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State of the Banking Industry 2011, When is the Dust Going to Settle?. Bill McDermott McDermott Financial Solutions, LLC. Presentation Outline-The 3 Things. I . The Past-TARP Banks had a liquidity and leverage crisis, US bailout of the banking industry
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State of the Banking Industry 2011, When is the Dust Going to Settle? Bill McDermott McDermott Financial Solutions, LLC
Presentation Outline-The 3 Things I. The Past-TARP Banks had a liquidity and leverage crisis, US bailout of the banking industry • The Present-What You Need to Know Now About The Banking Industry Which banks are Healthy, Which Ones Aren’t III. The Future-It’s a Long Road to Recovery, But We’re on the Path. Tight Credit Will Continue
What happened… • In 1999, Fannie Mae, the nation’s biggest underwriter of home mortgages, announced… • The Clinton Administration pressured Fannie Mae to help working- class home buyers… • The Bush administration called for the entire housing industry to help 5.5 million minority families to become homeowners… • The entire lending industry was being pressured to ease up on lending requirements…
So, What Do You Need to Know Now About the Banking Industry?? • Which banks are healthy??? • Bank failures will continue… • www.fdic.gov, Google Alerts • SBA Lending Programs……
Some Banks are healthy, Some are not…. • SunTrust TARP exit bolsters hope AJC 5/15/11 • RBC on the block? Charlotte Business Journal 5/11/11 • Brand Bank Complete $200 Million Capital Raise PR Newswire 5/4/11 • United Community Bank Reports 1st Qtr loss of $142.5 Million • Two Georgia Banks Fail Atlanta Business Chronicle 4/29/11
Consolidation will continue.. It is estimated that another 50-60 banks will fail in Georgia over the next 2-3 years
How do I keep up with all of this? Texas Ratio Report, www.fdic.gov and Google Alerts
Texas Ratio • To calculate the Texas Ratio, you divide a bank's bad debt on the books by the amount of money it has to absorb the bad debt. (shareholder equity) • Bad debt/ net worth plus loan loss reserves >100% could be a problem
www.fdic.gov • Quick links-bankers, institution directory, bank find • Type in the bank name • Performance and condition ratios • Capital to asset ratio (between 8%-12%) • Profitable/unprofitable? • Asset quality (non performers %)
Google Alerts • If you have a Google profile • Type in a name/topic • Google will send all relevant information once a day or more often via email or text • I follow 30 different banks with Google Alerts to get up to date information on each institution
SBA Loans • SBA Business Express loans are smaller loans up to $350,000 with less documentation required and faster approval time • Patriot Express loans are for former veterans that are looking to fund their business up to $500,000 for eligible purposes
SBA Loans (continued) • The SBA 7a program has a wide variety of uses from expansion to business acquisition to companies that export to companies that do business in rural areas • The SBA 504 program provides 90% purchase financing or refinancing on owner occupied real estate (50% bank loan 40% SBA bond with a 20 year fixed rate)
Help yourself by becoming familiar with these programs. A large amount of current bank lending is through these programs
The Future…. • It’s a long road to recovery, but we’re on the right path • Tight credit will continue • Many banks remain over leveraged and are forced by regulators or market forces to raise capital or reduce the overall size of their balance sheet • A bank reduces the overall size of their balance sheet by selling off loans not making new ones.
Look for Banks that are … • Raising capital or paying off TARP money • Brand Bank Complete $200 Million Capital Raise PR Newswire 5/4/11 • SunTrust TARP exit bolsters hope AJC 5/15/11
SBA programs can become… • An excellent way to help you with cash flow issues • Success stories, mfg/distribution company $3.2 million mortgage and line of credit, • concrete/paving contractor $400,000 mortgage and working capital loan, • distributor of LCD displays $800,000 inventory loan • CPA practice buyout $250,000
What types of loans?? Residential construction and development (when ______ freezes over) Other real estate (owner occupied, yes/SBA 504 Investor loans, no) Working capital, equipment and acquisition loans, yes/SBA
An update on the banking industry… • Past, TARP, the banking industry needs capital • Present, use fdic.gov and google alerts to find healthy banks • Future, tight credit will continue, SBA programs can help
Questions??? • Call me at 678-597-8184 or email bmcdermott@mcdfs.com • Subscribe to our blog “Inside the Vault” www.bankingsolved.com • Follow our updates on Facebook, McDermott Financial Solutions