Status report on progress with ACARE SRIA

1. Status report on progress with ACARE SRIA Ad de Graaff NEARS February 1, 2012

2. Expectation • The SRIA will be the guidance for future RTD and associated actions in air transport and aviation. • The SRIA is not a document to lobby for EU funding. • The SRIA should be a guide for national and EU research and technology. • The SRIA should be so exiting that it cannot be ignored. Should make step changes visible.

3. Staring point • The starting point is the Flightpath 2050 document and the vision/ goals identified ( the Bible). • Other sub goals can be identified if need be. • The SRIA will follow the methodology of the SRA1. • It will not go into elaborate scenario analysis as was done in SRA2 and other documents: a steady state growth is expected (decided by WG1)

4. ACARE Organisation: FP 2050 • Establish a strategic advisory body for research and innovation for aeronautics, air transport, regulatory and institutional enablers along a model similar to ACARE • Achieve full participation of airline, airport and other operational aviation areas • Provide recommendations to guide the way towards achieving the vision • Develop a new strategic roadmap for aviation research, development and innovation ( both evolutionary and revolutionary changes) • Bring together all aeronautics and air transport stakeholders, Member states and the European Commission • Create appropriate mechanisms to connect to other transport platforms and relevant technology sectors ( like energy)

5. Observation • ACARE restarted ( no non-stakeholder expertise allowed in anymore) • Set up of 5 WG´s • Each working group is delivering an own input: • Misinterpretation of request • Lack of guidance by Steering group and NEARS • Too dominant role of the EU Commission ?( It is not a Commission document: The Commission is not a stakeholder)

6. Methodology SRIA : a demand driven approach Vision Challenges Flightpath 2050 Why Goals What Enablers clustered How capability Solutions When Metrics / Achievements With what ambition Concepts & Technologies

7. Possible chapters in the SRIA vol 1 • Preface/ Introduction/ • A guide to the SRIA • The future of transport • The challenge to protect the environment • The future of aviation • The challenge of safety and security • The future of research and technology development • The future of education and training • Funding

8. 1. The future of (AIR)transport • Deals with • Understanding transport as a system of systems • Intermodality: air transport an essential and well connected element ; Use of social media • Deals with passenger and freight air transport in the future: A client centric system • Focus on airports ( as nodal points and availability) • Focus on ATM in the future ( delay free)

9. Relevant goals in FP 2050 • Serving society’s needs • Meeting societal and market needs for affordable, sustainable, reliable, seamless connectivity for passengers and freight • Supporting the integration and cohesion of the European Union, its neighbours and partners

10. Meeting societal and market needs • Citizens to make informed mobility choices, affordable access through economy, speed and tailored levels of service. • 90% of the travellers complete their journey door to door within 4 hours • Flights arrive within 1 minute of planned arrival time • Resilient transport system against disruptive events through automatic and dynamic reconfiguration of the journey • ATM to handle at least 25 million flights a year of all kinds of flying vehicles • Coherent and interconnected ground infrastructure for airports, vertiports and heliports

11. Observation • WG 1 well underway but metrics still to be decided. • Novelty is still lacking • Focus on intermodality, airports of the future and future ATM ( beyond SESAR) needed • Traditional thinking about airports and ATM • No attention to air cargo: totally missing • Airport security to be handled by WG 4. • Resilience to be handled by WG4.

12. 2. The challenge to protect the environment ( Noise, emissions, recycling) • Serving society’s needs • Protecting the environment, use sustainable and alternative energy sources

13. Protecting the environment and energy supply • 75% reduction of CO2 emissions per RPK, 90% reduction of NOx emissions and 65% reduction of perceived noise compared to the year 2000 • Taxi movements are emission fee • Air vehicles are designed and manufactured to be recyclable • Establish a CoE on sustainable alternative fuels, including aviation • Europe is at the forefront of atmospheric research ( understand the impact of aviation on global Warming),and takes the lead in the formulation of a prioritized environmental action plan and the establishment of global environmental standards

14. Observations • WG 3 is addressing the issues and has added an extra issue: Innovative business, legislation and taxation. • There seems to be little progress and no solutions, metrics identified. Very much driven from a research point of view, not strategic. • No need for scenario analysis. • Targets should be clear and consistent with IATA. • Lots of inputs for WG5

15. 3.The future of aviation • Deals with ensuring a healthy aviation industry in spite of increased competition by creating innovative products • These products should cover the whole range of flying vehicles from large transport aircraft, rotorcraft, UAS , business aviation, air taxi, personal air transport, innovative cargo planes etc. • Should address the MRO sector as well.

16. Relevant goals in FP 2050 • Maintaining global leadership • Providing the best products and services • Ensure competitiveness of industry supported by a strong research network and a balanced regulatory framework • Maximising the aviation sector’s economic contribution and creating value • Serving society’s needs • Addressing non-transport aerial applications

17. Maintaining and extending industrial leadership • The aviation industry has a share of more than 40% f the world market ( airliners, GA, airports, ATM, MRO, non transport applications like SAR, Manned and UAS) • Maintain leading edge design, manufacturing and system integration • Decreased development cost through a streamlined system of engineering, design, manufacturing, certification and upgrades

18. Observation • WG 2 is too much focused on institutional issues, not on future product characteristics, which is an input to Vol2. • Most of the WG 2 work will flow into WG 4 and 5. Hardly anything else addressed. No indication of the solutions envisaged. Very weak. • WG3 needs inputs from WG1 ( airports). Has something on future engines but not mature. • In all: very disappointing till now.

19. 4.The challenge of safety and security • Deals with ensuring a safer aviation world and secure aviation/ air transport • Has a large correlation to WG 1 ( operations and airports) as well as WG 2: product development • Should also address reduction of incidents and survivability issues

20. Goals in FP 2050 • Serving society’s needs • Ensuring safety and security

21. Ensuring safety and security • Less than one accident per 10 million flights • Reduce the number of accidents by 80% for specific operations like SAR • Risks from weather and other hazards are mitigated • Manned and unmanned air vehicles to operate in the same airspace through fully interoperable and networked systems • Efficient boarding and security checks with minimum impact on pax and cargo • Air vehicles are resilient to on-board and external threat • Fully secured global high bandwidth data network, hardened and protected for cyber attacks • 50% reduction of certification( use of simulation) • New generation of standards

22. Observation • WG 4 made good progress • Needs more inputs from WG 2 • Too many solutions: need to reduced, with clear relation to FP 2050 goals • Need WG1 contact for airport security • Non air transport operations need attention

23. 5. The future research and technology development • Deals with ensuring the right and sufficient RTD is available via clusters. • WG5 needs inputs from WG1, 2 and 3. • Deals both with knowledge and infrastructures. • Vol1 should focus on the institutional issues: Vol2 on the content • For Vol 2 the ACARE taxonomy needs to be upgraded

24. Goals in FP 2050 • Maintaining global leadership • Ensure competitiveness of industry supported by a strong research network and a balanced regulatory framework • Attracting the best people and talents • Serving society’s needs • Meeting societal and market needs for affordable, sustainable, reliable, seamless connectivity for passengers and freight

25. Prioritizing research, testing, capabilities and education • Research and innovation strategies are jointly defined by all stakeholders and implemented in a coordinated way ( roadmaps) • A network of multi-disciplinary technology clustersbased on collaboration between industry, universities and research institutes • Strategic flagship projects and programmes covering the whole innovation process from basic research to full scale demonstration • Strategic European test, simulation and development facilitiesare maintained and developed.

26. Observation • WG 5 seeking inputs from other WG’s • New initiatives identified • Clustering not evident • WG 5 has a roadmap ( may still be too conservative) • Good progress

27. 6.The future of education and training • Deals with education and training for the total aviation system. Not only at university level. • Focus till now seems on university education • New is the stimulation via awards

28. FP 2050 goals • Serving society’s needs • Providing highly qualified and skilled jobs

29. Prioritizing research, testing, capabilities and education • Students are attracted to careers in aviation • Courses at universities match the market demand • Lifelong and continuous education in aviation is the norm

30. Observation • Good progress made • Metrics seem very conservative • Non university education still missing • International dimension?

31. Funding • Should indicate the level of RTD funding needed • Should also look into the PPP funding issue • WG 2 has addressed the issue up to now for the manufacturing side • Need Member States input as well • Money for implementation?? ( See SESAR: 40 billion)

32. Funding • Co-ordination of objectives for RTD projects at private, European, national and regional level • Innovative European funding, instruments and means ( governance, roadmap based, long term goals, improved administration) • Short time to market from research to commercialisation • Create a global level playing field ( combined public and private funding of € 200 billion over 40 years for R&D) • Coordinated oversight of research for aeronautics, ATM, alternative fuels

33. Observation • WG 2 has given funding attention • No centralized approach yet • Indication on mechanisms and funding needed for Vol1 already needed • Task of Steering group?? • Combine funding issue with need to refresh SRIA every 4 years

34. My main concern • Current activities of WG’s seem to focus on mechanisms that public authorities should co-fund. A very bureaucratic approach. ( Just give me the money and you will hear from me) • The SRIA should have an impact because it provides a picture of a future air traffic system and an aviation activity that will be exiting and challenging thanks to step changes. • It should be a technical reference as well as a policy document. ( currently no reference base line seems to be agreed upon, which makes it difficult to measure progress. And what do we mean by 2035 and 2050: TRL 6 or implementation??)

35. Conclusion • Work in progress • Too little top down approach: too much bottom up resulting in overlaps and missing some essentials • Lack of a products vision and focusing on instruments and funding makes the SRIA not exiting and even counter productive • Propose a meeting of NEARS with each WG