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SINTROPHER Partner Meeting WP2 Workshop WP2A15 Economic Feasibility of Fylde Coast TramTrain and Tram-Rail Options. Contents. Context: Existing tram and rail infrastructure Phase 1 (complete): Outline economic feasibility of options Tram extension to Airport
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SINTROPHER Partner MeetingWP2 WorkshopWP2A15 Economic Feasibility of Fylde Coast TramTrain and Tram-Rail Options
Contents • Context: Existing tram and rail infrastructure • Phase 1 (complete): Outline economic feasibility of options • Tram extension to Airport • Tram extension to South Fylde Line • Tram train on South Fylde Line • Tram extension to North Fylde Line • Tram train on North Fylde Line • Phase 2 (ongoing): Detailed economic feasibility of options • Business and stakeholder consultation • Demand for travel • Local economic effects • Wider economic benefits
Geographic Distribution of Airport Passengers • 92% from outside tram catchment
Tram Extension to Blackpool Airport: Conclusions • Airport passenger demand seems to have peaked • Geographic distribution of passengers is not aligned with tramway • Potential demand for tram extension is too low to demonstrate a fundable business case
Bus network • 8+ buses per hour between St Annes/Lytham and Blackpool • Frequent bus service which penetrates much deeper into urban areas than the tram
Passenger Demand: Bus • Bus carries 90% of the passenger demand between north+central and south parts of Fylde Coast
Curtailment of Heavy Rail on South Fylde Line • Some existing rail passengers are disadvantaged • ‘Least worst’ place to curtail is St Annes
Tram Extension to South Fylde Line • Existing demand on SFL is small • Business case dependent on transfer from large existing bus market • Funding opportunities: • Interchange only: no case • Extension to St Annes/Lytham: possible business case – also good as intermediate step towards full tram train • Tram train: currently too expensive, option for future
Blackpool North Passenger Origins/Destinations Within 800m of Tramway
Tram Extension to North Fylde Line • Large potential market: • 1,600,000 passengers per year • 53% with origins/destinations close to tramway • 65% currently walk or use bus to access the station • Disadvantage to existing passengers travelling north-south or vice versa through North Pier • 35% existing tram passengers in high season • 30% in low season • Business case depends on relative attraction of extension versus disadvantage to existing ‘through’ passengers • Funding opportunities: • Tram train: expensive with little added benefit • Interchange: business case appears plausible
Ongoing Work: Phase 2 • Business consultation • Public consultation • Wider economic benefits • Spatial distribution of economic benefits • Social and Distributional Impacts • Demand forecasting • Ticketing • Low Cost Alternative • Engineering/Design/Costs (by Mott McDonald) • Outputs: • Detailed Option Comparison • Business Case