.3/dmtu , down by 40% SiMn RMB9800 down to RMB5900/mt
Part III. Chinese Fe-Alloys Overview&Outlook Policy and other fators Not encouraged to Exp: Export Tax decreased 5% FeSi 20%; SiMn/FeMn 20%; FeCr 15% Currency value: invalue or devalue ? Cost increased: land transportation Port Logistic Charge Labor cost Others
ConclusionMarket is growing: 1Q is worse than last 4QMn Ore import Volume will be driving ,same or moreCr Ore&FeCr: import Volume in 1Q declined,FeCr price will stop falling shortlyOre&SiMn: current price will not stand by, price will bottom up 2QFeSi: price is growing and supply balanced demandsNoble Alloys: Mo and FeV is growing due to raw materials short supplyInvested in Thailand, Malysia, Indonesia may be good choices.
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