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This presentation by Hugh Grover on June 28, 2013, explores the challenges and opportunities faced by London local government. It discusses financial and demographic pressures, as well as wider issues such as school places, housing, waste management, and transport connectivity. The presentation also highlights the importance of strong local leadership and the need for a consensus on public expectations of services and the roles of national and local government.
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RESOURCING THE BOROUGHSCHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES Hugh Grover 28th June 2013
AGENDA • London Local Government View • Pressures • London Local Government in 2020 • Challenges
LONDON LOCAL GOVERNMENT VIEW • Broadly supportive • But: • Government willingness? • Challenges to make it work!
LONDON LOCAL GOVERNMENT VIEW • Why? • Belief in local autonomy and accountability • Need to do things differently • Local government can deliver change • It’s not just about money! • But…
FINANCIAL PRESSURES • SR 2010 • -28% for LG to 2014/15 • Additional reductions • closer to 35% • SR 2013 • -10% in 2015/16
£2.4bn 24% shortfall
* Formula grant includes grants being rolled into business rates retention in 2013/14
DEMOGRAPHIC PRESSURES • Fastest growing population in England • likely to be 9m by 2020 and 10m by 2030 • Proportion of over 65s growing disproportionately • Fastest growing school age population and a 13% rise in 0-15 year olds by 2020 • Over a third of all of England’s short term residents • The most ethnically diverse part of England
WIDER PRESSURES • School places • additional 118,000 from 2011/12 to 2016/17 • Housing crisis • Waste management • Transport connectivity
Growth Index – Young Adults with learning disabilities 2012 = 100
THE SOLUTION Prevention & Growth through Strong local leadership at the right spacial level joining up services
LONDON LOCAL GOVERNMENT IN 2020 Potential for greater independence? More explicit settlement about pan-London/sub-regional/local and sub-local? Integrated leadership of a range of local public services? Consensus about public expectations of services and the roles of national and local state and citizens?
CHALLENGES Governance Distribution of money (equalisation) Risk appetite Shared benefits