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Walter RADERMACHER Federal Statistical Office of Germany

Walter RADERMACHER Federal Statistical Office of Germany. User-Producer Dialog SEEA-Water Voorburg 22. – 24. 05. 2006. The Vision. interlinkages underlying causes. formulation of measures. policy relevance. politicians. statisticians/ accountants. scientists/ modelers.

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Walter RADERMACHER Federal Statistical Office of Germany

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  1. Walter RADERMACHERFederal Statistical Office of Germany • User-Producer Dialog • SEEA-Water • Voorburg 22. – 24. 05. 2006

  2. The Vision interlinkages underlying causes formulation of measures policy relevance politicians statisticians/accountants scientists/modelers Example: Germany EEA press conference 2004

  3. The modules of the German Environmental-Economic Accounting Pressure State Response • Physical stock accounts • Settlement and traffic area by economic branches • Use-intensity of agricultural eco-systems • Environmentally relevant stocks and flows • Environmental protection expenditures • Environment related taxes • Physical flow accounts • Economy wide material flow accounts • Energy accounts by economic branches • Primary material flow accounts by economic branches • Air-emission accounts by economic branches • Water accounts by economic branches • Physical input-output tables • Regional physical flow accounts Sectoral reporting modules • Transport and environment • Agriculture and environment • Forest and environment • Private households and environment

  4. German EEA andthe national strategy for sustainable development • Sustainable development requires a holistic approach: Co-ordination of sector policies, simultaneous achievement of conflicting goals, interlinkages between indicators and subjects have to be observed. • Indicator set for sustainable development: Indicators are a communication tool (problem description, performance control). The integrated analysis (diagnosis, forecasting, policy formulation) requires an underlying detailed and integrated database. • Expanded accounting data set: The national accounts and its satellite systems (environmental economic and socio-economic accounts) are the ideal framework to meet the data requirements for an integrated analysis. • Data supply for Germany: A considerable proportion of the indicators for sustainable development is already embedded into the accounting data set (NAMEA-type breakdown is a central common classification)

  5. German sustainability indicator list: • Theme A: Inter-generational justice • 1 Topic:Protection of resources;Indicator:Productivity of energy and raw materials • 2 Climate change:Emissions of greenhouse gases • 3 Renewable energy:The proportion of renewable energy sources in overall energy consumption • 4 Land use: Increase in land use for housing and transport • 5 Biodiversity: Development of stocks of specified animal species • 6 Public debts: Balance of public sector financing • 7 Economic future investments: Private- and public-sector expenditure on research and development • 8 Innovation: Capital-outlay ratio • 9 Education: Educational outcomes for 25-year-olds and number of newstudents

  6. German sustainability indicator list: • Theme B: Quality of Life • 10 Welfare:Gross domestic product • 11 Mobility: Transport intensity and share of the railways in providing transport • 12 Nutrition: Proportion of ecological agriculture and general statement on nitrogen surplus • 13 Air quality: Air pollution • 14 Public Health: Satisfaction with health • 15 Crime rate: Number of burglaries

  7. German sustainability indicator list: • Theme C: Social coherence • 16 Occupation: Labour force participation rate • 17 Family conditions: Full time children care facilities • 18 Equity (equal rights):Relationship between male and female gross annual earnings • 19 Integration of immigrants: Number of foreign school-leavers who have not completed secondary school • Theme D: International responsibility • 20 Global partnership: Expenditure on development collaboration • 21 Opening markets: EU imports from developing countries

  8. Embedding of the German sustainability indicators into the accounting data set 1 Productivity of energy and raw materials 2 Emissions of greenhouse gases 3 The proportion of renewable energy sources in overall energy consumption 4 Increase in land use for housing and transport 5 Development of stocks of specified animal species 6 Balance of public sector financing 7 Private- and public-sector expenditure on research and development 8 Capital-outlay ratio 9 Educational outcomes for 25-year-olds and number of new students 10 Gross domestic product 11 Transport intensity and share of the railways in providing transport 12 Proportion of ecological agriculture and general statement on nitrogen surplus 13 Air pollution 14 Satisfaction with health 15 Number of burglaries 16 Labour force participation rate 17 Full time children care facilities 18 Relationship between male and female gross annual earnings 19 Number of foreign school-leavers who have not completed secondary school 20 Expenditure on development collaboration 21 EU imports from developing countries 7 20 21 National Accounts 6 8 10 1 11 2 4 3 13 5 14 9 16 12 15 17 18 19 Environmental Economic Accounts Socio-economic Accounts

  9. Available German EEA data in a NAMEA-type breakdown Part of the sustainable development indicator set Unit Primary material by aggregated categories of material Tonnes 3 Abstraction of water from nature and water flows within the economy m Primary energy consumption (total and emission relevant) Terajoule Air emissions Tonnes Greenhouse gases by type Tonnes Air pollution by type Tonnes Waste water and other discharge of water into nature 3 m Waste by waste categories Tonnes 2 Land use for housing and transport by land use categories km Figures on the transport sector by mode of transport Transport related energy consumption, fuel consumption, air emissions Terajoule Tonnes Kilometres driven, person kilometres, tonnes kilometres km Transport related environmental taxes by type Euro Number and Stock of vehicles by type Euro

  10. German sustainability indicators: business-as-usual forecast Indicator Unit 1991 2000 2010 2020 1999=100 102.9 94.7 84.9 77.1 Intensity of passenger transport 1999=100 90.6 99.8 102.8 106.4 Intensity of goods transport Share of rail transport to total goods transport in % 20.0 15.1 13.3 11.6 performance 1990=100 104.6 122.5 137.7 170.5 Energy-productivity 1990=100 95.6 81.2 78.8 78.1 Green house gas emissions 1990=100 85.7 50.2 44.5 38.9 Air pollution hectare per Increase of the settlement and traffic area day 119.7 129.2 93.4 81.5 Euro 21312 23943 27034 32010 Gross domestic product per capita in % 65.8 65.5 67.2 73.2 Employment ratio Increase of budget deficit in % of GDP 3.0 -1.3 3.3 2.7 in % of GDP 23.8 21.7 17.3 15.6 Capital formation ratio Source: Gesellschaft für Wirtschahftliche Strukturforschung – GWS-Osnabrück

  11. Thank you for your attention! Walter Radermacher Telefon: +49 (0)611 / 75 22 00 walter.radermacher@destatis.de www.destatis.de

  12. Environmental-economic modeling:Simulation of the effect of doubling the road toll for heavy goods vehicles 2010 2020 Intensity of goods transport (1999=100) -3.3 -3.6 Share of rail transport to total goods 1.6 1.8 transport performance (%) CO2-emissions (million tons) -2.7 -2.9 GDP per capita (Euro 1995) 16.0 34.0 Employment (1000) 1.0 28.0 Source: Gesellschaft für wirtschaftliche Strukturforschung

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