Southeast Alaska Network Vital Signs Monitoring

1. Southeast Alaska NetworkVital Signs Monitoring Glacier Bay National Park and Preserve Klondike Gold Rush National Historical Park Sitka National Historical Park Southeast Alaska Network Inventory and Monitoring Program

2. Southeast Alaska Network Inventory and Monitoring Program May 6, 2009

3. We face tough challenges The world is not only more complex than we understand, it’s more complex than we can understand. J. B. S. Haldane …preserve [dynamic systems] unimpaired… Southeast Alaska Network Inventory and Monitoring Program

4. What do Vital Sign Monitoring Data Provide? Context and perspective; range of variation Trend detection Covariate and response variables; not subject to crisis of the day Raise flags, temper reactions, tell stories Southeast Alaska Network Inventory and Monitoring Program

5. What SEAN is not built to do… • Research: Investigate causal relationships • The “how” and “why” questions • Assess value: • Management significance • Identify thresholds for management response • Define a desired condition or state Southeast Alaska Network Inventory and Monitoring Program

6. What SEAN is built to do… • Answer questions: • What? Where? When? How much change? What direction? What magnitude? What range? • And answer them with scientific rigor • Embrace uncertainty • Refining understanding over the long term • Work with park managers to understand context for change • Provide data on select ecosystem elements that represent covariates and response variables • Analyze, report, deliver data Southeast Alaska Network Inventory and Monitoring Program

7. Key Principles Be relevant to the Parks Do a few things well Focus. Design elegantly. Work efficiently. Scope for the optimum; design for reality. Build a program that is longer-lived than our careers, larger than ourselves Must be sustainable More than philosophy – major implications for program structure Southeast Alaska Network Inventory and Monitoring Program May 6, 2009

8. Do you remember how we got here? Selection and Identification of SEAN Vital Signs Southeast Alaska Network Inventory and Monitoring Program

9. Vital Sign Identification Process • Scoping Workshops • Marine, Freshwater, Terrestrial • Build conceptual models Southeast Alaska Network Inventory and Monitoring Program May 6, 2009

10. Terrestrial plant succession following glacial recession… Southeast Alaska Network Inventory and Monitoring Program

11. Influences on Marine Systems… Southeast Alaska Network Inventory and Monitoring Program

12. Primary succession in streams… Southeast Alaska Network Inventory and Monitoring Program

13. Marine-derived nutrients… Southeast Alaska Network Inventory and Monitoring Program

14. Intertidal zone… Southeast Alaska Network Inventory and Monitoring Program

15. Everything should be made as simple as possible. But not one bit simpler. -Einstein Southeast Alaska Network Inventory and Monitoring Program

16. SEAN Holistic Model: Drivers of Change Southeast Alaska Network Inventory and Monitoring Program

17. Terrestrial Environments Marine Environments Freshwater Environments Ungulates Breeding Landbird Populations Western Toads Wetland Communities Kittlitz’s Murrelets Phenology Intertidal Communities Landcover and Landform Bald Eagles Bears Biodiversity Pests and Diseases Plant Communities Streamflow Macroinvertebrates and Algae Freshwater Water Quality Humpback Whales Marine Predators Forage Fishes Harbor Seals Killer Whales Steller Sea Lions Salmonids Southeast Alaska Network Inventory and Monitoring Program May 6, 2009

18. Vital Sign Selection Process • Scoping Workshops • Marine, Freshwater, Terrestrial • Build conceptual models, incorporate into Phase I Report • Use conceptual models to identify candidate Vital Signs • Rate and rank based on ecological and management significance criteria • Adjust the ranking based on professional judgment Southeast Alaska Network Inventory and Monitoring Program

19. 18 12 6 Secondary Program Core Program Vital Sign Selection Process 200 80 36 Optimum overlaid with Reality Southeast Alaska Network Inventory and Monitoring Program

20. Core and Secondary Programs • Core Program • SEAN will initiate, develop, implement, and directly fund • Full, formal monitoring protocols • Secondary • Parks lead and fund • Parks would likely continue to monitor with or without the I&M Program • SEAN will contribute data management and data delivery support as time and resources allow NPS Photo Southeast Alaska Network Inventory and Monitoring Program

21. Core Program Airborne Contaminants Marine Predators Weather and Climate Streamflow Freshwater Water Quality Oceanography Marine Contaminants Freshwater Contaminants Intertidal Communities Landform and Landcover Kittlitz’s Murrelets Glacial Dynamics (extent) Secondary Program Freshwater Macroinverts, Algae Invasive and Exotic Plants Western Toads Humpback Whales Human Use and Mode of Access Underwater Sound SEAN Core Program Southeast Alaska Network Inventory and Monitoring Program

22. Vital Signs Relation to Conceptual Models Southeast Alaska Network Inventory and Monitoring Program May 6, 2009

23. Terrestrial Environments Marine Environments Freshwater Environments Ungulates Breeding Landbird Populations Western Toads Wetland Communities Kittlitz’s Murrelets Phenology Intertidal Communities Landcover and Landform Bald Eagles Bears Biodiversity Pests and Diseases Plant Communities Streamflow Macroinvertebrates and Algae Freshwater Water Quality Humpback Whales Marine Predators Forage Fishes Harbor Seals Killer Whales Steller Sea Lions Salmonids Southeast Alaska Network Inventory and Monitoring Program May 6, 2009

24. Airborne Contaminants Freshwater Water Quality Freshwater Contaminants Glacial Dynamics Intertidal Communities Kittlitz’s Murrelets Marine Contaminants Marine Predators Oceanography Streamflow Weather and Climate Landform and Landcover SEAN Core Program Southeast Alaska Network Inventory and Monitoring Program

25. Vital Signs Relation to Conceptual Models Southeast Alaska Network Inventory and Monitoring Program May 6, 2009

26. Data Management Tenets Single Authoritative Source Concept Web-based delivery NPS Photo:Moynahan Southeast Alaska Network Inventory and Monitoring Program

27. Design: 1-2-3-4 Operation: 4-3-2-1 Southeast Alaska Network Inventory and Monitoring Program May 6, 2009

28. How the work is getting done Blurring the lines between Parks and SEAN Project Leaders, Park Leads Cooperators and Partners CESU, IAs Mussel Watch, NWS, WRCC, NODC Contractors Southeast Alaska Network Inventory and Monitoring Program

29. Network Structure Board of Directors Program Manager Chiefs of Resources SEAN Staff Data Manager Ecologist (Editor) (Term Biotech) (SciComm Specialist) Park Staff Technical Committee Southeast Alaska Network Inventory and Monitoring Program

30. Program Structure – SEAN Hub Freshwater Quality SEAN Program Mgr Moynahan SEAN Data Manager Johnson Validation, Certification Admin, budget, reporting SEAN Project Leader Sergeant Data flow, training, supplies SITK Park Lead Smith GLBA Park Lead Soiseth/Murdoch KLGO Park Lead Wilbarger Maintenance, Calibration, Data Collection Southeast Alaska Network Inventory and Monitoring Program

31. Program Structure – Park Lead Oceanography SEAN Program Mgr Moynahan Admin, budget, reporting Project/Park Leader Sharman Field Ops, Analysis, Reporting Validation, Certification Basic data processing SEAN Data Manager Johnson Standard graphics, tables SEAN Data Steward Sergeant Validation, Certification Southeast Alaska Network Inventory and Monitoring Program

32. Program Structure – Partner Marine Contaminants NOAA Mussel Watch Program Reporting, web delivery Annual Funding Agreement Data NOAA Contracted Lab SEAN Program Mgr Moynahan SEAN Project Leader Sergeant Sample Delivery SITK Park Lead Smith GLBA Park Lead Sharman KLGO Park Lead Wilbarger Sample Collection Southeast Alaska Network Inventory and Monitoring Program

33. Budget $505,000 Vital Signs Funding $39,800 WRD Funding (1.66 ATB) $544,800 Southeast Alaska Network Inventory and Monitoring Program

34. Budget Southeast Alaska Network Inventory and Monitoring Program

35. Budget Southeast Alaska Network Inventory and Monitoring Program

36. Budget Southeast Alaska Network Inventory and Monitoring Program

37. COLA to Locality Pay • Transition began in FY10, complete of FY13 • Cost-to-program increases • Upshot: personnel costs increase ~20-25% • Protocol development costs >> operation Southeast Alaska Network Inventory and Monitoring Program

38. Are SEAN commitments sustainable? NPS Photo:Moynahan Yes, with vigilance Real personnel cost impacts SEAN staff are fully booked VS programs and DM commitments are brutally focused Southeast Alaska Network Inventory and Monitoring Program

39. Glacier Bay National Park and Preserve NPS Photo: Moynahan Southeast Alaska Network Inventory and Monitoring Program May 6, 2009

40. Klondike Gold Rush National Historical Park Southeast Alaska Network Inventory and Monitoring Program May 6, 2009 NPS Photo

41. Sitka National Historical Park Southeast Alaska Network Inventory and Monitoring Program May 6, 2009 NPS Photo

42. SEAN Three happy guys with beards couldn’t be wrong Southeast Alaska Network Inventory and Monitoring Program May 6, 2009