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AQUACULTURAL SITUATION AND OUTLOOK

AQUACULTURAL SITUATION AND OUTLOOK. “TEACH A PERSON HOW TO FISH -- HE CAN SURVIVE” “TEACH A PERSON HOW TO GROW FISH -- HE CAN MAKE A LIVING” ?? Jerry R. Crews Auburn University. SRAOC SEPTEMBER 2002. WORLD FISHERIES 2000. FAO. FISHERY EXPORTER 2000. FAO. FISHERY IMPORTER 2000.

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AQUACULTURAL SITUATION AND OUTLOOK

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  1. AQUACULTURAL SITUATIONAND OUTLOOK “TEACH A PERSON HOW TO FISH -- HE CAN SURVIVE” “TEACH A PERSON HOW TO GROW FISH -- HE CAN MAKE A LIVING” ?? Jerry R. Crews Auburn University SRAOC SEPTEMBER 2002

  2. WORLD FISHERIES2000 FAO

  3. FISHERY EXPORTER2000 FAO

  4. FISHERY IMPORTER2000 FAO

  5. WORLD SEAFOOD SUPPLY2000 FAO

  6. WORLD CAPTURE FISHERIES AND AQUACULTURE PRODUCTION NMFS

  7. WORLD AQUACULTURE2000 FAO

  8. U. S. SEAFOOD SUPPLY1999 NMFS

  9. U. S. SEAFOOD SUPPLY2001 NMFS

  10. FISH AND SHELLFISH1970 - 2001 USDA

  11. U. S. SEAFOOD CONSUMPTION NFI

  12. 2001 U. S. SEAFOOD CONSUMPTION First Time Tilapia Made “Top Ten” NFI

  13. U.S. Aquaculture Production

  14. Production States NORTH CENTRAL NORTHEASTERN WESTERN Perch Striped Bass Tilapia Trout Salmon Shellfish Striped Bass Tilapia Salmon Shellfish Striped Bass Catfish Striped Bass Tilapia Baitfish SOUTHERN TROPICAL & SUBTROPICAL Ornamental, Food and Shellfish

  15. Aquaculture Sales

  16. U. S. AQUACULTURE VALUE2000 NMFS

  17. Sales by Aquaculture Category • Food fish - 70% • Mollusks - 9% • Ornamental fish - 7% • Baitfish - 4% • Crustaceans - 4% • Sport/Game - 1% • Other animal aqua. - 5%

  18. U. S. AQUACULTURE VALUE - 2000 NMFS

  19. U.S. Catfish Industry

  20. CONSISTENT PRODUCT

  21. CATFISH CONSUMPTION

  22. CATFISH SALES 2001 USDA

  23. CATFISH ACREAGEAND NUMBER OF FARMS USDA

  24. CATFISH ACREAGEAND OPERATION SIZE USDA

  25. CATFISH PRODUCTION AND INTENSITY USDA

  26. CATFISH PRICES1970 - 2002 USDA and Crews

  27. CATFISH PRICES1970 - 2002 USDA (82-84 real base)

  28. 5 YR AVG 10 YR AVG 25 YR AVG 2001 There is a strong seasonal aspect to pricing as seen in the 5, 10 and 25-year average price received curves above. However, the norm was not followed in 2001.

  29. Catfish Price Paid to Producer 2000 price 2001 price $.10 + per lb less than 2000 = -14%

  30. Catfish Price Paid to Producer 2001 price 2002 price $.11 + per lb less than 2001 = -17%

  31. Catfish Product Form Sales The catfish fillet product form is preferred over other product forms (whole fish, steaks, nuggets).

  32. Fresh and Frozen Catfish Products Over the last 15 years, there has been an ever widening production difference between frozen and fresh catfish products. Frozen catfish products are in higher demand now than ever before with 60% of all catfish products being frozen. Source: USDA Economics and Statistics System, NASS

  33. U.S. Catfish Fillet Processing Over the years, frozen catfish fillets had increasingly demanded over fresh fillets.

  34. Imports of “Catfish” to U.S. 119% 139% 149%

  35. Industry Response to Imports • Legislation • “Country of Origin” labeling - MS, LA ? • Removal of Channel Catfish images on import packaging - NO • Seek to have ‘Catfish’ name removed from non-Ictalurid fish species - 1 YEAR BAN, U.S. • Advertising • Concentrate US safety/health standards - CHEMICALS ? • Imports are trying to mislead consumers - TCI • Legal • Anti-dumping case-CFA PASS THE FIRST HURDLE Shrimp/Crawfish Industry - EVALUATING

  36. U.S. OR VIETNAM?

  37. What’s Causing Low Catfish Prices? • Increased Vietnamese frozen fillet imports • Economic uncertainty • Stagnant per capita consumption • On-farm inventories up • Processing capacity (up)

  38. U.S. CATFISH INVENTORYJULY 1, 2002 vs 2001

  39. CATFISH FEED SALES(32 % PROTEIN) TCI and Crews

  40. U.S. Catfish Round Weight Processed 4 % * Round-weight process has be flat for the last 3 years. Source: USDA Economics and Statistics System, NASS and Crews

  41. Total Producer Catfish Sales - 9 % Total 2002 producer sales (processed) down $35 million from 2001, down $94million from 2000. Source: USDA Economics and Statistics System, NASS and Crews

  42. Total Processor Catfish Sales - 3 % Total 2002 processor sales down $21 million from 2001. Source: USDA Economics and Statistics System, NASS and Crews

  43. US Catfish Fillet Pricethat the Processor Receives 2000 - 2002FRESH FROZEN

  44. PRODUCER’S EFFICIENCY • Processors requiring increased fish size • 1980’s => 1.00 - 1.25 lb average weight • 1990’s => 1.25 - 1.50 lb average weight • 2000’s => 1.50 - 2.00+ lb average weight • Larger fish require longer production cycle • From 24 months to 36 months (from spawn to skillet) • increased production risks • increases production costs

  45. Growing Larger Catfish7,000 Stocking Rate; 6 in Fingerlings

  46. CATFISH FEED PRICES(32 % PROTEIN) MS

  47. Fish Price 75 cents/lb 70 cents/lb 65 cents/lb 60 cents/lb 55 cents/lb

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